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re: Louisiana COVID-19 - August 13, 2020 Update: 135,439 cases - 4279 deaths - 1,615,980 tests

Posted on 8/13/20 at 4:10 pm to
Posted by fightin tigers
Downtown Prairieville
Member since Mar 2008
79918 posts
Posted on 8/13/20 at 4:10 pm to
Right. I think he said it on Saturday the 11th and closed them on the 13th.

The 13th was also the highest single day for cases (date corrected), it was a Monday.

Distance is far more effective than masks. That is what has always been said. Masks are giving some a false sense of security in some cases.
This post was edited on 8/13/20 at 4:11 pm
Posted by TigerMomma4
Member since Mar 2020
471 posts
Posted on 8/13/20 at 4:11 pm to
The SC "masks work" line only documents that you can cherry pick statistics to prove any point. How on earth did the "total number of COVID-19 cases" decrease? They perhaps meant "active" cases, but the way it is worded could just as easily mean what they say and that they removed duplicates so that the total number did indeed decrease. For the counties without mandates that saw increased numbers, key in on the fact that they are using percentages. Those counties could have gone from 3 cases to 4, an increase of 33%.

Bottom line is if they have to cherry pick numbers, they don't have any statistical impact.
Posted by Oilfieldbiology
Member since Nov 2016
42822 posts
Posted on 8/13/20 at 6:40 pm to
Did they ever update numbers?
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
148046 posts
Posted on 8/13/20 at 6:48 pm to
quote:

Did they ever update numbers?

yes... page 6

quote:

1,281 in hospitals (-39), 196 on vents (-15)
Posted by Oilfieldbiology
Member since Nov 2016
42822 posts
Posted on 8/13/20 at 6:51 pm to
Thanks. Great numbers all around.
Posted by tigerskin
Member since Nov 2004
47102 posts
Posted on 8/13/20 at 6:53 pm to
Louisiana Ro at 0.88

4th best in USA
This post was edited on 8/13/20 at 6:54 pm
Posted by lsupride87
Member since Dec 2007
112727 posts
Posted on 8/13/20 at 6:54 pm to
quote:

Louisiana Ro at 0.88

4th best way in USA


BUT BUt JBE yelled at me and said we were #1 in cases!!!!!


We gonna die
Posted by tigerskin
Member since Nov 2004
47102 posts
Posted on 8/13/20 at 6:55 pm to
Definitely bizarre that they will emphasize Ro when bad but not a peep when it is very good.
Posted by hendersonshands
Univ. of Louisiana Ragin Cajuns
Member since Oct 2007
160203 posts
Posted on 8/13/20 at 6:58 pm to
How is R0 calculated?
This post was edited on 8/13/20 at 6:59 pm
Posted by tigerskin
Member since Nov 2004
47102 posts
Posted on 8/13/20 at 7:06 pm to
Posted by gsvar2004
Member since Nov 2007
8899 posts
Posted on 8/13/20 at 7:32 pm to
But jbe says we are still not doing enough.
Posted by tiger2180
Member since Nov 2015
465 posts
Posted on 8/13/20 at 7:58 pm to
: It’s a guess based on a few parameters.
Posted by Privateer 2007
Member since Jan 2020
7951 posts
Posted on 8/13/20 at 9:32 pm to
quote:

20% masks and distancing to get to immunity


That's not immunity.
The second you stop doing that or someone infected gets in, your back to square one.

See New Zealand.
See Hawaii.
Posted by tigerskin
Member since Nov 2004
47102 posts
Posted on 8/13/20 at 10:02 pm to
That is why it is called population immunity and not herd immunity.

Although population immunity can still deal with someone infected coming in.

I didn’t say it was ideal.....but it is better than nothing
This post was edited on 8/13/20 at 10:05 pm
Posted by Sasquatch Smash
Member since Nov 2007
25964 posts
Posted on 8/14/20 at 8:01 am to
quote:

tigerskin


Here is what I was talking about yesterday, in regards to Kansas officials lying to "prove" masks work.

Showed this chart in a presentation to compare counties with vs. without mandates:



The lines use two different y-axes. Red line goes with the left, starts at 25 finishes at 16. Blue line goes with the right, starts at >9 and ends at 9. (What do you want to bet that the places with mandates are the population centers, and those without are the rural areas?)

Being deceptive just with that.

However, folks have tried to reconstruct the graphs using the same axis for both, and then also expanded the time series to actually include with the mask mandates went into effect.

This is how that looks:


Masks work so well, we have to pull two deceptions to prove it!
Posted by Bullfrog
Running Through the Wet Grass
Member since Jul 2010
61839 posts
Posted on 8/14/20 at 8:08 am to
Wow!

Nice work.
Posted by Sasquatch Smash
Member since Nov 2007
25964 posts
Posted on 8/14/20 at 8:10 am to
quote:

Nice work.


Haha. It isn't my work. Found it on the Twitter.

These folks, The Sentinel, did the work.
Posted by AmosMosesAndTwins
Lake Charles
Member since Apr 2010
19015 posts
Posted on 8/14/20 at 8:19 am to
quote:

Here is what I was talking about yesterday, in regards to Kansas officials lying to "prove" masks work.

Showed this chart in a presentation to compare counties with vs. without mandates:



The lines use two different y-axes. Red line goes with the left, starts at 25 finishes at 16. Blue line goes with the right, starts at >9 and ends at 9. (What do you want to bet that the places with mandates are the population centers, and those without are the rural areas?)

Being deceptive just with that.

However, folks have tried to reconstruct the graphs using the same axis for both, and then also expanded the time series to actually include with the mask mandates went into effect.

This is how that looks:


Masks work so well, we have to pull two deceptions to prove it!


I get what you’re saying and agree this could be extremely misleading to some folks. However, and with no knowledge of the situation other than this single post, I interpret the point of overlapping trend lines involving multiple axes as being to show just that - the trend. To me (a non-conspiracy theorist), the graph represents the success in masks’ impact on trend versus that of no masks.
Posted by ell_13
Member since Apr 2013
88470 posts
Posted on 8/14/20 at 8:47 am to
quote:

I get what you’re saying and agree this could be extremely misleading to some folks. However
Posted by Ronaldo Burgundiaz
NWA
Member since Jan 2012
6795 posts
Posted on 8/14/20 at 8:58 am to
quote:

I get what you’re saying and agree this could be extremely misleading to some folks. However, and with no knowledge of the situation other than this single post, I interpret the point of overlapping trend lines involving multiple axes as being to show just that - the trend. To me (a non-conspiracy theorist), the graph represents the success in masks’ impact on trend versus that of no masks.
Man, that's great.

You should teach a spin class.



The only thing you can possibly gather from Sasquatch's real chart is that masks may have made it worse.
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