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re: Louisiana COVID-19 - April 7, 2020 Update: 16,284 Cases - 74,655 tested - 582 dead

Posted on 4/7/20 at 12:25 pm to
Posted by tgrbaitn08
Member since Dec 2007
148031 posts
Posted on 4/7/20 at 12:25 pm to
quote:

dukke v


Seriously, I wish the Admins would ban you from posting in these threads.
Posted by NOFOX
New Orleans
Member since Jan 2014
10128 posts
Posted on 4/7/20 at 12:26 pm to
quote:

The decrease is numbers on ventilators is very good news




How is it good news if it comes with one of the bigger jumps in deaths and hospitalizations?
Posted by fightin tigers
Downtown Prairieville
Member since Mar 2008
79876 posts
Posted on 4/7/20 at 12:26 pm to
That is also assuming the only way off a vent is death.

Or that there aren't people dying with DNRs that do not allow intubation.

Also some of those deaths may not be from yesterday, but were waiting for determination.
This post was edited on 4/7/20 at 12:28 pm
Posted by TigersSEC2010
Warren, Michigan
Member since Jan 2010
38535 posts
Posted on 4/7/20 at 12:27 pm to


I believe the state's numbers from yesterday for vents is incorrect, because today's totals are similar to 4/5/20, whereas the 4/6/20 numbers misallocated hundreds of vents, in my opinion.

The good news is that nobody is using more than 50% of their vents except for Region 7.
This post was edited on 4/7/20 at 12:36 pm
Posted by Shaun176
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2008
3180 posts
Posted on 4/7/20 at 12:27 pm to
quote:

In part, yes. If the data were 100%, completely accurate, then the # of people that required vents who didn't on the previous day is 26. 26 that went on to vents - 70 that passed away = net -44 requiring vents. 


Not all deaths were on ventilators.
Not all deaths happened yesterday, there is a lag because the coroner has to determine cause of death and report it to LDH.
Posted by TigersSEC2010
Warren, Michigan
Member since Jan 2010
38535 posts
Posted on 4/7/20 at 12:30 pm to
quote:

How is it good news if it comes with one of the bigger jumps in deaths and hospitalizations?



Hospitalizations likely were poorly reported over the weekend. Yesterday's numbers for a few things (such as vents) are questionable. I would bet those hospitalizations occurred over a several day period.

As for deaths, we don't want people to die, but when they die and nobody is waiting on their vent, that is good news.
Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
40262 posts
Posted on 4/7/20 at 12:30 pm to
So any thoughts on that maybe some of the hospitalizations are for those who need strict monitoring as Commander Data did (see the stickied poli post)? He never went on a vent but was in the hospital In Alabama for like 10 days?

Maybe the non icu bed space is available so they're allowing those admits?

Also, can docs in Louisiana use the meds on those not in the hospital? Maybe they're admitting people so that the meds CAN be used if it's hospital only???

And I"m so tired of people not getting the deaths will lag .. the FB idiots screaming for a national shutdown. Oh man it's enough to drive you nuts!
Posted by Dizz
Member since May 2008
16221 posts
Posted on 4/7/20 at 12:30 pm to
quote:

I believe the state's numbers from yesterday for vents is bad,


You mean "bad" as in bad data?
Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
40262 posts
Posted on 4/7/20 at 12:31 pm to

quote:

The good news is that nobody is using more than 50% of their vents except for Region 7.


But it's also been theorized that vents don't help so ... I mean I'm glad they're available it just seems according to posts here from medical guys/gals that they're not helping. IDK.
Posted by TigersSEC2010
Warren, Michigan
Member since Jan 2010
38535 posts
Posted on 4/7/20 at 12:32 pm to
quote:

You mean "bad" as in bad data?


Correct. Sorry for my poor language skills.
Posted by BigB0882
Baton Rouge
Member since Nov 2014
5422 posts
Posted on 4/7/20 at 12:35 pm to
I’m not sure how you think 44 less people are on vents is a good thing if 70 people died. I mean, it’s safe to assume most of those who died were on a vent so when deaths go up vent numbers should go down? I wouldn’t be excited about lower vent numbers until we have much lower deaths.
Posted by Shaun176
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2008
3180 posts
Posted on 4/7/20 at 12:35 pm to
quote:

Hospitalizations likely were poorly reported over the weekend. Yesterday's numbers for a few things (such as vents) are questionable. I would bet those hospitalizations occurred over a several day period. 



Doctors are also admitting more covid patients that are in high risk groups profilactivly now since there is less fear of the hospitals being over run.
Posted by TigersSEC2010
Warren, Michigan
Member since Jan 2010
38535 posts
Posted on 4/7/20 at 12:35 pm to
quote:

So any thoughts on that maybe some of the hospitalizations are for those who need strict monitoring as Commander Data did (see the stickied poli post)? He never went on a vent but was in the hospital In Alabama for like 10 days?


I believe the majority of cases are like this.

quote:

Maybe the non icu bed space is available so they're allowing those admits?


ICU beds are an average of 70% full in each region. Region 2 is the highest sat 84% in-use.

quote:

Also, can docs in Louisiana use the meds on those not in the hospital? Maybe they're admitting people so that the meds CAN be used if it's hospital only???


Not sure on that
Posted by TigersSEC2010
Warren, Michigan
Member since Jan 2010
38535 posts
Posted on 4/7/20 at 12:37 pm to
quote:

I wouldn’t be excited about lower vent numbers until we have much lower deaths.


Most of those dying were likely on vents. If those people died and nobody took their vent, it means less people on vents overall, and it's a great indicator that we will see a drop in deaths.

Nobody is celebrating people dying. But what is done is done and using the numbers to predict the future is all we have now.
This post was edited on 4/7/20 at 12:38 pm
Posted by Salmon
I helped draft the email
Member since Feb 2008
86736 posts
Posted on 4/7/20 at 12:37 pm to
quote:

How is it good news if it comes with one of the bigger jumps in deaths and hospitalizations?


% wise neither deaths nor hospitalizations were that big of a jump
Posted by Salmon
I helped draft the email
Member since Feb 2008
86736 posts
Posted on 4/7/20 at 12:39 pm to
quote:

I’m not sure how you think 44 less people are on vents is a good thing if 70 people died. I mean, it’s safe to assume most of those who died were on a vent so when deaths go up vent numbers should go down? I wouldn’t be excited about lower vent numbers until we have much lower deaths.


how are y'all not understanding that having people not immediately put on those vents means that we will begin to see deaths decline?

deaths are a lagging indicator

if we continue to see vent usage decline, deaths are soon to follow
This post was edited on 4/7/20 at 12:39 pm
Posted by Salmon
I helped draft the email
Member since Feb 2008
86736 posts
Posted on 4/7/20 at 12:40 pm to
quote:

TigersSEC2010


I just want to say that I know you and I have went at in the past, but you have done a great job with these threads

kudos to you
Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
40262 posts
Posted on 4/7/20 at 12:40 pm to
SO what will JBEs demeanor be today???
Posted by castorinho
13623 posts
Member since Nov 2010
88346 posts
Posted on 4/7/20 at 12:41 pm to
quote:

I’m not sure how you think 44 less people are on vents is a good thing if 70 people died.
because ultimately, it's about having the resources to deal with this stuff.
People had been dying, yet vent usage was steadily going up. So that number coming down isn't a negative.
This post was edited on 4/7/20 at 12:43 pm
Posted by fightin tigers
Downtown Prairieville
Member since Mar 2008
79876 posts
Posted on 4/7/20 at 12:41 pm to
Looking to the left and right to see what other governors are doing.

Then mimicking that.
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