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Started By
Message
re: NYC has fallen.
Posted on 12/23/24 at 12:45 pm to SCLibertarian
Posted on 12/23/24 at 12:45 pm to SCLibertarian
quote:
quote:
you got a link saying it was her?
There are various twitter users stating this.
At first when I read this, I thought she worked at Subway.
Posted on 12/23/24 at 12:46 pm to lsupride87
So you are suggesting that 1,120 is the total number and there weren't any that went unreported?
Your statement also assumes that the "bad thing" would happen on the millionth ride and not anytime before then. I highly doubt this woman was about to hit 7 figures.
Your statement also assumes that the "bad thing" would happen on the millionth ride and not anytime before then. I highly doubt this woman was about to hit 7 figures.
This post was edited on 12/23/24 at 12:48 pm
Posted on 12/23/24 at 12:46 pm to jizzle6609
quote:Hmm, at A Subway or The subway?
thought she worked at Subway.
Posted on 12/23/24 at 12:47 pm to Chucktown_Badger
quote:Im suggesting we look up stats to the best of our ability instead of using your emotional argument or another posters emotional argument
So you are suggesting that 1,120 is the total number and there weren't any that went unreported?
But you won’t accept anything and will just say they are making it up so it’s impossible to form any actual logical opinion with you
It’s the same with people that say the world is flat. Anything you show them is “oh and you think they don’t have a reason to lie????”
This post was edited on 12/23/24 at 12:49 pm
Posted on 12/23/24 at 12:49 pm to Chucktown_Badger
quote:
Your statement also assumes that the "bad thing" would happen on the millionth ride and not anytime before then. I highly doubt this woman was about to hit 7 figures.

What a mathematician guys. You understand how stats work? Do you think everyone that wins the lottery actually wins it on their 1,000,000th ticket bought?
Some people are on the bad end of stats and some on the good end. Kinda how averages work friend
This post was edited on 12/23/24 at 12:50 pm
Posted on 12/23/24 at 12:53 pm to lsupride87
quote:
So, statistically, it takes 1 million rides to experience a violent encounter.
Fine...let's use stats. From the very page/report you grabbed yours from
quote:
For the sake of illustration, let’s start with the 2023 rate of one reported violent incident for every 280,000 rides. Then imagine that you take the subway about 10 times a week, resulting in 500 rides per year. Also assume that you can see 20 riders whenever you take the train – if anything, a conservative assumption. Finally, let’s say you keep in regular contact with about 30 people who live in New York and have the same subway ridership habits.
We’ll save you from having to dig out your probability textbook by calculating some of the relevant risks for you. You still have a low probability — about 1-in-500 — of being a victim of a reported violent crime yourself, even over the course of an entire year. But probabilities have a surprising way of accumulating. You have a 1-in-30 chance of seeing a violent crime unfolding on the subway over the course of the year. And across your community of 30 people, there’s about a two-thirds chance that someone you know will have seen or experienced a violent crime unfolding on the train. New Yorkers who live in neighborhoods with higher crime, who take the subway during off-peak hours or who have longer commutes, likely face higher risks than this citywide average.
Posted on 12/23/24 at 12:54 pm to lsupride87
quote:
Hmm, at A Subway or The subway?
A Subway.
As a matter of fact, when I read it, I smelled the italian bread.
Posted on 12/23/24 at 12:57 pm to Chucktown_Badger
You are literally using “a narrative” argument from their article

Posted on 12/23/24 at 12:59 pm to Big Scrub TX
quote:
We're talking like 20 million people.
It’s 10x that of Tokyos rate, and 6-7x that of other major cities throughout Europe. In no way is being 10x worse than a peer inconceivably low.
Posted on 12/23/24 at 1:00 pm to nugget
For American cities NYC does not have a bad violent crime rate
Posted on 12/23/24 at 1:01 pm to lsupride87
quote:
For American cities NYC does not have a bad violent crime rate
This is true.
Its all tied to education folks. Its never been about color.
Posted on 12/23/24 at 1:03 pm to nugget
Can anyone explain the video to me? She is just standing there, straight up, on fire, not moving at all, and no one is doing anything?
Posted on 12/23/24 at 1:06 pm to lsupride87
quote:
You are literally using “a narrative” argument from their article
The bolded part is an application of the statistics. But because you don't like it you will try and dismiss it.
Posted on 12/23/24 at 1:13 pm to lsupride87
Houston is significantly more violent than NYC, but you’re not going to be pushed onto train racks, get burned to death in a train car, and probably a lot less likely to get attacked walking down the street
It’s nuanced and statistics don’t always tell the entire story
It’s nuanced and statistics don’t always tell the entire story
Posted on 12/23/24 at 1:19 pm to RunninReb

Posted on 12/23/24 at 1:30 pm to Fun Bunch
(no message)
This post was edited on 3/7/25 at 6:31 am
Posted on 12/23/24 at 1:42 pm to GreatLakesTiger24
quote:
Houston is significantly more violent than NYC, but you’re not going to be pushed onto train racks, get burned to death in a train car, and probably a lot less likely to get attacked walking down the street
It’s nuanced and statistics don’t always tell the entire story
I've taken to calling it "felt crime." Sure, it's inexact, but not to be dismissed.
A random, low-risk lifestyle person getting burned alive on the subway in a not bad area is the epitome of that. Or a dad of 3 getting mugged and shot in a decent part of a city at 3PM, etc.
Crime may be at a 20 year low but if it's bleeding into areas where people who don't engage in risky lifestyles are being impacted, it's not entirely irrational for people to take note and be apprehensive (even if statistically your chances of being victimized remain near zero).
Posted on 12/23/24 at 2:09 pm to Fun Bunch
This. What’s going on? Did no one try and help? Assuming an accelerate was used by the whole things just seems odd. I assumed she was drunk and passed out and homeless. That doesn’t appear to be the case at all.
Posted on 12/23/24 at 2:20 pm to RunninReb
Done by an illegal Trump kicked out but Biden allowed back in.
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Posted on 12/23/24 at 2:21 pm to dallastigers
statistically, could’ve happened to anyone and could’ve been done by anyone…
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