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re: Laura - President Trump visits Lake Charles, Louisiana for Hurricane Response Update

Posted on 8/23/20 at 8:02 pm to
Posted by CaptainJ47
Gonzales
Member since Nov 2007
7801 posts
Posted on 8/23/20 at 8:02 pm to
Pics?
Posted by Prominentwon
LSU, McNeese St. Fan
Member since Jan 2005
95034 posts
Posted on 8/23/20 at 8:03 pm to
So this MFer is laughing at us now, huh?

Posted by lsugolfredman
Member since Jun 2005
1941 posts
Posted on 8/23/20 at 8:04 pm to
Track will nudge east again. At most 20-30 miles.
Posted by Tbonepatron
Member since Aug 2013
8462 posts
Posted on 8/23/20 at 8:05 pm to
That’s an eastward shift for sure.
Posted by lsutiger2010
Member since Aug 2008
14790 posts
Posted on 8/23/20 at 8:06 pm to
(no message)
This post was edited on 10/18/21 at 3:39 pm
Posted by LSUFanHouston
NOLA
Member since Jul 2009
41102 posts
Posted on 8/23/20 at 8:07 pm to
Weather underground app keeps raising predicted rain totals for Monday. Up to 5.48 inches for St Bernard
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
131638 posts
Posted on 8/23/20 at 8:08 pm to
Those bursts arent near the center

That is the mid level convection that will be shooting off north over the next 24 hours
Posted by burdman
Louisiana
Member since Aug 2007
22741 posts
Posted on 8/23/20 at 8:08 pm to
Honest question, cause I don’t know the answer, when do we think we’ll have a high confidence path for Laura? Tomorrow night after it passes through Cuba?
Posted by deuce985
Member since Feb 2008
27660 posts
Posted on 8/23/20 at 8:09 pm to
You guys are going to kill yourselves over the cone shifts. It's going to keep flip flopping.
Posted by Tbonepatron
Member since Aug 2013
8462 posts
Posted on 8/23/20 at 8:10 pm to
quote:

high confidence path


For within how many miles? 50? 100? 200?
Posted by burdman
Louisiana
Member since Aug 2007
22741 posts
Posted on 8/23/20 at 8:10 pm to
100
Posted by msutiger
Houston
Member since Jul 2008
71995 posts
Posted on 8/23/20 at 8:10 pm to
(no message)
This post was edited on 4/9/23 at 4:26 pm
Posted by Midtiger farm
Member since Nov 2014
6178 posts
Posted on 8/23/20 at 8:11 pm to
quote:

Honest question, cause I don’t know the answer, when do we think we’ll have a high confidence path for Laura? Tomorrow night after it passes through Cuba?




Who knows. Usually 72 hours out is pretty accurate and we are 72
hours out right now
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147183 posts
Posted on 8/23/20 at 8:11 pm to
quote:

You guys are going to kill yourselves over the cone shifts. It's going to keep flip flopping.

just like Joe Biden








Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91838 posts
Posted on 8/23/20 at 8:11 pm to
quote:

Honest question, cause I don’t know the answer, when do we think we’ll have a high confidence path for Laura? Tomorrow night after it passes through Cuba?


Whenever there is a clearly defined center for even a layperson.

You’re asking a model to predict global weather 4 days out and you can’t even tell it what the weather is like at this exact moment. It’s having to make educated, albeit very educated, guesses to start. Between land integration and Laura’s sloppy structure, it’s a tough job.
Posted by NorthEndZone
Member since Dec 2008
14314 posts
Posted on 8/23/20 at 8:11 pm to
Posted by burdman
Louisiana
Member since Aug 2007
22741 posts
Posted on 8/23/20 at 8:12 pm to
quote:

You’re asking a model to predict global weather


No, I’m asking the weather asking the weather experts here. Better than the models
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
131638 posts
Posted on 8/23/20 at 8:13 pm to
Center looks well south of cuba on there
Posted by Klark Kent
Houston via BR
Member since Jan 2008
74898 posts
Posted on 8/23/20 at 8:13 pm to
there are too many factors at play for anyone to know with any certainty this far away. no one has your answer.
This post was edited on 8/23/20 at 8:15 pm
Posted by burdman
Louisiana
Member since Aug 2007
22741 posts
Posted on 8/23/20 at 8:15 pm to
No shite, Sherlock
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