Posted by
Message
tgrbaitn08
Iona Fan
Member since Dec 2007
72102 posts
 Online 

re: Not looking good for the weekend parades
quote:

. I’ll be at them regardless.


Same

We stood in the cold pouring rain last night. It was actually kind of fun.


TH03
Iowa State Fan
Dallas
Member since Dec 2008
135284 posts

re: Not looking good for the weekend parades
I'm getting a cab from the Hilton Riverside to the convention center. I'm not spending 2 hours on my hair and dress just to get soaked.


Scooba
LSU Fan
Member since Jun 2013
15672 posts
 Online 

re: Not looking good for the weekend parades
What time do you think they finished?


KiwiHead
LSU Fan
Auckland, NZ
Member since Jul 2014
7040 posts

re: Not looking good for the weekend parades
quote:

I never make it over to Mid-city


Same. Are you saying there's a better than 50/50 that Tucks and Iris won't be a wash out?

I won't hold you to accuracy.....just looking for a ray of hope....got a kid in a foot cast


KiwiHead
LSU Fan
Auckland, NZ
Member since Jul 2014
7040 posts

re: Not looking good for the weekend parades
Also heard that Mike Yenni does not have the hots for some kid at Jesuit High School......perv oh and he's really not a Yenni


Replies (0)
Replies (0)
11
fightin tigers
Downtown Prairieville
Member since Mar 2008
42304 posts

re: Not looking good for the weekend parades
quote:

Yenni said he has heard from some New Orleans parade krewes about possibly moving parades to Jefferson Parish


I'll take ' shite that ain't happening' for 100, Alex.


They going to roll next Wednesday when the rain is done?



Replies (0)
Replies (0)
20
tgrbaitn08
Iona Fan
Member since Dec 2007
72102 posts
 Online 

re: Not looking good for the weekend parades
quote:


What time do you think they finished?


I knew someone on the last float and she said they finished around 1245


Scooba
LSU Fan
Member since Jun 2013
15672 posts
 Online 

re: Not looking good for the weekend parades


On a week night.


Duke
USA Fan
Gonzales, La
Member since Jan 2008
25642 posts

re: Not looking good for the weekend parades
quote:

Are you saying there's a better than 50/50 that Tucks and Iris won't be a wash out?



Yes.

Have a place for cover so the cast don't get too wet just in case. Check Saturday morning to be sure on the rain situation.


Replies (0)
Replies (0)
00
t00f
New Orleans Saints Fan
Eating square cut pizza in the zone
Member since Jul 2016
20045 posts
 Online 

re: Not looking good for the weekend parades
quote:

I'm getting a cab from the Hilton Riverside to the convention center. I'm not spending 2 hours on my hair and dress just to get soaked.



Image: https://encrypted-tbn0.gstatic.com/images?q=tbn:ANd9GcSBbSib_Vy7N5Xkx13fy6auNUgfi0-WYX0-RgB9ZlIV7V4WvsFo


Replies (0)
Replies (0)
31
tgrbaitn08
Iona Fan
Member since Dec 2007
72102 posts
 Online 

re: Not looking good for the weekend parades
quote:


On a week night.



Yep. She said it was miserable and that it couldn’t end soon enough.


Eta: she was talking about the parade.
This post was edited on 2/8 at 12:24 pm


Replies (0)
Replies (0)
00
Tigerstark
LSU Fan
Parts unknown
Member since Aug 2011
4081 posts

re: Not looking good for the weekend parades
quote:

Just talked to my float lieutenant, he said they're wrapping the floats this evening, and putting them in the staging area Friday as usual. He said the 2 main Endymion "weather guys" said w have a window between 5 and midnight were they think the rain chance will be about 10% with that light misty rain, but after midnight the shite will hit the fan.. They think Sunday will be a washout.. So we're rolling....


Not saying it won't happen, but that's pretty much counter to what everything official is saying, and sounds more like wishful thinking. Besides, I don't think any day is supposed to be a "washout" base upon current projections.


Replies (0)
Replies (0)
01
busbeepbeep
New Orleans Saints Fan
Far, far away from Blue Oak
Member since Jan 2004
12838 posts

re: Not looking good for the weekend parades
quote:

Still bringing the Frog Togs though..

Just picked the hottest costume of the Mardi Gras season

Image: https://i.imgur.com/Q1OENrM.jpg


bigberg2000
New Orleans Pelicans Fan
houston, from chalmette
Member since Sep 2005
58737 posts
 Online 

re: Not looking good for the weekend parades
Yeah we are going to be pimpin those fo sho.


Replies (0)
Replies (0)
01
redneck
New Orleans Saints Fan
Los Suenos, Costa Rica
Member since Dec 2003
50158 posts

re: Not looking good for the weekend parades
Do the streets cars still run that aren't on parade routes? we are staying near cooter browns so just wondering for the uptown parades if we will be able to take a street car in that direction or if we will need to uber. Thanks in advance for helpful answers


Athis
LSU Fan
Member since Aug 2016
1569 posts
 Online 

re: Not looking good for the weekend parades
Yes the Street Cars will go to Napoleon and turn around.


Duke
USA Fan
Gonzales, La
Member since Jan 2008
25642 posts

re: Not looking good for the weekend parades
Image: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/sounding/images/gfs_2018020812_fh60_sounding_29.81N_90.26W.png


Model sounding for Saturday night during Endymion.

PWat is pretty high @ 1.5". This is what will be driving the mentions of heavy rain. That's pretty high for this time of year, but there are limiters on this plot.

A little temperature inversion to limit convection and it shows in the limited CAPE numbers. For CAPE, bigger the number the greater potential for convection, lightning, and heavier rain from the improved lift. If the CAPE was higher, that high wind shear would present a severe weather threat but CAPE is too low. The very bottom isn't totally saturated either, which will help evaporate a little of the rain falling.

Models have the rain totals pretty low here, and have been consistent. So I'm still sitting on the idea of light enough rain to not cause problems. There is potential with that much precip water for heavier rains though. Really need to watch the new HRRR runs that go out 36 hours starting tomorrow to start nailing down the when.

Now to Sunday:

Image: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/sounding/images/gfs_2018020806_fh84_sounding_29.95N_90.43W.png


This is basically during Thoth.

CAPE is way up, into the kJ/kg range presenting increased convection and thunderstorm risks. There is no temperature inversion which would promote surface based convection. On the good side, the column is not saturated up even to the mid levels which should help limit rain potential somewhat. Definitely some concerns Sunday but the lack of saturation will hopefully keep things relatively calm.

The short: Saturday has the more efficient column for rain but is lacking surface based lift to really drive big thunderstorms. Sunday has the convection ptential but the column would need to recover in the moisture department to start worrying about a washout.

That's the gist of what could produce heavy rain and what could end up limiting it. Models aren't aggressive on rain totals but NWS has concerns with the high PWats.


610man
LSU Fan
Louisiana
Member since Jun 2005
3340 posts

re: Not looking good for the weekend parades
Common terms, so basically what you’ve said all week? Also, Bruce Katz, kinda said same as you, said potential break at night
This post was edited on 2/8 at 4:36 pm


Duke
USA Fan
Gonzales, La
Member since Jan 2008
25642 posts

re: Not looking good for the weekend parades
Basically. Yes.

I'm trying to contextualize the forecast on why there's going to be wording for heavy rain but also what is going to be working against it. I haven't changed my mind on the general idea rain won't wash out any parades but I've got to note the potential is there.

Will feel better about any forecast once the high res models start rolling in.

And yes, potential break Saturday night but I'm not sold just yet on the idea. There does appear to be a break between Sat noon and Sun night but I don't feel comfortable even guessing at when.
This post was edited on 2/8 at 4:38 pm


danilo
Member since Nov 2008
4272 posts

re: Not looking good for the weekend parades
What’s your story bro? You Jim Cantore or something?


Jump to page
Page First 29 30 31 32 33 ... 37
Jump to page
first pageprev pagePage 31 of 37next pagelast page

Back to top

logoFollow TigerDroppings for LSU Football News
Follow us on Twitter, Facebook and Instagram to get the latest updates on LSU Football and Recruiting.

FacebookTwitterInstagram