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4
Posted on 8/25/20 at 11:18 pm to DhanTigers212
quote:
drastic movements
Unlikely
Posted on 8/25/20 at 11:18 pm to DhanTigers212
You know you can look at the very first post in the thread and see that, right?
Posted on 8/25/20 at 11:18 pm to DhanTigers212
One-half H to the right
Posted on 8/25/20 at 11:19 pm to RummelTiger
I know I’m lazy sorry lol
Posted on 8/25/20 at 11:19 pm to Hulkklogan
Grew up in Eunice and can still remember Lily being horrible in the area between Eunice and Chataignier. Lost power for something like 10 days. Then a few years later right after Katrina, Rita rolled through and we were still having football practice the Monday after. Nobody back home is really concerned though.
Posted on 8/25/20 at 11:19 pm to DhanTigers212
Holly Beach will likely be washed away in this one for good.
The Sulphur baws really do need to watch out for surge AND winds. I fear catastrophic damage to many homes.
The Sulphur baws really do need to watch out for surge AND winds. I fear catastrophic damage to many homes.
Posted on 8/25/20 at 11:20 pm to Impotent Waffle
So is Galveston clear of the max winds. BIL lives in league city.
Posted on 8/25/20 at 11:21 pm to Duke
Thanks. I am likely going off the model that Levi showed and not a dropsonde.
One more question then I will hang up for the night.
Love the tracker you have of the center line. However I suspect the edges of the cone “should”’ be narrowing. Is there a way to measure the same shift on the East/West edge and also where can I find the historical average or median storm deviation from the center X hours out?
One more question then I will hang up for the night.
Love the tracker you have of the center line. However I suspect the edges of the cone “should”’ be narrowing. Is there a way to measure the same shift on the East/West edge and also where can I find the historical average or median storm deviation from the center X hours out?
Posted on 8/25/20 at 11:22 pm to LSUcrawfish
Correct, it does not appear as if the eyewall will go over Galveston.
Posted on 8/25/20 at 11:22 pm to slackster
This is by far the hardest graph/chart to read. I need help with this one please.
Posted on 8/25/20 at 11:23 pm to BradC
How pissed are the Weather Channel on site reporters?
Usually they are an hour away, never reporting from the eye wall.
Cantore text message
"Frick, we're going to be in the middle of this shite."
Usually they are an hour away, never reporting from the eye wall.
Cantore text message
"Frick, we're going to be in the middle of this shite."
Posted on 8/25/20 at 11:25 pm to BradC
quote:
BradC
I'm sorry for your experience in this thread.
One post of your 141 since Feb 2019 and it's just raining downvotes.
Posted on 8/25/20 at 11:26 pm to slackster
Should have kept post count at 140.. Booooooo
Posted on 8/25/20 at 11:26 pm to LaBR4
quote:
Frick, we're going to be in the middle of this shite
I see a helmet and goggles in Jim's near future
Posted on 8/25/20 at 11:27 pm to CaptainJ47
quote:
However I suspect the edges of the cone “should”’ be narrowing. Is there a way to measure the same shift on the East/West edge and also where can I find the historical average or median storm deviation from the center X hours out?
Ok so the cone isn't really representative of uncertainty in the forecast. It's 1 sd of the error over the past five (IIRC) years from the NHC. So the cone actually shows you the typical deviation from the mean for a given timeframe.
Posted on 8/25/20 at 11:28 pm to LPLGTiger
quote:
This is by far the hardest graph/chart to read. I need help with this one please.
The red and green lines are useless shite like humidity and temp.
The wind barbs on the right side are the different winds at different heights. The little table on the right is all I read. Look for the last wind reading and that's typically the surface wind.
Posted on 8/25/20 at 11:28 pm to Duke
quote:
Correct, it does not appear as if the eyewall will go over Galveston.
Thanks Rummel
Posted on 8/25/20 at 11:29 pm to CaptainJ47
quote:
Love the tracker you have of the center line. However I suspect the edges of the cone “should”’ be narrowing. Is there a way to measure the same shift on the East/West edge and also where can I find the historical average or median storm deviation from the center X hours out?
Required reading for anyone who seriously wants to understand the cone
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