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Posted on 12/30/20 at 11:23 pm to The Boat
Think we have two areas of greatest concerns tomorrow, far SW La as the start of the warm sector starts moving in and then along and north of I10/I12 into SELa.
Near Laffy at 6 pm on the NAM. Got some instability, good shear, and the SRH coming together in the area. It'll shift east as the night goes on.
HRRR with pretty good low level instability, lining up on amble enough SRH for updrafts to get rotating.
Not a sure thing, but enough parameters are lining up on models to support that ENH for sure. Good to be aware the potential for high winds and tornadoes are there tomorrow, despite how fickle these high shear/low CAPE events can be. Hopefully, the stars don't alight.
If we're going to get some storms in front of the front, I figure it'll be where the low level jet is kicking off. Look below, where the red is over Louisiana, coupled with some instability and shear is the area to watch early afternoon.
Here's to this thread just being nerds bitching about how the forecasters don't know shite because nothing happened.
Near Laffy at 6 pm on the NAM. Got some instability, good shear, and the SRH coming together in the area. It'll shift east as the night goes on.
HRRR with pretty good low level instability, lining up on amble enough SRH for updrafts to get rotating.
Not a sure thing, but enough parameters are lining up on models to support that ENH for sure. Good to be aware the potential for high winds and tornadoes are there tomorrow, despite how fickle these high shear/low CAPE events can be. Hopefully, the stars don't alight.
If we're going to get some storms in front of the front, I figure it'll be where the low level jet is kicking off. Look below, where the red is over Louisiana, coupled with some instability and shear is the area to watch early afternoon.
Here's to this thread just being nerds bitching about how the forecasters don't know shite because nothing happened.
This post was edited on 12/30/20 at 11:24 pm
Posted on 12/30/20 at 11:42 pm to LegendInMyMind
quote:
Is he the guy who's first day on the job was April 27? From Mississippi?
It was like his first day or two at WTVA in Tupelo. He was struggling that day with how to say all the American Indian named towns and counties in MS. Like Shuqualak, Wahalak, Nanih Waiya, Noxubee, Oktibbeha....
and this was going on for like 12 hours of live tv weather
Posted on 12/30/20 at 11:53 pm to LSU Tigershark
quote:
How bad are we expecting EBR/Ascension to get tomorrow?
Hurricane thread deja vu.
Posted on 12/30/20 at 11:54 pm to weadjust
I read on another forum that a few of those “extreme” storm chasers are setting up on the gulf coast.
Nothing on Reed Timmer’s Twitter about that though so maybe it’s bogus. You guys seeing chatter?
Nothing on Reed Timmer’s Twitter about that though so maybe it’s bogus. You guys seeing chatter?
This post was edited on 12/30/20 at 11:56 pm
Posted on 12/30/20 at 11:57 pm to slackster
Titty milk.
Posted on 12/31/20 at 12:12 am to TheFonz
Posted on 12/31/20 at 12:29 am to goofball
quote:
Nothing on Reed Timmer’s Twitter about that though so maybe it’s bogus. You guys seeing chatter?
Reed mentioned on his Facebook live stream earlier today that team dominator would be activating.
Posted on 12/31/20 at 12:34 am to GEAUXmedic
Posted on 12/31/20 at 12:35 am to Loungefly85
quote:
Hurricane thread deja vu.
no BINGO here
Posted on 12/31/20 at 12:50 am to rt3
quote:
rt3
Dude. did you post this gif on twitter? I think I liked it.
This post was edited on 12/31/20 at 12:51 am
Posted on 12/31/20 at 12:52 am to GEAUXmedic
quote:
Dude. did you post this gif on twitter? I think I liked it.
This is almost like people finding out they are neighbors.
Posted on 12/31/20 at 12:53 am to GEAUXmedic
quote:
Dude. did you post this gif on twitter? I think I liked it.
I did not... just found it off google
Posted on 12/31/20 at 12:57 am to rt3
(no message)
This post was edited on 12/31/20 at 2:47 am
Posted on 12/31/20 at 1:06 am to LegendInMyMind
Link?
Posted on 12/31/20 at 1:23 am to goofball
quote:
I read on another forum that a few of those “extreme” storm chasers are setting up on the gulf coast.
They will set up. After the Spring and early Summer they just had, they will go out for anything.
This doesn't mean tomorrow is a can't miss severe weather day, but this setup would rank pretty high on the list of potential chase days they've had over the past season and a half. That says more about the quiet tornado seasons we've had recently than for tomorrow's chances.
Let's hope the trend continues.
Posted on 12/31/20 at 1:25 am to GeauxLSUGRL
quote:
Link?
I linked it a couple posts after the one you quoted. It is and interesting watch.
Posted on 12/31/20 at 3:38 am to LegendInMyMind
How many Hs did the enhanced risk move
Posted on 12/31/20 at 3:47 am to Brodie Lee 37
Full H to H 1/4 left. NOLA out of da cone again.
Posted on 12/31/20 at 4:25 am to Duke
You images aren't working for me. So Laffy at 6pm, BR area at??
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