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re: Louisiana COVID-19 - April 2, 2020 Update: 9,150 cases - 51,086 tested - 310 dead

Posted on 4/2/20 at 12:03 pm to
Posted by tigerinthebueche
Member since Oct 2010
38241 posts
Posted on 4/2/20 at 12:03 pm to
if we didn't have that shithole that is NOLA, we'd be looking so much better.
Posted by sealawyer
Coonassganistan
Member since Nov 2012
3145 posts
Posted on 4/2/20 at 12:04 pm to
quote:

I would imagine 80-90% of those people will pass in the next few days to a week.


I think that statistic is high.
Posted by tgrbaitn08
Member since Dec 2007
148031 posts
Posted on 4/2/20 at 12:04 pm to
quote:

if we didn't have that shithole that is NOLA, we'd be looking so much better.


Then you’d just be Mississippi
Posted by Prominentwon
LSU, McNeese St. Fan
Member since Jan 2005
95096 posts
Posted on 4/2/20 at 12:04 pm to
quote:

I’m gonna go ahead and say that death rate isn’t too accurate considering the tests have been pretty restricted to only people that have a fever and show like all of the symptoms. Actual denominator is very likely way higher since we don’t really have an accurate number on people that had it with minor/no real symptoms...


More gymnastics to fit the numbers so it doesn’t seem as bad.
Posted by Shaun176
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2008
3180 posts
Posted on 4/2/20 at 12:05 pm to
Steady increase in hospitalizations and decrease in ventilation is great news. Could this be expanded use of the Trump Cure?
Posted by ashy larry
Marcy Projects
Member since Mar 2010
5582 posts
Posted on 4/2/20 at 12:05 pm to
quote:

Didn't see it commented on yet but the new numbers list 507 patients on ventilator. I would imagine 80-90% of those people will pass in the next few days to a week.



I think that is a little high. I think it's more like 40%-60% based on what I've read, but I don't have a link to back that up at the moment.
This post was edited on 4/2/20 at 12:09 pm
Posted by TigersSEC2010
Warren, Michigan
Member since Jan 2010
38535 posts
Posted on 4/2/20 at 12:05 pm to
quote:

Didn't see it commented on yet but the new numbers list 507 patients on ventilator. I would imagine 80-90% of those people will pass in the next few days to a week.


That's probably a little high. I'd be 60% is more accurate.
This post was edited on 4/2/20 at 12:06 pm
Posted by Tigerfan1274
Member since May 2019
4800 posts
Posted on 4/2/20 at 12:06 pm to
quote:

Everybody is going to freak out about the positive cases, but a minimal increase in hospitalization and vent numbers is a positive sign.


If the tests have been backlogged, many who ended up in a hospital or a vent from these positives were probably already hospitalized or on a vent before their positive tests were released today.
Posted by tigerinthebueche
Member since Oct 2010
38241 posts
Posted on 4/2/20 at 12:06 pm to
quote:

Then you’d just be Mississippi
true


only with more STDs and unwed mothers
Posted by Sun God
Member since Jul 2009
52911 posts
Posted on 4/2/20 at 12:06 pm to
NO GOOD NEWS ALLOWED
Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
40262 posts
Posted on 4/2/20 at 12:07 pm to
10-14 days is what time "typical" is for vent patients from others in this thread who are in hospitals.
Posted by jsk020
Nola
Member since Jan 2013
1781 posts
Posted on 4/2/20 at 12:07 pm to
Helping you guys out

Daily Totals Compared To Italy
This post was edited on 4/2/20 at 12:09 pm
Posted by High C
viewing the fall....
Member since Nov 2012
62207 posts
Posted on 4/2/20 at 12:08 pm to
I’m glad we have another daily thread for people to go back and forth for ten pages about what the numbers REALLY mean.

Thanks for the quick info update, OP.
Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
40262 posts
Posted on 4/2/20 at 12:08 pm to
(no message)
This post was edited on 4/2/20 at 12:10 pm
Posted by StTiger
Baton Rouge
Member since Nov 2008
3219 posts
Posted on 4/2/20 at 12:08 pm to
Haven't read through yet, but not as apocalyptic as it appears

The last 4 days... 23,215 new tests completed and 5,610 new positives

So 45% of total tests were done in the last 4 days and 65% of new cases

Basically, if you test everyone, your number will skyrocket, but then from there it should curve off if those positives stay quarantined

Still 10 days or so from a potential level off
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
148026 posts
Posted on 4/2/20 at 12:08 pm to
quote:

When y'all Louisiana boys start trying to get into Texas this is what's waiting for ya



Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
40262 posts
Posted on 4/2/20 at 12:09 pm to
quote:

If the tests have been backlogged, many who ended up in a hospital or a vent from these positives were probably already hospitalized or on a vent before their positive tests were released today.



Hopefully.
Posted by Antonio Moss
The South
Member since Mar 2006
49579 posts
Posted on 4/2/20 at 12:10 pm to
quote:

It is the 2nd largest death total of any day so far.


It is statistically almost a flatline for the last five days plus more evidence that the 54 n Monday was an anomaly. I won't read too much into it, but it is good news.
Posted by Salmon
I helped draft the email
Member since Feb 2008
86736 posts
Posted on 4/2/20 at 12:11 pm to
quote:

It is the 2nd largest death total of any day so far.


I think the larger point is that we are not seeing that exponential growth that everyone lectured us on last week

Posted by danilo
Member since Nov 2008
26341 posts
Posted on 4/2/20 at 12:13 pm to
According to LDH site, Looks like LA has 1,845 total ventilators. 973 (53%) are currently in use.
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