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Posted on 9/14/20 at 10:54 am to 50_Tiger
quote:
Would it be illogical to think there is going to be an Eastward shift again next advisory?
No.
Posted on 9/14/20 at 10:55 am to 50_Tiger
quote:
Would it be illogical to think there is going to be an Eastward shift again next advisory?
It could, but I think the shifts from here will be small. It's going to be generally drifting west today with the steering, the movement here is just organization. This move obviously implies a eastern shift is way more likely than going west any.
Posted on 9/14/20 at 10:55 am to bee Rye
quote:
lolwut the frick are you babbling about?
I think Pride is on the verge of another meltdown like he had earlier this year..I think between the COVID threads and weather threads ...he's about to explode
Posted on 9/14/20 at 10:56 am to rt3
quote:I'd like to sexually transmit a disease with her.
in the words of WWE wrestler AJ Lee... talent is not a sexually transmitted disease
Wait ... I'm not sure that sounds right.
Oh well, too late to take it back now. I've already typed it.
Posted on 9/14/20 at 10:56 am to tgrbaitn08
Posted on 9/14/20 at 10:56 am to Duke
I'm going to be pissed if Hucks in Pascagoula gets destroyed.
Posted on 9/14/20 at 10:56 am to tgrbaitn08
quote:Im in good shape
I think Pride is on the verge of another meltdown like he had earlier this year..I think between the COVID threads and weather threads ...he's about to explode
JBE contributions came through for me
Posted on 9/14/20 at 10:58 am to slackster
Boy that tightened up on the north end. There's our core forming band. Next step is getting it around the W and S side.
Posted on 9/14/20 at 10:58 am to Goodell Clown
quote:
will be calling them morons in the sense that they create panic too early
They don’t. Dumb people create panic.
Posted on 9/14/20 at 11:00 am to im4LSU
What's the threshold for an evacuatuation?
Posted on 9/14/20 at 11:00 am to Duke
quote:
There's our core forming band. Next step is getting it around the W and S side.
Is there any W to E upper level shear to prevent this from happening, to some extent?
Posted on 9/14/20 at 11:01 am to Duke
quote:
Outflow expanding N and on the east side of the system this morning, corresponding to the increasing organization and start of the strengthening phase.
Looks like things are a good 6 - 12hrs ahead of "schedule" when compared to the 06z HWRF run. Indications were that the system would be battling some mid-level shear today but that appears to not be happening or Sally is just winning that battle.
Posted on 9/14/20 at 11:01 am to Duke
Duke what is your guess on what NOLA will get out of this. What track would you say it takes. Not asking for definite outcome just curious where you think Landfall would be. Just your guess. If you have one
Posted on 9/14/20 at 11:02 am to Duke
quote:
Boy that tightened up on the north end. There's our core forming band. Next step is getting it around the W and S side.
Happening so close to shore, too. Like I said, damn interesting. Plenty of heat and moisture there, for sure, and it isn't strong enough to create much upwelling to cool the waters. Shear seems to have been the only impediment.
Posted on 9/14/20 at 11:02 am to LSU_Smash_the_West
Is Houston going to be okay?
Posted on 9/14/20 at 11:03 am to rds dc
quote:
Looks like things are a good 6 - 12hrs ahead of "schedule" when compared to the 06z HWRF run. Indications were that the system would be battling some mid-level shear today but that appears to not be happening or Sally is just winning that battle.
That last pass got my attention bigly.
That core curved band got it's self right by the center really quickly. Sally clearly convected away the mid level shear problem but it always looked pretty light (to me) at this stage anyway.
Posted on 9/14/20 at 11:03 am to LSU_Smash_the_West
quote:
Duke what is your guess on what NOLA will get out of this.
Well, NOLA either is or isn't getting 15mph winds as I type this.
Posted on 9/14/20 at 11:03 am to Duke
quote:
Boy that tightened up on the north end. There's our core forming band. Next step is getting it around the W and S side.
You’re not lying. Got a light purple barn in the same pass we got our first purple barn.
Posted on 9/14/20 at 11:04 am to im4LSU
im4lsu at what point do they bring you guys in??
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