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Started By
Message
re: Laura - President Trump visits Lake Charles, Louisiana for Hurricane Response Update
Posted on 8/23/20 at 7:28 pm to ell_13
Posted on 8/23/20 at 7:28 pm to ell_13
quote:
No. I replied to myself on purpose. It wasn’t really a response to anyone in particular. Just didn’t feel like editing.
I do that sometimes if I have a post where I put in a whole bunch of facts, stats, dates, etc and have some typos or something I don’t edit it and reply to it to make changes because I don’t want it to look like I got some stats wrong and had to change them.
1
Posted on 8/23/20 at 7:29 pm to treyk89
Still a decent margin of error for Laura. That’s what I gather
Posted on 8/23/20 at 7:29 pm to ell_13
Are we going to pretend the 18z EURO doesn't exist or are we going to have a discussion about it? Because it brings 100mph gusts to much of sela between New Orleans and Baton Rouge.
Two runs in a row from the EURO showing a Grand Isle area landfall, this time it's MUCH, MUCH stronger than the previous one.
The EURO may be beginning to see a bigger weakness left by Marco than previously thought.
Two runs in a row from the EURO showing a Grand Isle area landfall, this time it's MUCH, MUCH stronger than the previous one.
The EURO may be beginning to see a bigger weakness left by Marco than previously thought.
This post was edited on 8/23/20 at 7:35 pm
Posted on 8/23/20 at 7:29 pm to The Boat
ETA: long run on sentence. Needed some more punctuation.
Posted on 8/23/20 at 7:29 pm to Signature
quote:
For those of us in NOLA who need electricity tomorrow for work. Should we be re-locating north west tonight?
I would
Posted on 8/23/20 at 7:31 pm to UnitedFruitCompany
whatt?
the forecast for nola (tomorrow) doesnt seem that bad. 3-5 inches of rain and 30 mph winds
the forecast for nola (tomorrow) doesnt seem that bad. 3-5 inches of rain and 30 mph winds
This post was edited on 8/23/20 at 7:32 pm
Posted on 8/23/20 at 7:31 pm to TDsngumbo
My worry is Marco is such a nothingburger after this double cane event got so much coverage that people don’t take Hurricane Laura seriously and it gets some people in some real trouble.
Posted on 8/23/20 at 7:32 pm to treyk89
quote:
So what does the mean exactly? We still don’t have a clue what it’s going to do?
My post specifically means that I don't know how to read graphics I've been posting for half a decade.
As for Laura, yes, there is still plenty of uncertainty, but the current takeaway is that the ensembles/models that take Laura into central/SE LA tend to be weaker than the ones that go further west. Perhaps that's some peace of mind, depending where you live.
Posted on 8/23/20 at 7:33 pm to burdman
Anywhere from Houston to Morgan City. And Morgan City gets put in a cone regardless if they have a pinned down location because...it's Morgan City. Seems like you always have to put at least model up the pooper of that area.
Posted on 8/23/20 at 7:33 pm to ell_13
quote:
I meant that the NWS track has them 200 miles apart. The NWS doesn’t use the euro.
Gotcha.
Posted on 8/23/20 at 7:36 pm to ell_13
quote:
I meant that the NWS track has them 200 miles apart. The NWS doesn’t use the euro.
Wut? Between it and the GFS, the Euro is literally the gold standard for the NWS/NOAA in daily forecasting and cyclone tracking
Posted on 8/23/20 at 7:37 pm to The Boat
quote:
My worry is Marco is such a nothingburger after this double cane event got so much coverage that people don’t take Hurricane Laura seriously and it gets some people in some real trouble.
I'm also interested to see if there is any stacking - for lack of a better word - of storm surge between the two.
Some places in SE LA may see 30+ MPH southeast winds for 60+ hours.
Posted on 8/23/20 at 7:37 pm to TDsngumbo
Euro is off
The stronger it comes off Cuba and it looks like it will be ar least a strong TS.
Stronger storm will feel ridge more and go west
I’d say cone will be narrowed from Vermillion bay to Galveston tomorrow
The stronger it comes off Cuba and it looks like it will be ar least a strong TS.
Stronger storm will feel ridge more and go west
I’d say cone will be narrowed from Vermillion bay to Galveston tomorrow
Posted on 8/23/20 at 7:37 pm to slackster
quote:
My post specifically means that I don't know how to read graphics I've been posting for half a decade. As for Laura, yes, there is still plenty of uncertainty, but the current takeaway is that the ensembles/models that take Laura into central/SE LA tend to be weaker than the ones that go further west. Perhaps that's some peace of mind, depending where you live.
Where does the last two runs of the Euro fit in to all of this?
Posted on 8/23/20 at 7:37 pm to The Boat
I was more worried Marco would be a threat and trap people from being able to evacuate Laura or monitor the storm.
Posted on 8/23/20 at 7:37 pm to rocket31
quote:
hatt?
the forecast for nola (tomorrow) doesnt seem that bad. 3-5 inches of rain and 30 mph winds
I lost power uptown in New Orleans Friday and it was sunny with no wind.
Posted on 8/23/20 at 7:37 pm to rocket31
Pfft. Y'all know if a storm looks the wrong way at the swb loses it
Posted on 8/23/20 at 7:38 pm to TidenUP
quote:
When you asked how many people had actually dealt with hurricane force winds.
How is that douchey? Very few people have actually ridden out sustained hurricane winds.
Posted on 8/23/20 at 7:39 pm to lsugolfredman
They’re the two main global models, yes. My point was that the NWS doesn’t use the euro model for its official track. Otherwise, the official Laura track would already be over SELA.
Posted on 8/23/20 at 7:40 pm to UnitedFruitCompany
ive lost power once since living here (6 yrs) and that was because a car ran through a power line. so, losing power is not a real concern i dont think from the current model.
BUT nola can flood randomly on a sunday shower
BUT nola can flood randomly on a sunday shower
This post was edited on 8/23/20 at 7:43 pm
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