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re: Sally - Moving towards Georgia - Potential for Significant Flooding
Posted on 9/13/20 at 10:10 am to rt3
Posted on 9/13/20 at 10:10 am to rt3
Mississippi Sound/Lake Borgne is such a vulnerable storm surge area and this storm is going to be moving pretty slow and have a constant flow into that area. This is going to wreck Neck’s camp and fishing spot.
2
Posted on 9/13/20 at 10:10 am to Bobby OG Johnson
The rainfall projections have gone down a bit but they’ve also put more rain over land too. A mixed bag so far.
Posted on 9/13/20 at 10:11 am to rt3
frick, this thing needs to stay away from BR.
Posted on 9/13/20 at 10:11 am to The Boat
quote:
Mississippi Sound/Lake Borgne is such a vulnerable storm surge area and this storm is going to be moving pretty slow and have a constant flow into that area. This is going to wreck Neck’s camp and fishing spot.
They’re going to be seeing constant pressure from the wind for the next 3-4 days.
Posted on 9/13/20 at 10:11 am to slackster
So intensity is tapering off the cat 2 prediticion but it’s shifting west?
Posted on 9/13/20 at 10:12 am to Bobby OG Johnson
The rainfall totals are much different from yesterday. They were like 20+ easy east of it.
Anyone remember Barry last year? We got lucky on that one as far as rain went because the models were showing huge downpour on SELA.
Anyone remember Barry last year? We got lucky on that one as far as rain went because the models were showing huge downpour on SELA.
Posted on 9/13/20 at 10:12 am to The Boat
Posted on 9/13/20 at 10:12 am to Prominentwon
Also, they never said the storm surge would be that high in LC. The peak surge is at the coast, and it was indeed 15-20'.
Pretty accurate forecast I think.
Pretty accurate forecast I think.
Posted on 9/13/20 at 10:12 am to Bunta
quote:
this thing needs to stay away from BR
Yeah, with the current slight westward shift, what does this mean for BR?
Posted on 9/13/20 at 10:14 am to pwejr88
Looks like the new track moved 3/4 H to the west. fricking wonderful.
Posted on 9/13/20 at 10:14 am to Swagga
quote:
So intensity is tapering off the cat 2 prediticion but it’s shifting west?
Kind of. The discussion mentions it will be stronger between forecast points so it implies just at Cat 2. Pretty academic though in terms of impacts for most of us.
Posted on 9/13/20 at 10:14 am to Bobby OG Johnson
quote:
The rainfall projections have gone down a bit but they’ve also put more rain over land too. A mixed bag so far.
Modeled rainfall projections can be a bit flaky. Substantial errors on both the high and low end.
The high end potential is certainly a threat due to slow forward speed.
Posted on 9/13/20 at 10:16 am to lsugolfredman
I hate to break it to y’all, but we can handle a CAT 1 in Baton Rouge just fine. Let that bitch track west and leave Lake Borgne alone!
Posted on 9/13/20 at 10:16 am to rt3
That latest NHC prediction shows a pretty decent stall between 8AM Tuesday and 8PM Tuesday.
Posted on 9/13/20 at 10:17 am to Duke
quote:
Kind of. The discussion mentions it will be stronger between forecast points so it implies just at Cat 2. Pretty academic though in terms of impacts for most of us.
If the current forecast holds, what wind speeds are we looking at in Washington and Northern St. Tammany Parishes?
Posted on 9/13/20 at 10:20 am to gizmothepug
I would start cutting down those pine trees next to your house up that way.
Posted on 9/13/20 at 10:20 am to Lord_Ford
My house can handle a cat 1. It's the big arse cypress in the backyard with 3 days of rain that I'd be worried about.
Posted on 9/13/20 at 10:21 am to gizmothepug
quote:
If the current forecast holds, what wind speeds are we looking at in Washington and Northern St. Tammany Parishes?
I think you more need to be worried about tornados spinning up during the apparently 24 hours it will take it to move through
Posted on 9/13/20 at 10:21 am to MrLSU
Posted on 9/13/20 at 10:22 am to MrLSU
Wonder if the schools will be open or not Monday.
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