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Started By
Message
re: Laura - President Trump visits Lake Charles, Louisiana for Hurricane Response Update
Posted on 8/17/20 at 11:52 am to lsugolfredman
Posted on 8/17/20 at 11:52 am to lsugolfredman
quote:
Buckle up boys
It's still way too far out to start with this kind of stuff.
2
Posted on 8/17/20 at 11:52 am to lsugolfredman
quote:
Newest Canadian model shows a double whammy coming for the GOM next week. Buckle up boys
damn you, Canadia!!!!!
Posted on 8/17/20 at 11:53 am to LSU5508
quote:
Correct me if i'm wrong but 1002 mb is not even a hurricane correct?
you have to check which model run you're looking at
1 this morning had 952 mb... this is a cat 3
1002 mb may not even be a tropical storm
Posted on 8/17/20 at 11:54 am to notiger1997
While it's still too early, think the pattern overall supports this. Yes things can change but gonna be a long 2 months basically on here.
Posted on 8/17/20 at 11:55 am to rt3
I was looking at the most recent run. Shows 1002 into Lafayette. Way too far out I know.
Posted on 8/17/20 at 11:56 am to notiger1997
quote:
It's still way too far out to start with this kind of stuff.
168 hours out isn't fantasy-land like most of the model graphics posted. Well within confident reason when all models show similar possibilities.
Posted on 8/17/20 at 11:57 am to rt3
that is 97L, 98L is later on in the run as a hurricane southern Texas. 
Posted on 8/17/20 at 12:00 pm to lsugolfredman
Yeah, we're at just look at ensembles for steering and shear at this point.
Posted on 8/17/20 at 12:02 pm to lsuman25
Looks like I should bring my surfboard to Rosemary next week 
Posted on 8/17/20 at 12:03 pm to lsugolfredman
12z Canadian looks like it teases the coast with 97L, never makes landfall, and sends 98L as a Cat2 to Mobile.
It seems like it’s been consistent in wanting to weaken 97L as it’s on its final approach, and holding 98L stronger - anyone have an explanation for that?
It seems like it’s been consistent in wanting to weaken 97L as it’s on its final approach, and holding 98L stronger - anyone have an explanation for that?
Posted on 8/17/20 at 12:07 pm to BRIllini07
quote:
It seems like it’s been consistent in wanting to weaken 97L as it’s on its final approach, and holding 98L stronger - anyone have an explanation for that?
Competing shear. Systems within a reasonable proximity to each other will impose shear. Sometimes beneficial for further development producing outflow channels, but mostly negative. 97L would be negatively impacted
Posted on 8/17/20 at 12:08 pm to BRIllini07
quote:
It seems like it’s been consistent in wanting to weaken 97L as it’s on its final approach, and holding 98L stronger - anyone have an explanation for that
97L is moving faster and the shear is projected to be stronger for it vs 98L.
Posted on 8/17/20 at 12:14 pm to LSU5508
Posted on 8/17/20 at 12:22 pm to Duke
The Icon also showing 97L as a broad, sheared system with 98L the real deal behind it.
Posted on 8/17/20 at 1:13 pm to BRIllini07
quote:
sends 98L as a Cat2 to Mobile.
Posted on 8/17/20 at 1:49 pm to Palmetto08
Euro has 98L going up the east coast offshore looks like
Posted on 8/17/20 at 1:57 pm to lsuman25
We have all the areas covered from Mexico from GFS to just off the east coast on the Euro. Gonna be a long 7-10 days.
Gonna be a long 7-10 days.
Posted on 8/17/20 at 1:59 pm to lsuman25
Meteorologists got to cover their bases baw
Posted on 8/17/20 at 2:48 pm to East Coast Band
CMC has 98L as a Cat 2 hitting Pensacola/Destin
This post was edited on 8/17/20 at 3:03 pm
Posted on 8/17/20 at 3:14 pm to PhillyTiger90
Let them deal with it
That area hasn't had a major storm in a long time
That area hasn't had a major storm in a long time
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