re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict

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Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban can still block major decisions that require an anonymous vote, such as the six-month extension of sanctions against Russia.

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That may be 'unanimous' vote.


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falsely portray Russian victory as inevitable.

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Falsely?

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Right now if they jumped in, yes. If they started fighting them in 2022 instead of Ukraine, probably not

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Based on what exactly? Russia has shown remarkable ineptitude at combined arms.

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Based on what exactly? Russia has shown remarkable ineptitude at combined arms.

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I think my answer probably should have been "it depends" on the latter part, but here it goes. I guess my answer is more "in a vacuum", but how exactly the scenario is laid out matters a great deal in how it goes.

I don't think Britain or France would be any better at combined arms, and they could possibly be a good deal worse.

I think Ukraine's familiarity with Russia prepared them for the kind of brutality we've seen from the Russians. I don't think British or French troops would be prepared for that, and I think it would be kind of a shell shock. And that brutality includes brutality against their own troops.... I think it would be jarring for the Brits and French to see some of the high casualty tactics Russia uses and doesn't really care about.

Ukraine had been preparing for a Russian invasion since 2014 and was a more poorly equipped (though I'm not sure the gap is as considerable as one might think) but overall better military than either France's or Britain's in 2022. So if you're just dropping France or Britain is as it stands, I think there is a long adjustment/calibration period that likely costs them the war.

That's reasonable enough. It's hard to gauge Russia at the beginning of the war as it seemed they were somewhat arrogant in their original battle plan, assuming that the Ukrainians wouldn't fight back at all. It's clear that Russia is very good at fighting a particular type of war and making their enemies fight the war that the Russians want to fight. In the right environment, I think the Russians could dictate that to Western armies.

I think it depends who is the aggressor. The defender would have the edge. I doubt either side could pull off an operation like we did in Iraq 1.

He’s right you know.

DeepState TG reports:

"Situation in Kurshchyna. Enemy attempts to physically block logistics

Currently, the most critical situation is developing on the border of Kurshchyna and Sumy Oblast, where active attempts by the enemy to pressure the positions of the Ukrainian military continue.

Zhuravka-Novenky area. Depending on the section of this section, the nature of the fighting and enemy pressure is different:

- In the direction of Zhuravka, the Defense Forces manage to restrain the enemy to a certain extent, no matter what attempts he makes there.
- Between Zhuravka and Novenky, the Katsaps are having greater success and there they are trying to move along the landings, entering the territory of Sumy Oblast. The Ukrainian military is striking them and trying not to let them pass further.
- The most difficult situation is developing in the Novenky area. The enemy is accumulating in the village and trying to move to Basivka, which will open the way to the Sudzha military command post, in order to physically block the logistics coming from Yunakivka. The enemy is numerically superior and this creates its own difficulties.

The enemy is also being activated on the right flank of the Kursk Group of Forces of the Defense Forces, in the area of ??the village of Kurylivka to the state border with Sumy Region. The goal is the same - access to additional control of logistics (both fire and physical in the future)

It is worth noting separately that the enemy has an advantage in UAVs, both reconnaissance and strike. The most common in use is the FPV drone. It is they who mainly carry out fire control of everything that moves "in" or "out" of the Kursk Region.

How this will all end is unknown. Unfortunately, we have an often repeated habit of "not noticing problems that in the future develop into bad consequences". What is the reason for this is unknown. We will monitor the development of events. The competence and authority to make decisions lies exclusively with the command and no one else. The fighters of the Defense Forces on the ground are making maximum efforts to first stop the enemy's advance, interrupt their accumulation, and then push them back."

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We are a weak ally. No better than the Euros and their strongly worded letter. I hope this doesn't embolden more global bullshite.

Take it to Sonic