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Started By
Message
re: On the back side of Alligator Bayou...Parish ordered evacuation (Aug 15th)
Posted on 8/17/16 at 8:38 am to DownshiftAndFloorIt
Posted on 8/17/16 at 8:38 am to DownshiftAndFloorIt
okay, can you keep me posted on that?
i know someone in lakes at dutchtown and they are freaking out.
i know someone in lakes at dutchtown and they are freaking out.
0
Posted on 8/17/16 at 8:40 am to XxxSpooky1
Get off the damn phone and start slinging bag son, I ain't here to watch you play on TD.
Posted on 8/17/16 at 8:40 am to CidCock
quote:
Looking at the graph, Bluff Swamp is very close to cresting, maybe at 12.6?
that's good. or would that water backflow somewhere else?
Posted on 8/17/16 at 8:41 am to DownshiftAndFloorIt
Crap so my house in Spanish lakes subdivision in st gabriel is going to be flooded. I am at my parents house in siegen ln. so I can go to work knowing my wife and son won't be in any danger.
Posted on 8/17/16 at 8:42 am to doubleb
Posted on 8/17/16 at 8:43 am to Byrdybyrd05
Passed the schools not too long ago people are sandbagging fast and furious
Posted on 8/17/16 at 8:44 am to BamaFanInTigerland
The good news is the Amite is falling quickly. Once it falls lower than the water surface elevation at alligator, everything will be able to drain out in the right direction (to the Amite).
Posted on 8/17/16 at 8:45 am to UNO
quote:
that's good. or would that water backflow somewhere else?
I am just a civil engineer, not a water expert, and not super familiar with the hydrology in that part of the state. Until this fiasco, I didn't realize so much of BR drained to the Amite.
But I would guess, that when it crests, you will start to see dropping all around there. I don't think anywhere that's not flooded now would be flooded after the crest. Assuming everything holds. No one is out of the woods, but I'd feel a lot better about the Ridge Road people.
This post was edited on 8/17/16 at 8:48 am
Posted on 8/17/16 at 8:47 am to CidCock
quote:
Looking at the graph, Bluff Swamp is very close to cresting
Not exactly. It will keep rising (slowly) until the level of the Amite at Manchac is lower.
Posted on 8/17/16 at 8:48 am to TigahFan4Life
quote:
Doubleb, it's dropped almost 2 feet in over 24 hours
That's .2' not 2'
Posted on 8/17/16 at 8:49 am to Capt ST
I would like to, but I'm in Covington trying to find a way there.
Posted on 8/17/16 at 8:49 am to TigahFan4Life
Revised forecast at Amite/Bayou Manchac shows predicted level 14.9ft at 1PM and hitting 13.5ft at 7PM.
LINK
I'm pretty sure previous forecast had Amite/Bayou Manchac not dropping below 15ft until 7PM.
LINK
I'm pretty sure previous forecast had Amite/Bayou Manchac not dropping below 15ft until 7PM.
Posted on 8/17/16 at 8:49 am to BamaFanInTigerland
quote:
Alligator/Manchac was 12.40' @ 7a. (.24"/hr)
Bluff Swamp was 12.44'@ 7a. (.24"/hr)
Alligator/Manchac was 12.42' @ 8a. (.24"/hr)
Bluff Swamp was 12.46'@ 78a. (.24"/hr)
Bayou Fountain dropped another eighth of an inch (15.05').
Two hours at a lower rate of increase. Port Vincent dropped 1.5" in past hour so that means Amite/Manchac should be dropping too, we just don't know at what rate.
Posted on 8/17/16 at 8:50 am to XxxSpooky1
quote:
First house on the right after the main curve on ridge road
I'm in the trailer right past you riding it out. I stay in the first red brick house past all the S curves. The one with the Big arse live oak. Thint that house was one of the first houses on Ridge and was supposedly built on the highest point on the Ridge. The newer homes are about my elevation or a little higher as you can see from my neighbors house.
Posted on 8/17/16 at 8:51 am to LSUJuice
quote:
Not exactly. It will keep rising (slowly) until the level of the Amite at Manchac is lower.
What's the projected crest at that point?
I still contend that Bluff Swamp is close to cresting. There are a lot of factors at play, and a lot of storage between the Amite and Bluff Swamp that are draining now and will take on some of that water before it gets back to the Amite
This post was edited on 8/17/16 at 8:54 am
Posted on 8/17/16 at 8:53 am to XxxSpooky1
We got it, going go find some tarps to finish up. Sucks the opposing corners are low. About to pull off the old guys place to help the sorority chicks down the street. 
This post was edited on 8/17/16 at 8:54 am
Posted on 8/17/16 at 8:53 am to BRIllini07
This would be awesome. That would cut off the back flow. Please please please be correct!!!
Posted on 8/17/16 at 8:56 am to BRIllini07
quote:
Revised forecast at Amite/Bayou Manchac shows predicted level 14.9ft at 1PM and hitting 13.5ft at 7PM.
Are you basing that just off of that graph or are other sources giving those predictions too? I'm pretty sure that graph hasn't updated since Sunday.
Posted on 8/17/16 at 8:58 am to CidCock
There's no official projection. Like I said it will stop rising when the Amite is lower than it.The good news is the Amite is lowering much faster than alligator is rising. Plus the head difference is getting smaller so that rate of rise at alligator is getting smaller as well.
Posted on 8/17/16 at 8:59 am to CidCock
Bluff swamp is still taking water over alligator bayou so it is not crested. Manchac at kleinpeter is crested, higher than alligator bayou road.
Bluff swamp will not crest until water quits going over alligator bayou road.
Bluff swamp will not crest until water quits going over alligator bayou road.
This post was edited on 8/17/16 at 9:00 am
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