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re: Sally - Moving towards Georgia - Potential for Significant Flooding

Posted on 9/11/20 at 1:42 pm to
Posted by michael corleone
baton rouge
Member since Jun 2005
5807 posts
Posted on 9/11/20 at 1:42 pm to
Initial thing to watch is whether or not any SW wobbles develop. The ridge pushed Katrina a bit SW after it passed the Keys , which resulted in the cone being pushed significantly westward. Hopefully that doesn’t happen here.
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
120262 posts
Posted on 9/11/20 at 1:42 pm to
Love letters on track to describe how cone has changed

Bingo card should be a top reply right under the OP

Also this thing is headed towards MS gulf coast, redneck will be here soon to ask if he needs to head to the camp to get the boats
This post was edited on 9/11/20 at 1:44 pm
Posted by NorthEndZone
Member since Dec 2008
11289 posts
Posted on 9/11/20 at 1:43 pm to
EURO has it right over the lake on Wed morning but very weak. If the path is right I hope the weak is right too...

Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
120262 posts
Posted on 9/11/20 at 1:44 pm to
quote:

Katrina


Bingo
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
84871 posts
Posted on 9/11/20 at 1:46 pm to
quote:

Bingo card should be a top reply right under the OP


I need to fix the typo of their instead of they’re before it’s ready for the big time.
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
120262 posts
Posted on 9/11/20 at 1:47 pm to
Asking rds or Duke to explain dropsonde graph should be on there
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
19809 posts
Posted on 9/11/20 at 1:50 pm to
Primary concern with this system appears to be the potential for it to move slow or stall near the coast. 12z Euro has totals over 20" and that is always a red flag.

Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
84871 posts
Posted on 9/11/20 at 1:53 pm to
quote:

move slow or stall
quote:

rds dc


Appreciate the effort.
Posted by crazyLSUstudent
391 miles away from Tiger Stadium
Member since Mar 2012
5515 posts
Posted on 9/11/20 at 1:57 pm to
quote:

Primary concern with this system appears to be the potential for it to move slow or stall near the coast. 12z Euro has totals over 20" and that is always a red flag.


When you say stall are we talking a Harvey kinda of stall?













You're welcome
Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
36706 posts
Posted on 9/11/20 at 1:57 pm to
2020 needs to get the f*ck outta here.
Posted by Dizz
Member since May 2008
14731 posts
Posted on 9/11/20 at 1:59 pm to
quote:

EURO has it right over the lake on Wed morning but very weak. If the path is right I hope the weak is right too...



Right in the middle of the bullseye is where you want to be this far out.
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
41494 posts
Posted on 9/11/20 at 1:59 pm to
Levi Cowan
@TropicalTidbits
·
3m
[#NerdTweet] Radar suggests that the new thunderstorm north of Andros Island has become a vortical hot tower, rotating in the mid-levels on the east side of the developing surface low. Features like these can speed up the organization of the surface circulation if they persist.
This post was edited on 9/11/20 at 2:00 pm
Posted by Jim Rockford
Member since May 2011
98182 posts
Posted on 9/11/20 at 2:00 pm to
quote:

When you say stall are we talking a Harvey kinda of stall?


Sorry, that's only the Texas version of the Bingo card.
Posted by TigerstuckinMS
Member since Nov 2005
33687 posts
Posted on 9/11/20 at 2:03 pm to
quote:

Primary concern with this system appears to be the potential for it to move slow or stall near the coast. 12z Euro has totals over 20" and that is always a red flag.

GODDAMMIT.
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
141129 posts
Posted on 9/11/20 at 2:05 pm to
quote:

Primary concern with this system appears to be the potential for it to move slow or stall near the coast. 12z Euro has totals over 20" and that is always a red flag.

Posted by Duke
Twin Lakes, CO
Member since Jan 2008
35613 posts
Posted on 9/11/20 at 2:08 pm to
quote:

Primary concern with this system appears to be the potential for it to move slow or stall near the coast. 12z Euro has totals over 20" and that is always a red flag.



Yeah, no matter the strength of the winds it does get stuck in no man's land by Tuesday.
Posted by AP83
Cottonport
Member since Sep 2009
2711 posts
Posted on 9/11/20 at 2:09 pm to
I picked the wrong damn year to build a house
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
141129 posts
Posted on 9/11/20 at 2:11 pm to
quote:

Right in the middle of the bullseye is where you want to be this far out.

I would disagree with this sentiment for weaker storms like this... esp. 1s with the potential to stall out and dumps copious amounts of rain

if this was going to be a strong(er) storm... I would agree

I'd rather be in the heavy rain area right now and see that move away from me rather than be in the landfall bullseye right now only to see that move off of me and put the top rainfall bullseye right on top of me
Posted by Duke
Twin Lakes, CO
Member since Jan 2008
35613 posts
Posted on 9/11/20 at 2:12 pm to
quote:


I picked the wrong damn year to build a house


I bought a house in SE EBR in late July of 2016.
Posted by Dominate308
South Florida
Member since Jan 2013
2895 posts
Posted on 9/11/20 at 2:13 pm to
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