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re: Louisiana COVID-19 - May 18, 2020 Update: 34,709 cases - 2,440 deaths - 269,748 tests
Posted on 5/18/20 at 1:17 pm to Cymry Teigr
Posted on 5/18/20 at 1:17 pm to Cymry Teigr
quote:
Briefly looking through it and adding up the numbers it looks like almost everywhere the nursing homes account t for 50-65% of the deaths in each Parish.
Orleans looks to be about 17%
0
Posted on 5/18/20 at 1:20 pm to LSUFanHouston
quote:
They need to add another stat to their daily releases - percentage of hospital capacity in use. When that number starts getting close to 100, especially at a high daily increase, that's when we need to worry.
This info is reported daily on the LDH website....have to click to the right a few time on the Tableu tabs.
For instance:
Region 1 (Orleans/Jefferson):
Hospital Beds: 1834 in use, 1088 available
ICU Beds: 318 in use, 273 available
Ventilators: 107 in use, 523 available.
Numbers appear to be beds used for all reasons, no just COVID.
Posted on 5/18/20 at 1:28 pm to BRIllini07
If we are reporting hospital capacity, it doesn’t really matter why you are in the ICU does it?
Posted on 5/18/20 at 1:28 pm to upgrayedd
quote:
Look, man. We can't endanger the lives of anyone in Bunkie because people in NO got the rona. Way too risky.
Posted on 5/18/20 at 2:11 pm to LSUJML
So this nursing home report very clearly shows you that the virus has pretty much saturated these very vulnerable places.
So even if the virus comes back it’s not going to hit these places again like it did and most of the low hanging fruit has been taken. Any second wave should see a lower fatality rate because of that, especially since this is where 50% of the deaths are coming from.
So even if the virus comes back it’s not going to hit these places again like it did and most of the low hanging fruit has been taken. Any second wave should see a lower fatality rate because of that, especially since this is where 50% of the deaths are coming from.
Posted on 5/18/20 at 2:31 pm to WaWaWeeWa
Most of the theories about a second wave being worse are based on pandemic flu.
Pandemic Flu kills children and young healthy people at a much higher rate than covid.
Covid has the same or lower mortality rates as the typical flu in healthy populations under 40.
Pandemic Flu kills children and young healthy people at a much higher rate than covid.
Covid has the same or lower mortality rates as the typical flu in healthy populations under 40.
Posted on 5/18/20 at 2:37 pm to Shaun176
quote:
Most of the theories about a second wave being worse are based on pandemic flu.
But is this worry based solely on the 1918 Spanish Flu?
I can't find anything on any other deadly, second wave to a pandemic. Doesn't sound much like a theory to me, and more accurately a doomcasting hypothesis.
This post was edited on 5/18/20 at 2:38 pm
Posted on 5/18/20 at 2:38 pm to WaWaWeeWa
quote:
So this nursing home report very clearly shows you that the virus has pretty much saturated these very vulnerable places. So even if the virus comes back it’s not going to hit these places again like it did and most of the low hanging fruit has been taken. Any second wave should see a lower fatality rate because of that, especially since this is where 50% of the deaths are coming from.
St. Tammany got hit here:
Totals (9 locations - 2 of which had 0 cases).
# Residents: 686
# Cases: 252 (36.8%)
# Deaths: 81 (32.1% of cases, 11.8% of all residents).
95 of the 686 residents are in places with no cases (either by the residents or staff) - So, cutting those from the denominator, since there was no known exposure.
# Residents (in locations with at least 1 case): 591
Deaths: 42.6% of cases, 13.7% of residents.
Posted on 5/18/20 at 3:23 pm to Shaun176
quote:
Most of the theories about a second wave being worse are based on pandemic flu.
Pandemic Flu kills children and young healthy people at a much higher rate than covid.
Covid has the same or lower mortality rates as the typical flu in healthy populations under 40.
Correct. They’re using this assumption because COVID-19 is behaving more like a flu (in terms of spread) than the recent Coronaviruses (e.g. SARS)
Posted on 5/18/20 at 4:01 pm to Sasquatch Smash
quote:
But is this worry based solely on the 1918 Spanish Flu?
In 1957, it started in the Spring, decreased during them summer, came back in the Fall. A vaccine was developed in the fall which helped control it.
Posted on 5/18/20 at 4:07 pm to LSUJML
Not one case in a nursing home in the parish where I live. Now, the parish where I work got slammed.
Posted on 5/18/20 at 4:10 pm to tiger91
Found out there has been 4 deaths where my Grandpa is
They never gave us any deaths with their weekly reports nor are they posting them on their daily numbers on their website
They never gave us any deaths with their weekly reports nor are they posting them on their daily numbers on their website
Posted on 5/18/20 at 4:20 pm to LSUJML
Well shame on them. I'm glad you now know -- hopefully they'll keep you guys updated.
As I've said, our families were informed with all positive cases ... can't say they whether they were informed of deaths or not but I'd say those residents who are with it were likely aware and probably mentioned it.
As I've said, our families were informed with all positive cases ... can't say they whether they were informed of deaths or not but I'd say those residents who are with it were likely aware and probably mentioned it.
Posted on 5/18/20 at 4:55 pm to LSUFanHouston
quote:
When that number starts getting close to 100, especially at a high daily increase, that's when we need to worry.
Will be too late baw
Posted on 5/18/20 at 5:03 pm to tiger91
quote:
Phase 1 started FRIDAY .. these numbers can't possibly be reflective of that. Come on man.
They’re not. And they continue to be really good.
Posted on 5/18/20 at 5:39 pm to Shaun176
quote:
Most of the theories about a second wave being worse are based on pandemic flu.
That’s exactly right and it’s also important to note that influenza mutates much more rapidly than coronaviruses
Posted on 5/18/20 at 5:42 pm to BRIllini07
quote:
Cases: 252 (36.8%)
And those are just the cases we know about. After antibody testing in these facilities we could be looking at 50+ percent of people having had the virus compared to what 8% of the general population.
It’s pretty clear that it’s not going to sweep through those facilities again like it did, and that’s obviously what was leading to the surge of cases initially.
This post was edited on 5/18/20 at 5:43 pm
Posted on 5/18/20 at 5:50 pm to WaWaWeeWa
Our facility is doing antibody testing — don’t know if I’ll be privy to the results but I’ll definitely be asking.
Also was told it won’t be anytime soon for visits from families.
Also was told it won’t be anytime soon for visits from families.
Posted on 5/18/20 at 5:57 pm to WaWaWeeWa
quote:
It’s pretty clear that it’s not going to sweep through those facilities again like it did, and that’s obviously what was leading to the surge of cases initially.
Facilities that were supposedly locked down to the outside world.
Posted on 5/18/20 at 5:57 pm to WaWaWeeWa
quote:
So this nursing home report very clearly shows you that the virus has pretty much saturated these very vulnerable places.
So even if the virus comes back it’s not going to hit these places again like it did and most of the low hanging fruit has been taken. Any second wave should see a lower fatality rate because of that, especially since this is where 50% of the deaths are coming from.
It is like this all over. In some states, 60 to 70% of the dead are nursing home residents. We tried to shut down the whole country and keep the young at home yet gave insufficient attention to who was really at risk. What a total fail all around.
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