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re: On the back side of Alligator Bayou...Parish ordered evacuation (Aug 15th)

Posted on 8/17/16 at 1:45 pm to
Posted by BRIllini07
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Feb 2015
3206 posts
Posted on 8/17/16 at 1:45 pm to
Something doesn't look right, Ward Creek drains into Amite upstream of where Bayou Manchac ties in and over a foot lower?

LINK
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91838 posts
Posted on 8/17/16 at 1:51 pm to
quote:

Something doesn't look right, Ward Creek drains into Amite upstream of where Bayou Manchac ties in and over a foot lower?


I'm no hydrologist, but I'd imagine the distance that water needs to travel and the velocity of that water in the Amite has a lot to do with it. Basically, the water flows to lower elevations, and while Ward Creek is lower than the Bayou Manchac gage, Bayou Manchac is still lower than Denham Springs, and that water will still flow towards Bayou Manchac because it is already moving in that direction in the Amite.

In other words, it would rather flow downstream to Bayou Manchac @ 17ft than it would "upstream" to the Ward Creek gage even though it is at 16.88 ft.
Posted by 4WHLN
Drinking at the Cottage Inn
Member since Mar 2013
7638 posts
Posted on 8/17/16 at 1:53 pm to
Whats yall thoughts on Legacy Hills taking on water? Got a good friend who lives in there and his pond is up several inches from yesterday morning. Im guessing this would be some back flow from the "trickle" over 74 at Oak Ally or would this water be coming from some other location?
The dude is a nervous wreck and hes just about out of Whiskey
Posted by BamaFanInTigerland
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Sep 2009
787 posts
Posted on 8/17/16 at 1:57 pm to
quote:

Alligator/Manchac was 12.51' @ 12p. (.24"/hr)
Bluff Swamp was 12.54'@ 12p. (.24"/hr)


Alligator/Manchac was 12.52' @ 1p. (.12"/hr)
Bluff Swamp was 12.56'@ 1p. (.24"/hr)

No change at Bayou Fountain (15.02').

Dawson & Ward dropped another 1.25". Manchac @ Little Prairie dropped 1.5"! Port Vincent dropped 1.2". French Settlement went up .12".
Posted by Taxing Tiger
Member since Mar 2013
649 posts
Posted on 8/17/16 at 1:58 pm to
I'll gladly trade with him!
Posted by BamaFanInTigerland
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Sep 2009
787 posts
Posted on 8/17/16 at 2:05 pm to
quote:

In other words, it would rather flow downstream to Bayou Manchac @ 17ft than it would "upstream" to the Ward Creek gage even though it is at 16.88 ft.


We also don't know what depth the water is @ Santa Maria where Ward/Dawson tie back into Manchac. Could be 15' there which would draw the water from those creeks down.
Posted by Capt ST
High Plains
Member since Aug 2011
13673 posts
Posted on 8/17/16 at 2:29 pm to
I'm not saying the gauge is wrong, but it's coming up.
Posted by LSUaFOOL
Jackson, La
Member since Jan 2008
1864 posts
Posted on 8/17/16 at 2:31 pm to
Starting to see some people give up the fight on Ridge. Wafb at Alligator Bayou now.

Just talked to someone with the State. They are prepared to start staging boats on stand by for Ridge. They are gonna hold off as long as people are ok and still busting arse to full bags.
This post was edited on 8/17/16 at 2:34 pm
Posted by Nado Jenkins83
Land of the Free
Member since Nov 2012
66100 posts
Posted on 8/17/16 at 2:32 pm to
quote:

We also don't know what depth the water is @ Santa Maria where Ward/Dawson tie back into Manchac. Could be 15' there which would draw the water from those creeks down.




i have a feeling bayou fountain is partially feeding this issue.
Posted by StinkBait72
Member since Nov 2011
2072 posts
Posted on 8/17/16 at 2:37 pm to
Wow look at that road and how high the water is on the lake side.
Posted by BamaFanInTigerland
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Sep 2009
787 posts
Posted on 8/17/16 at 2:38 pm to
quote:

Alligator/Manchac was 12.52' @ 1p. (.12"/hr)
Bluff Swamp was 12.56'@ 1p. (.24"/hr)


Alligator/Manchac was 12.55' @ 2p. (.36"/hr)
Bluff Swamp was 12.58'@ 2p. (.24"/hr)

Eighth drop at Bayou Fountain (15.01').

Manchac @ Little Prairie down by 1.5" (16.98') Dawson & Ward both dropped 1.32".
Posted by doubleb
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2006
42635 posts
Posted on 8/17/16 at 2:40 pm to
Bayou Fountain is still barely falling. The water didn't get as high as I had feared, but it's taking a long time to drop.
Posted by CidCock
Member since Sep 2007
Member since Feb 2011
8692 posts
Posted on 8/17/16 at 2:46 pm to
quote:

Starting to see some people give up the fight on Ridge. Wafb at Alligator Bayou now.


Dang it


How far do you have?
Posted by LSUvegasbombed
Red Stick
Member since Sep 2013
15464 posts
Posted on 8/17/16 at 2:48 pm to
quote:

Starting to see some people give up the fight on Ridge. Wafb at Alligator Bayou now.

Just talked to someone with the State. They are prepared to start staging boats on stand by for Ridge. They are gonna hold off as long as people are ok and still busting arse to full bags.


so more flooding could happen?
Posted by LSUaFOOL
Jackson, La
Member since Jan 2008
1864 posts
Posted on 8/17/16 at 2:49 pm to
Im 8 inches to the good.

Posted by StinkBait72
Member since Nov 2011
2072 posts
Posted on 8/17/16 at 2:50 pm to
It is still continuing to rise in the Spanish Lake area.
Posted by CidCock
Member since Sep 2007
Member since Feb 2011
8692 posts
Posted on 8/17/16 at 2:51 pm to
quote:

Im 8 inches to the good.







Surely you are okay to ride this thing out
Posted by LSUaFOOL
Jackson, La
Member since Jan 2008
1864 posts
Posted on 8/17/16 at 2:53 pm to
quote:

so more flooding could happen?


More flooding is going to happen. They were checking because water is over the road in 4 or 5 spots and it seems it's a losing battle. People who had 4 and 5 pumps running have decided to give up because they are losing ground. Right now high trucks and ATVs only can travel to the back.
Posted by Capt ST
High Plains
Member since Aug 2011
13673 posts
Posted on 8/17/16 at 2:55 pm to
Woman just said she was told it's supposed to rise thru Friday
Posted by LSUaFOOL
Jackson, La
Member since Jan 2008
1864 posts
Posted on 8/17/16 at 2:58 pm to
I can see that. I'll have over a foot if that's the case and if that's the case..... it can Frick Right Off!
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