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re: On the back side of Alligator Bayou...Parish ordered evacuation (Aug 15th)

Posted on 8/17/16 at 8:59 am to
Posted by XxxSpooky1
A place in SE La
Member since Sep 2007
5163 posts
Posted on 8/17/16 at 8:59 am to
quote:

We got it, going go find some tarps to finish up. Sucks the opposing corners are low. About to pull off the old guys place to help the sorority chicks down the street.



Thank you, that's awesome.
Posted by CidCock
Member since Sep 2007
Member since Feb 2011
8692 posts
Posted on 8/17/16 at 9:03 am to
quote:

There's no official projection. Like I said it will stop rising when the Amite is lower than it.The good news is the Amite is lowering much faster than alligator is rising. Plus the head difference is getting smaller so that rate of rise at alligator is getting smaller as well.




Agree 100%

Wasn't there a report from someone on here last night that Manchac was flowing correctly now?
This post was edited on 8/17/16 at 9:05 am
Posted by BRIllini07
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Feb 2015
3206 posts
Posted on 8/17/16 at 9:05 am to
quote:

Are you basing that just off of that graph or are other sources giving those predictions too? I'm pretty sure that graph hasn't updated since Sunday.



They've still been revising the forecast every 12 hours or so (and the numbers have changed with each revised forecast), it's not as good as real data but I don't think its too far off. The upstream gage at Denham Springs and downstream at Port Vincent are both reading well and show similar trends.

All day yesterday the Amite/Denham Springs gage was falling faster than forecast so it makes since the revised forecast for this morning would show an improved outlook for Amite/Manchac as well.
Posted by StinkBait72
Member since Nov 2011
2072 posts
Posted on 8/17/16 at 9:07 am to
It was still flowing west at I-10 an hour ago.
Posted by dualed
Member since Sep 2010
4780 posts
Posted on 8/17/16 at 9:15 am to
Where you baws finding tarps at?
Posted by UNO
Member since Mar 2015
4961 posts
Posted on 8/17/16 at 9:16 am to
how is bayou paul road doing?
Posted by DownshiftAndFloorIt
Here
Member since Jan 2011
72096 posts
Posted on 8/17/16 at 9:19 am to
Friend on bayou Paul lost their house this morning. Pumps crapped out.
Posted by UNO
Member since Mar 2015
4961 posts
Posted on 8/17/16 at 9:20 am to
do you know how far down bayou paul road their house was? like once you turn left off of manchac road coming from prairieville.
Posted by BamaFanInTigerland
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Sep 2009
787 posts
Posted on 8/17/16 at 9:23 am to
quote:

They've still been revising the forecast every 12 hours or so (and the numbers have changed with each revised forecast), it's not as good as real data but I don't think its too far off. The upstream gage at Denham Springs and downstream at Port Vincent are both reading well and show similar trends.


Posted by JohnnyBgood
South Louisiana
Member since May 2010
4457 posts
Posted on 8/17/16 at 9:29 am to
Anyone have an update on what's going on with New River?
Posted by DownshiftAndFloorIt
Here
Member since Jan 2011
72096 posts
Posted on 8/17/16 at 9:31 am to
No I don't. I never made it to their house.
Posted by BamaFanInTigerland
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Sep 2009
787 posts
Posted on 8/17/16 at 9:38 am to
quote:

Anyone have an update on what's going on with New River?


Unfortunately there are no gauges to the south/west of I10 on New River but I do see all the ones closer to St. Amant are dropping.

I'd imagine that some of this water from Alligator Bayou is going to New River past 74.
Posted by BamaFanInTigerland
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Sep 2009
787 posts
Posted on 8/17/16 at 9:42 am to
quote:

Alligator/Manchac was 12.42' @ 8a. (.24"/hr)
Bluff Swamp was 12.46'@ 78a. (.24"/hr)


Alligator/Manchac was 12.45' @ 9a. (.36"/hr)
Bluff Swamp was 12.49'@ 9a. (.36"/hr)

No change at Bayou Fountain (15.05').
Posted by Byrdybyrd05
Member since Nov 2014
26543 posts
Posted on 8/17/16 at 9:43 am to
Did they ever evacuate the women's prison this morning? On the news last night they said they would know by 6:30 if they had to move them out or not in iberville.
Posted by sjmabry
Texas
Member since Aug 2013
18950 posts
Posted on 8/17/16 at 9:47 am to
quote:

Did they ever evacuate the women's prison this morning? On the news last night they said they would know by 6:30 if they had to move them out or not in iberville.
You looking for a few roommates, baw?
Posted by Capt ST
High Plains
Member since Aug 2011
13673 posts
Posted on 8/17/16 at 9:48 am to
Yeah it appears to have risen since we started sand bagging. Homes at shadow ridge and ridge rd look like they'll have water if they don't get sand bag
Posted by Byrdybyrd05
Member since Nov 2014
26543 posts
Posted on 8/17/16 at 9:50 am to
Nah lol if they moved the prison then I will be more nervous about my house.
Posted by skuter
P'ville
Member since Jan 2005
6262 posts
Posted on 8/17/16 at 9:59 am to
I wouldn't be surprised if Hunt (mens) has some level of evacuation very soon
This post was edited on 8/17/16 at 10:00 am
Posted by LSUaFOOL
Jackson, La
Member since Jan 2008
1864 posts
Posted on 8/17/16 at 10:00 am to
Yea.. I agree. We didn't bag, we just moved out everything of value. May lose a few things I wish I could save but we have stuff over half of Ascension. Some stuff we moved to the St.Amant area earlier in the week only to have our things flooded over there. We are very blessed to have been this lucky so far. All the rest of my family in Ascension and the majority of my friends have lost everything due to the fast rising water.
This post was edited on 8/17/16 at 10:02 am
Posted by DownshiftAndFloorIt
Here
Member since Jan 2011
72096 posts
Posted on 8/17/16 at 10:04 am to
Just look at the dry houses and how many have a bunch of extra cars and stuff there.

It's very humbling to see so many people working so hard to do so much.
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