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NASA says City Killer asteroid odd of hitting now up to 1-in-38, or 2.6%.
Posted on 2/18/25 at 9:32 am
Posted on 2/18/25 at 9:32 am
New Scientist
Are they just getting us prepared by slowly increasing odds>
quote:
According to NASA, the odds of collision in 2032 have been edging up from a 1-in-83 chance since it was first spotted. It has since moved to 1-in-67, to 1-in-53, to 1-in-43 and now to 1-in-38. The European Space Agency has slightly different odds, currently giving the asteroid a 2.41 per cent chance of collision.
Are they just getting us prepared by slowly increasing odds>
49
Posted on 2/18/25 at 9:33 am to Cell of Awareness
Bring it
Posted on 2/18/25 at 9:33 am to Cell of Awareness
Do I start buying TP now?
Posted on 2/18/25 at 9:34 am to Cell of Awareness
What are the chances of it hitting the water, since that makes up the majority of the planet?
Posted on 2/18/25 at 9:34 am to Cell of Awareness
Ok so what are the options? I don’t want to send drunk roughnecks up there
Posted on 2/18/25 at 9:34 am to Cell of Awareness
quote:
According to NASA, the odds of collision in 2032 have been edging up from a 1-in-83 chance since it was first spotted
Shouldn't the odds just be the odds? What is making them "edge" up?
Posted on 2/18/25 at 9:35 am to Cell of Awareness
quote:
According to NASA, the odds of collision in 2032 have been edging up from a 1-in-83 chance since it was first spotted. It has since moved to 1-in-67, to 1-in-53, to 1-in-43 and now to 1-in-38. The European Space Agency has slightly different odds, currently giving the asteroid a 2.41 per cent chance of collision.
i would love to see NASA defund Elon completely and then 6 months before the asteroid hits beg him to build a rocket to intercept it.
that would be the ultimate EDS. frick the Earth, we don't like his politics.
Posted on 2/18/25 at 9:36 am to Cell of Awareness
The odds are still in our favor!
Posted on 2/18/25 at 9:37 am to Cell of Awareness
quote:
City Killer
can we select the city and rotate the earth accordingly?
Posted on 2/18/25 at 9:37 am to OysterPoBoy
They don't know the exact path. Think of it like a hurricane tracker map
Posted on 2/18/25 at 9:38 am to OysterPoBoy
quote:more data. Removal of assumptions
Shouldn't the odds just be the odds? What is making them "edge" up?
Posted on 2/18/25 at 9:38 am to OysterPoBoy
quote:
Shouldn't the odds just be the odds? What is making them "edge" up?
More accurate predictions, same as the weather.
Posted on 2/18/25 at 9:40 am to OysterPoBoy
quote:
Shouldn't the odds just be the odds? What is making them "edge" up?
They are the odds based on the information that's known at the time. I was 99% guaranteed to win my fantasy league. Then Burrow through a bomb to Chase and those odds completely flipped based on that new info.
Posted on 2/18/25 at 9:41 am to forkedintheroad
Luckily, the vast majority of us prepared for this in the 80s. We can either shoot it (but then it will turn into smaller asteroids), thrust away (but then we just drift continuously) or go into hyperspace (but we may reappear directly in the path of another asteroid). These are really our only options.
Posted on 2/18/25 at 9:41 am to Cell of Awareness
Watch the movie Greenland where an asteroid will hit earth and the US government evacuates people with certain skills to rebuild society (Doctors, Architects, Engineers, etc.) to bunkers in Greenland.
Posted on 2/18/25 at 9:42 am to Cell of Awareness
quote:
Are they just getting us prepared by slowly increasing odds>
If it hits the middle east or China it would do us a service.
Posted on 2/18/25 at 9:42 am to FearTheFish
quote:
What are the chances of it hitting the water, since that makes up the majority of the planet?
If it's determined that there will be an impact, I'm sure they can eventually calculate where.
Posted on 2/18/25 at 9:44 am to jflsufan
That movie sucks donkey balls
Posted on 2/18/25 at 9:44 am to Cell of Awareness
That's a half of H movement.
Posted on 2/18/25 at 9:44 am to Cell of Awareness
Will it mess up my weekend trip along 30A?
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