Started By
Message

re: numerical perspective on the COVID-19 overreaction

Posted on 5/11/20 at 12:02 pm to
Posted by buckeye_vol
Member since Jul 2014
35406 posts
Posted on 5/11/20 at 12:02 pm to
quote:

The US deaths total .00014281%
There are over 50 billion people in the United States because that’s what your number indicates?
Posted by Korkstand
Member since Nov 2003
29134 posts
Posted on 5/11/20 at 12:05 pm to
quote:

Sweden never closed down their economy and yet their mortality rate is on par with the U.S. and we have tanked a vibrant economy.
Sweden did more shutting down that people want to think. Also, we have a single city with more people than the entire country of Sweden. And as it happens, if we remove that single city from the US, Sweden's covid deaths per 1M is more than twice the US.
Posted by buckeye_vol
Member since Jul 2014
35406 posts
Posted on 5/11/20 at 12:07 pm to
And Sweden is projected (of course those could be wrong) to have a larger economic contraction than the United States as well.
Posted by Thib-a-doe Tiger
Member since Nov 2012
36812 posts
Posted on 5/11/20 at 12:08 pm to
quote:

quote:
The US deaths total .00014281%
There are over 50 billion people in the United States because that’s what your number indicates?






you need to go back to like 5th grade math class.


Do me a favor. Divide 47,000/330,000,000 and let me know what you come up with.

The 2 morons who upvoted you are welcome to participate as well



ETA: maybe I'm the moron
This post was edited on 5/11/20 at 12:17 pm
Posted by Sasquatch Smash
Member since Nov 2007
25964 posts
Posted on 5/11/20 at 12:11 pm to
quote:

You know Sweden has like a fraction of our population, of which is way less diverse, less aged, and in overall better general health. Compare the average Swede to the average, fat, broke, and stupid American. They’ve got it a little better health wise than we do based on population numbers alone.

The Sweden argument does not apply to the US


Did you know nearly 20 percent of Sweden’s population was born in a nation outside of Sweden, with many of those immigrants coming from counties outside of the EU? And over half of that 20% being immigrants/refugees coming in in the last decade?

Who do you reckon is dying over there in Sweden right now?
This post was edited on 5/11/20 at 1:22 pm
Posted by Korkstand
Member since Nov 2003
29134 posts
Posted on 5/11/20 at 12:11 pm to
quote:

There have been 283k deaths due to COVID worldwide.

On average, 150k people die every single day of the year worldwide.

By these numbers, COVID has accounted for approx. 0.5% of expected worldwide deaths this year.

Even if the number gets up to 1 million, that still accounts for less than 2% of the total expected deaths.
Just so we're on the same page, there have very likely already been well over 1 million covid deaths. There is absolutely no way that the numbers out of China, India, the ME, and Africa are anywhere near accurate.

quote:

So we have have wrecked the economy and put countless people in danger of financial ruin, bankruptcy, starvation, job loss, business loss, depression, anxiety, desperation, bad credit, eviction, repossession, default, suicidal thoughts, and lack of social interaction .... over a statistically insignificant amount of people dying.
I do not think we should have shut down at all, but I do think we need to be honest about the numbers.
Posted by buckeye_vol
Member since Jul 2014
35406 posts
Posted on 5/11/20 at 12:12 pm to
quote:

you need to go back to like 5th grade math class.
quote:

Do me a favor. Divide 47,000/330,000,000 and let me know what you come up with.
Well first of all we are at 81,009 deaths, but I’ll use your 47,000 to show you what you did wrong.

47,000/330,000,000 = 0.000142

0.000142 written as a percentage is 0.0142% since A FIFTH GRADER SHOULD KNOW YIU HAVE TO MOVE THE DECIMAL 2 PLACES TO THE LEFT WHICH YOU FAILED TO DO:
quote:

The US deaths total .00014281%
This post was edited on 5/11/20 at 12:13 pm
Posted by Korkstand
Member since Nov 2003
29134 posts
Posted on 5/11/20 at 12:13 pm to
quote:

you need to go back to like 5th grade math class.


Do me a favor. Divide 47,000/330,000,000 and let me know what you come up with.

The 2 morons who upvoted you are welcome to participate as well
frick, man. If you're going to insult someone, you damn sure better make sure you're right. And you are not.

When you put that % on the end, you need to move the decimal over 2 places.
Posted by Thib-a-doe Tiger
Member since Nov 2012
36812 posts
Posted on 5/11/20 at 12:15 pm to
I didnt even realize I put the %. My bad, carry on
Posted by TheCaterpillar
Member since Jan 2004
76774 posts
Posted on 5/11/20 at 12:15 pm to
I'm in the "open it up for healthy young people camp" and have been for a while.

But this isn't true at all:

quote:

And nothing really shows that hospitals would have been overwhelmed causing more deaths.


There are tons of examples of places all over the world with bad outbreaks that overwhelmed hospital systems and negatively impacted people with and wihtout COVID19 in those hospitals.

Lack of vents and PPE is just the start.

However, we did our job to flatten the curve and we can still do so by isolating the vulnerable and the rest of us social distancing and practicing good hygiene in an open economy.

Posted by dgnx6
Member since Feb 2006
91714 posts
Posted on 5/11/20 at 12:16 pm to
quote:


And there would have been much much more if there weren't SAH mandates put into place.


And we'd have a shite load less if positive long term care patients weren't shoved back into facilities that are perfect breeding grounds.
This post was edited on 5/11/20 at 12:17 pm
Posted by dgnx6
Member since Feb 2006
91714 posts
Posted on 5/11/20 at 12:17 pm to
quote:

Lack of vents


Except we found out this was killing people and the wrong treatment.
Posted by reverendotis
the jawbone of an arse
Member since Nov 2007
4988 posts
Posted on 5/11/20 at 12:19 pm to
quote:

number is about 600k dead to "break even".


Fair enough.

I would contend that my top line number of $2.3 trillion, which is just the direct stimulus package so far, will be low by a damn stretch if trying to estimate the total cost incurred by society.
Posted by NawlinsTiger9
Where the mongooses roam
Member since Jan 2009
40527 posts
Posted on 5/11/20 at 12:20 pm to
quote:


There are tons of examples of places all over the world with bad outbreaks that overwhelmed hospital systems and negatively impacted people with and wihtout COVID19 in those hospitals.

Lack of vents and PPE is just the start.

However, we did our job to flatten the curve and we can still do so by isolating the vulnerable and the rest of us social distancing and practicing good hygiene in an open economy.


I agree with all this.

Posted by dgnx6
Member since Feb 2006
91714 posts
Posted on 5/11/20 at 12:20 pm to
quote:

81,009


Where are y'all getting these numbers?

quote:

49,867


That is the covid death count as of today according to the cdc.
This post was edited on 5/11/20 at 12:22 pm
Posted by buckeye_vol
Member since Jul 2014
35406 posts
Posted on 5/11/20 at 12:21 pm to
quote:

Where are y'all getting these numbers?
Worldometer
quote:

That is the covid death count as of today according to the cdc.
Their data are weeks behind, and states like North Carolina and Connecticut are 2+ months behind in their reporting (for all deaths). There are quite a few steps that results in the delays.

Worldometer pulls directly from the state even county department of health data that are updated at least daily.
This post was edited on 5/11/20 at 12:25 pm
Posted by Thib-a-doe Tiger
Member since Nov 2012
36812 posts
Posted on 5/11/20 at 12:23 pm to
That's almost double what the CDC is reporting


ETA: saw your edit. makes sense
This post was edited on 5/11/20 at 12:24 pm
Posted by dgnx6
Member since Feb 2006
91714 posts
Posted on 5/11/20 at 12:25 pm to
Ok thanks. I did see something about birx saying she can't trust CDC numbers. But it seemed like someone said she said that in a meeting to the guy in charge of the cdc.

This is such a shite show
Posted by buckeye_vol
Member since Jul 2014
35406 posts
Posted on 5/11/20 at 12:25 pm to
quote:

I did see something about birx saying she can't trust CDC numbers
That appears to be a misrepresentation (not by you).
Posted by SadSouthernBuck
Las Vegas
Member since Dec 2007
748 posts
Posted on 5/11/20 at 12:28 pm to
quote:

You realize you are living in a country where the response to a public health crisis is justified by computer models?

What is it supposed to be based on?
quote:

Stalin and Mao would be proud


Actually, history has shown that Stalin and Mao would do exactly what many on the board are doing- calculating what an "acceptable" number of human lives would be.

As Stalin said: "one death is a tragedy, a million deaths are a statistic."

first pageprev pagePage 3 of 4Next pagelast page

Back to top
logoFollow TigerDroppings for LSU Football News
Follow us on X, Facebook and Instagram to get the latest updates on LSU Football and Recruiting.

FacebookXInstagram