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re: Louisiana COVID-19 - April 4, 2020 Update: 12,496 Cases - 58,498 tested - 409 dead

Posted on 4/4/20 at 1:20 pm to
Posted by castorinho
13623 posts
Member since Nov 2010
88348 posts
Posted on 4/4/20 at 1:20 pm to
quote:


Seems like it's a pretty important data point
it isn't. Pretty much can't draw anything from it until the testing becomes systematic
Posted by Unknown_Poster
Member since Jun 2013
5758 posts
Posted on 4/4/20 at 1:21 pm to
quote:


Last week he was saying we would be out of beds by Monday

I get why people don't like the 'panic' narrative but he would be a terrible governor if he wasn't preparing for the worst case scenario. He's probably over-projected because he knows he's not going to get the number of ventilators he's asking for. Example, he asked for around 5,000 from the feds and got maybe 500 or so. If he asked for 500, he'd have probably gotten 50. Also, when he talks about putting in orders for thousands with various vendors he has qualified that you simply do not know which vendors will be able to come through and which will cancel the order and go with another state who is bidding more money.

If people had to accuse me of being a fear-monger versus being unprepared, I'll take the former every single time.
Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
40266 posts
Posted on 4/4/20 at 1:22 pm to
The LDH website has a tab at the bottom that shows bed/vent availability by region. No region to my eye appears to be nearly out of vents. While icu beds are seemingly well more than 50% full, you can still see some availability.

LINK

(click on VENTS/icu beds/parish date at bottom.)
This post was edited on 4/4/20 at 1:24 pm
Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
40266 posts
Posted on 4/4/20 at 1:26 pm to
quote:

and got maybe 500 or so.

I think he and John Kennedy both said that Louisiana got as of now 150 from the feds.

And while this is way different of course, he lost me at "LSU football may be canceled".
Posted by TigersSEC2010
Warren, Michigan
Member since Jan 2010
38535 posts
Posted on 4/4/20 at 1:44 pm to
Broome just attributed the large increase of cases in EBR to a lab backlog

ETA: I’ll add the vent and hospital numbers when I get back to a computer
This post was edited on 4/4/20 at 1:45 pm
Posted by HogWalloper
LaLaLand
Member since Jan 2020
470 posts
Posted on 4/4/20 at 3:50 pm to
quote:

Jaime Howard said he is still waiting on his results from the drive through. He went to the hospital and got a positive result back in a day or so.

A bunch of the back logged positives got tested a second time at the hospital. Many of the cases are counting 2 positives for the same person.


So, what happens in that case? If his first test eventually shows positive. Will they be counted twice? I understand that the health dept should be smarter than that, matching SSNs to results and whatnot. However, I don't trust any health agencies to do anything right these days.

ETA: I replied before I finished reading your post. Sorry.
This post was edited on 4/4/20 at 3:51 pm
Posted by Dizz
Member since May 2008
16221 posts
Posted on 4/4/20 at 3:52 pm to
JBE actually pretty much said that same thing about needing 14,000 ventilators. He knew he wouldn’t not get that many but had to ask to ensure he got enough.
Posted by Epic Cajun
Lafayette, LA
Member since Feb 2013
37487 posts
Posted on 4/4/20 at 3:55 pm to
quote:

I get why people don't like the 'panic' narrative but he would be a terrible governor if he wasn't preparing for the worst case scenario

You can prepare for the worst case scenario behind closed doors, without fear mongering out in public.
Posted by Weekend Warrior79
Member since Aug 2014
22268 posts
Posted on 4/4/20 at 5:07 pm to
quote:

Yes it does ... click on "invasive ventilators" and slide your mouse to see each individual date and an estimate.

LINK

This is the model that the WH lady doctor with the scarf keeps referencing.

Am I reading the chart in this link correctly, are they predicting LA's peak to be 4/09 or 4/10.
Posted by lsu xman
Member since Oct 2006
17020 posts
Posted on 4/4/20 at 5:39 pm to
+45 vents in the last two days combine is good.

Edit. No new data on vents
This post was edited on 4/4/20 at 6:14 pm
Posted by chunk
UNDER YOUR BED
Member since Jan 2007
5126 posts
Posted on 4/4/20 at 6:06 pm to
Finally called me back with a negative test result this afternoon at 3:30 after 12 days
Posted by lsu xman
Member since Oct 2006
17020 posts
Posted on 4/4/20 at 6:33 pm to
Mortality rate

US 2.7%
LA 3.2%

LA coming down with more testing.
Posted by Hulkklogan
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Oct 2010
43482 posts
Posted on 4/4/20 at 6:39 pm to
As the backlog clears the mortality continues to come down
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