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re: Sally - Moving towards Georgia - Potential for Significant Flooding
Posted on 9/14/20 at 12:57 pm to thadcastle
Posted on 9/14/20 at 12:57 pm to thadcastle
quote:
Dad?
ETA: Would actually be hilarious if my dad has been posting here and I had no idea.
It’s me son. Sorry you had to find out in a hurricane thread
Posted on 9/14/20 at 12:58 pm to Palmetto08
quote:
t’s me son. Sorry you had to find out in a hurricane thread
Posted on 9/14/20 at 12:58 pm to BurningHeart
quote:
Meanwhile, God in NOLA:
You spelled Latoya wrong.
Posted on 9/14/20 at 12:58 pm to Crimson1L
quote:
Going to make a beer run on the way home, and ride this one out with a pregnant wife.
Whose pregnant wife?
This post was edited on 9/14/20 at 12:59 pm
Posted on 9/14/20 at 1:00 pm to LSUGrad9295
What is dog river storm surge looking like?
Posted on 9/14/20 at 1:00 pm to burdman
I suspect intensification has slowed now as the wrap around process needs to happen for more strengthening to happen.
That band is starting to show up south of the main CDO. This shows me organization is still improving and it's starting to get that look of a storm really wrapping up. Kind of like a fist or like a shrimp shape.
Posted on 9/14/20 at 1:00 pm to LSUGrad9295
She's already pregnant, keep slamming it like a screen door in a hurricane.
This post was edited on 9/14/20 at 1:08 pm
Posted on 9/14/20 at 1:01 pm to redneck
quote:
redneck
quote:
Yeah we moved everything upstairs and the boats to higher ground.
Another BINGO
Posted on 9/14/20 at 1:01 pm to Palmetto08
I do appreciate that sir - hope you are yours are safe in all this. 
Posted on 9/14/20 at 1:02 pm to Duke
quote:
Frederic in 1979 was bad in Mobile
That’s way before my time
Posted on 9/14/20 at 1:03 pm to deltaland
When should we expect the next model runs (I know the NHC update is in an hour)?
Posted on 9/14/20 at 1:04 pm to rds dc
quote:
12z HWRF & HMON both show landfall near MS/AL border at about 960mb.
frick I may have cursed Mobile in my earlier comment. Sorry to any mobile baws
Posted on 9/14/20 at 1:04 pm to igoringa
quote:
When should we expect the next model runs
Euro is running now. Ensembles will be out in an hour or two.
Next set of models starts about 4:30 pm.
Posted on 9/14/20 at 1:04 pm to Duke
Just out of curiosity. What is causing sally to pretty much bounce off of Louisiana and literally shoot east? It’s almost like Louisiana has a force field over it.
Posted on 9/14/20 at 1:04 pm to Palmetto08
this chick on twc thicc af
Posted on 9/14/20 at 1:05 pm to Duke
quote:
That band is starting to show up south of the main CDO. This shows me organization is still improving and it's starting to get that look of a storm really wrapping up. Kind of like a fist or like a shrimp shape.
Yeah, people don't need to get lulled by this leveling off. It will continue to wrap and that convection will catch up with the pressure drop eventually, and strengthening will resume.
This whole process should be on radar. You don't get that often.
Posted on 9/14/20 at 1:06 pm to GumboPot
quote:
When is Sally supposed to make that jog west? She keeps moving NW with Mobile taking a direct hit.
She’s just going to drift generally wnw for the next day or so.
Also, her eye is still quite filled in with convection. Hopefully that continues since it will inhibit substantial strengthening.

Posted on 9/14/20 at 1:06 pm to SECbro
Looks like path slid west a bit with the 1pm model?
Posted on 9/14/20 at 1:07 pm to DhanTigers212
quote:
What is causing sally to pretty much bounce off of Louisiana and literally shoot east? It’s almost like Louisiana has a force field over it.
There's a weak ridge over the SE and kind of extending down into Florida. Currently Sally is getting pushed west by it now being on the south side of it. There's a trough moving west that will erode the western extent, leave only a weak ridge to the east of it which pushes it north. Eventually the trough will start kicking it NE.
So it's going to drift WNW generally today, almost stall overnight, and start moving north.
Everything the NHC path shows makes sense with the steering pattern at play.
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