re: Laura - President Trump visits Lake Charles, Louisiana for Hurricane Response Update

This tropical storm sausage fest of a pussy season continues.

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Please clarify which is on the left and which is on the right?

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the left is TD14... the right is TD13

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Would it be wise to consider evacuating Plaqumines and Orleans Parishes at this time?

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Nobody should even start thinking about that kind of stuff until maybe Saturday.

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Steve Caparotta, Ph.D.
@SteveWAFB
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12m
Outflow rapidly improving with #TD14 and headed into some of the deepest, warmest water in the basin. If the core can get better organized, watch out for this one potentially overachieving model expectations.


Just saw that posted on Twitter, interesting to say the least

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Here is what the NHC is saying:


Once the depression slows down during the next 24-36 hours,
environmental conditions appear ideal for strengthening. The
magnitude of vertical shear is expected to be less than 10 kt for
at least the next 2 days, while the system will be moving over the
deep, warm waters of the northwestern Caribbean Sea, where sea
surface temperatures are 29-30 degrees Celsius. Given these
conditions, some of the intensity guidance actually appears more
muted than I would have expected, and I have therefore elected to
closely follow the SHIPS and LGEM models, which are near the upper
end of the guidance envelope. It is possible that the depression
could be near or at hurricane strength when it approaches the
Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico in 2-3 days. Some weakening is
anticipated when the center moves over land, and then
re-strengthening is likely after it moves over the Gulf of Mexico.
There will be an increase in shear over the Gulf in 4-5 days, and
right now there is greater-than-normal uncertainty in how this will
affect the cyclone's intensity at that point. For now, the
official forecast on days 4 and 5 shows a flat-lined intensity, and
this scenario lies a little above the ICON intensity consensus and
the HCCA model solution.

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dukke v

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IMO they are two far away from each other to meet.

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Goddammit

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Or, would they work like sticking opposite ends of magnets together and push each other away (further east and further west)?


I’m wondering this myself. It’s what I’m hoping for at least!

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I think it would depend on location in regards to each other. Certain positions could create shear on the other storm while other positions could feed into it. But I’m not positive on that

Euro showing TD 14 likely becoming a hurricane in the central gulf

Is tropicaltidbits very slow for anyone else or is it just me?

Levi said it would be due to the amount of traffic being higher than normal.