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Started By
Message
4
Posted on 9/14/20 at 1:24 pm to TigerBait1980
quote:
Do you put much faith in these GFS ensembles?
Faith isn't the right word. It's a display of spreads of outcomes based on altering some assumptions, model physics perimeters, initial conditions, ect. The idea is to display a spread of possible outcomes. The current GEFS is underdeveloped, meaning it probably doesn't show enough spread but this version is pretty close to the possible spread being so close to landfall.
Posted on 9/14/20 at 1:25 pm to btnetigers
quote:
Is it just me, or does this look like a big pecker?
It is definitely a penis of some variety.
Posted on 9/14/20 at 1:26 pm to btnetigers
quote:
This post was edited on 9/14/20 at 1:27 pm
Posted on 9/14/20 at 1:28 pm to LSUFanHouston
quote:
That's what got the pucker factor up in NOLA.
Remember Hurricane Georges
Posted on 9/14/20 at 1:28 pm to Duke
Duke, interesting to me when looking at the tropical storm force wind shading on the advisory, they actually extend pretty far west of the indicated center. Keep thinking on the northshore we won’t really get anything but if that orange shading is accurate we should see a good period of TS force winds, fair assessment?
This post was edited on 9/14/20 at 1:29 pm
Posted on 9/14/20 at 1:29 pm to Duke
Do yall see any chances of I-10 closing down heading east on Thursday morning?
How does Mobile's tunnel fair in this type of storm or past storms / flooding events?
TIA
How does Mobile's tunnel fair in this type of storm or past storms / flooding events?
TIA
Posted on 9/14/20 at 1:29 pm to Duke
For anyone interested in understanding how models work, and how they are put together, this is a great explanation from one of the brightest minds in that field right now, Jack Sillin. Bookmark it and watch it later. It is complicated stuff, but they do a good job of explaining it.
Hurricane U (Understanding Numerical Weather Prediction with Mark Sudduth and Jack Sillin)
Hurricane U (Understanding Numerical Weather Prediction with Mark Sudduth and Jack Sillin)
This post was edited on 9/14/20 at 1:32 pm
Posted on 9/14/20 at 1:30 pm to LaBR4
Posted on 9/14/20 at 1:30 pm to Theboot32
quote:
Keep thinking on the northshore we won’t really get anything but if that is accurate we should see a good period of TS force winds, fair assessment?
Where on the Northshore. The TS wind odds drop rapidly from Slidell to Madisonville.
It depends on how east it is. Farther west, higher odds of TS winds. In general though, things are looking better and better for NS impacts at this time.
Posted on 9/14/20 at 1:31 pm to btnetigers
quote:
Is it just me, or does this look like a big pecker?
Whoever dialed this up for sure brought the colleagues around the screen and had a good laugh. And then they said go ahead, release it to the public, chuckle, chuckle.
Posted on 9/14/20 at 1:31 pm to TheBigHurt
quote:
How does Mobile's tunnel fair in this type of storm or past storms / flooding events?
the tunnel does fine. The traffic around it is fricked.
Posted on 9/14/20 at 1:31 pm to Crimson1L
The bad thing about living in Fairhope is if you are without power, the crews will be out replanting flowers and doing former mayor Kant's bidding.
Posted on 9/14/20 at 1:31 pm to Duke
I’m in Mandeville
Posted on 9/14/20 at 1:31 pm to Duke
quote:
my optimism for NOLA has been rising all morning as it has been dropping for Mobile.
And poor Landmass gets nary a mention.
Posted on 9/14/20 at 1:32 pm to btnetigers
quote:
Is it just me, or does this look like a big pecker?
With Peyronies disease
Posted on 9/14/20 at 1:33 pm to Tbonepatron
quote:
Tbonepatron
I have scoured Google trying to find out the name of that girl. Nice rack.
Posted on 9/14/20 at 1:34 pm to fatboydave
quote:
LINK tp Pink Pony beachcam
That's some nice size waves out there this far out.
Posted on 9/14/20 at 1:34 pm to tigerinthebueche
quote:
quote:
How does Mobile's tunnel fair in this type of storm or past storms / flooding events?
the tunnel does fine. The traffic around it is fricked.
Does Mobile still have the group of folks who spend the night on the battleship during an approaching hurricane, or was that some kind of weird urban legend?
Posted on 9/14/20 at 1:35 pm to PsychTiger
quote:
And poor Landmass gets nary a mention.
My thoughts on the landmass haven't changed. They've been lined up to be in the shite for days.
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