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re: Louisiana COVID-19 - May 18, 2020 Update: 34,709 cases - 2,440 deaths - 269,748 tests
Posted on 5/18/20 at 12:06 pm to TigersSEC2010
Posted on 5/18/20 at 12:06 pm to TigersSEC2010
Rolling averages...sorry I took the weekend off:
Posted on 5/18/20 at 12:07 pm to Dizz
I'm sure that Latoya will have an new conference to explain what is going on here in her city.
Posted on 5/18/20 at 12:09 pm to YouAre8Up
My Queen needs to SHUT *clap* IT *clap* DOWN *clap*
Two days with no body got rona'd in Orleans Parish
Two days with no body got rona'd in Orleans Parish
This post was edited on 5/18/20 at 12:14 pm
Posted on 5/18/20 at 12:11 pm to TigersSEC2010
Weren't they supposed to go back to providing the number of cases in nursing homes starting today?
Posted on 5/18/20 at 12:14 pm to tiger91
quote:
And while hospitalizations did go up slightly, I can't help but wonder if they're admitting people that they normally wouldn't because now "there is space" and they're not "overwhelmed".
They need the money...the guy they previously told just go home now gets a bed.
Posted on 5/18/20 at 12:14 pm to tiger91
quote:
And while hospitalizations did go up slightly, I can't help but wonder if they're admitting people that they normally wouldn't because now "there is space" and they're not "overwhelmed".
I wonder if that would be flirting with fraud from CMS
Posted on 5/18/20 at 12:18 pm to Anaximander
quote:
They need the money...the guy they previously told just go home now gets a bed.
My thought exactly but we'll never really know the truth will we??
And yes the nursing home names/numbers are supposed to come out today -- not sure when though.
Posted on 5/18/20 at 12:26 pm to danilo
quote:
I wonder if that would be flirting with fraud from CMS
I'm guessing that they'll justify it with O2 monitoring, as well as ekg monitoring if they're on the 2 med cocktail.
Posted on 5/18/20 at 12:33 pm to tiger91
quote:
I'm watching hospitalizations ... cases will continue to go up.
And while hospitalizations did go up slightly, I can't help but wonder if they're admitting people that they normally wouldn't because now "there is space" and they're not "overwhelmed".
Cases and hospitals WILL go up in 2-3 weeks. But we have the capacity to handle that.
They need to add another stat to their daily releases - percentage of hospital capacity in use. When that number starts getting close to 100, especially at a high daily increase, that's when we need to worry.
Posted on 5/18/20 at 12:36 pm to LSUFanHouston
quote:
Cases and hospitals WILL go up in 2-3 weeks. But we have the capacity to handle that.
Maybe, but have there been spikes in any of those areas, worldwide, where they predicted spikes after something happening?
Much of Europe has opened up. Any spikes there?
Wisconsin had that election nigh a month back where over 400,000 people voted, and they had a grand total of like 65 people that said they voted test positive after voting...and there's no guarantee they caught it at the polls.
What's happened in Georgia and Florida?
This post was edited on 5/18/20 at 12:37 pm
Posted on 5/18/20 at 12:37 pm to TigersSEC2010
34,709 active cases
2,440 deaths
26,249 (recovered as of 5/16)
6,020 Active cases based on data provided. Enter assumptions
Recovered data is 2 days old. 14 days from 5/16 is 5/02. New cases: 5/02 - 5/03 = 629
5,391 Active cases
1,031 in Hospitals
4,360 Conservative estimate of cases not in hospitals
Obligatory: The 14 day guidelines are given by ldh and based on when the patient tests positive. The information that we have readily available is when the positive test result is known, not when the test was administered. In addition, the date of the onset of symptoms does not matter either.
If you add the new cases from 5/05 through 5/18 (14 days), you get 5,027 cases. 7,644 cases from 4/28 through 5/18 (21 days)
As they clear up backlogs, I can only imagine these numbers won't give us a great range. Before the 5/16 update, I would have had the range between 6,833 - 5,802 because so many of these new cases are weeks old and either already recovered, or passed away.
2,440 deaths
26,249 (recovered as of 5/16)
6,020 Active cases based on data provided. Enter assumptions
Recovered data is 2 days old. 14 days from 5/16 is 5/02. New cases: 5/02 - 5/03 = 629
5,391 Active cases
1,031 in Hospitals
4,360 Conservative estimate of cases not in hospitals
Obligatory: The 14 day guidelines are given by ldh and based on when the patient tests positive. The information that we have readily available is when the positive test result is known, not when the test was administered. In addition, the date of the onset of symptoms does not matter either.
If you add the new cases from 5/05 through 5/18 (14 days), you get 5,027 cases. 7,644 cases from 4/28 through 5/18 (21 days)
As they clear up backlogs, I can only imagine these numbers won't give us a great range. Before the 5/16 update, I would have had the range between 6,833 - 5,802 because so many of these new cases are weeks old and either already recovered, or passed away.
Posted on 5/18/20 at 12:40 pm to TigersSEC2010
So there is a total of ~5500 people in the whole state that have this? Of that, only ~1000(20%) are in the hospital, and 118 (2%) are in the ICU?
Why are we not in Phase 3?
Why are we not in Phase 3?
Posted on 5/18/20 at 12:41 pm to Tbonepatron
quote:
Where the hell did those goalposts go?

Posted on 5/18/20 at 12:42 pm to TigersSEC2010
Hospitalization and vents up. Shut it down
Posted on 5/18/20 at 12:45 pm to shawnlsu
quote:
So there is a total of ~5500 people in the whole state that have this? Of that, only ~1000(20%) are in the hospital, and 118 (2%) are in the ICU?
Why are we not in Phase 3?
Look, man. We can't endanger the lives of anyone in Bunkie because people in NO got the rona. Way too risky.
Posted on 5/18/20 at 12:52 pm to Cymry Teigr
Posted on 5/18/20 at 12:57 pm to TigersSEC2010
Is we is or is we aint gonna die?
Posted on 5/18/20 at 1:01 pm to LSUJML
If my math is right, 376 in EBR nursing homes are positive
Posted on 5/18/20 at 1:10 pm to LSUJML
Thanks for the list.
Briefly looking through it and adding up the numbers it looks like almost everywhere the nursing homes account t for 50-65% of the deaths in each Parish.
I’m sure if they’d provide lists for prisons too we’d find how rare any death was in the general population,
Briefly looking through it and adding up the numbers it looks like almost everywhere the nursing homes account t for 50-65% of the deaths in each Parish.
I’m sure if they’d provide lists for prisons too we’d find how rare any death was in the general population,
Posted on 5/18/20 at 1:13 pm to Cymry Teigr
quote:
Briefly looking through it and adding up the numbers it looks like almost everywhere the nursing homes account t for 50-65% of the deaths in each Parish.
This has been the case nationwide.
This post was edited on 5/18/20 at 1:17 pm
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