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re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict
Posted on 1/21/25 at 2:52 am to cypher
Posted on 1/21/25 at 2:52 am to cypher
Another Kyiv Post artcle, a short obit of Biden's failed Ukrainian policy. Bob Woodward published a book on the topic a couple of months ago and although he doesn't strike a Kitty Kelly level of fear in DC, he has placed the blame squarely on three individuals: National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan; CIA Director William Burns; and Rand Corporation imbed Samuel Charap.
As was Biden, all three were legacies from the Obama administration - the gift of mind-blowing incompetence that just keeps on giving. All four will be judged the rest of their lives by their repeated failures in trying to handle Putin. At least we now have a blueprint on how not to deal with him.
As was Biden, all three were legacies from the Obama administration - the gift of mind-blowing incompetence that just keeps on giving. All four will be judged the rest of their lives by their repeated failures in trying to handle Putin. At least we now have a blueprint on how not to deal with him.
0
Posted on 1/21/25 at 5:40 am to Chromdome35
quote:
So Trump is lying? Do you not think that Trump might have misquoted and said 1M KIA when he meant 1M casualties (KIA,WIA,MIA) total?
Common sense tells you there is no incentive for either side to accurately report either the other side's real death toll, or their own. Perception is reality, most of the time. I think both sides will certainly be trying to make perception reality whenever this thing does get "resolved", because it's likely both come away from the table with big black eyes.
This post was edited on 1/22/25 at 7:11 am
Posted on 1/21/25 at 7:16 am to VolSquatch
Interesting that Xi and Putin held a Video Conference Today
Loading Twitter/X Embed...
If tweet fails to load, click here.Posted on 1/21/25 at 8:01 am to John Barron
If given a choice, which of the two would you give a blow job to first?
Posted on 1/21/25 at 8:02 am to John Barron
British Defence Intelligence
INTELLIGENCE UPDATE
UPDATE ON UKRAINE 21 January 2025
Uncertainty concerning the future of Russia's presence and capability in the Eastern Mediterranean remains high. Following the collapse of the Assad regime, Russia's former Syrian ally, Russia's Permanent Mediterranean Task Group (PMTG) does not currently have access to its Tartus naval base for maintenance and logistical support. There is no comparable alternative base for the PMTG in the region.
The future of Russia's bases in Syria remains unclear whilst there is political uncertainty in the country. However, Russia is almost certainly seeking to retain a presence in the Mediterranean. Its ability to logistically support both its military and its Private Military Contractors in Africa, as well as limiting the reputational damage incurred through the fall of the Assad regime, will almost certainly be priorities for the Russian government. Russia's intent to redeploy any forces or equipment to potential alternative locations in North Africa remains unclear.
The Russian leadership almost certainly considers the Ukraine conflict to be their primary concern. Russia's prioritisation of the Ukraine conflict likely degraded Russia's ability and capacity to keep the Assad regime in power.
INTELLIGENCE UPDATE
UPDATE ON UKRAINE 21 January 2025
Uncertainty concerning the future of Russia's presence and capability in the Eastern Mediterranean remains high. Following the collapse of the Assad regime, Russia's former Syrian ally, Russia's Permanent Mediterranean Task Group (PMTG) does not currently have access to its Tartus naval base for maintenance and logistical support. There is no comparable alternative base for the PMTG in the region.
The future of Russia's bases in Syria remains unclear whilst there is political uncertainty in the country. However, Russia is almost certainly seeking to retain a presence in the Mediterranean. Its ability to logistically support both its military and its Private Military Contractors in Africa, as well as limiting the reputational damage incurred through the fall of the Assad regime, will almost certainly be priorities for the Russian government. Russia's intent to redeploy any forces or equipment to potential alternative locations in North Africa remains unclear.
The Russian leadership almost certainly considers the Ukraine conflict to be their primary concern. Russia's prioritisation of the Ukraine conflict likely degraded Russia's ability and capacity to keep the Assad regime in power.
Posted on 1/21/25 at 8:20 am to cypher
Agents Arrest Ex-Commander of Scandal-Ridden Ukrainian Brigade Raised by France
Official statements said Col. Dmytro Ryumshyn could face a 10-year prison term if convicted of wartime command negligence, including ignoring the desertion of more than 1,000 of his soldiers.
by Stefan Korshak | January 21, 2025, 2:21 pm
DBR agents along with operators from Security Service of Ukraine (SBU) arrested the officer, identified in mainstream news reports as Colonel Dmytro Ryumshyn, after he arrived to begin work in an administrative job in the west of the country, Ukrainian news reports said.
According to the DBR statement, the commander of the 155th concealed from his chain of command massive desertion from brigade by soldiers, both in and outside France, and took no action to prevent the desertions as they were taking place. He subsequently did not respond to army investigators looking into reports of personnel losses gutting the unit and, based on unit records, ignored multiple subordinates telling him men quitting the brigade or failing to report, the DBR statement said.
The Kyiv Post
Official statements said Col. Dmytro Ryumshyn could face a 10-year prison term if convicted of wartime command negligence, including ignoring the desertion of more than 1,000 of his soldiers.
by Stefan Korshak | January 21, 2025, 2:21 pm
DBR agents along with operators from Security Service of Ukraine (SBU) arrested the officer, identified in mainstream news reports as Colonel Dmytro Ryumshyn, after he arrived to begin work in an administrative job in the west of the country, Ukrainian news reports said.
According to the DBR statement, the commander of the 155th concealed from his chain of command massive desertion from brigade by soldiers, both in and outside France, and took no action to prevent the desertions as they were taking place. He subsequently did not respond to army investigators looking into reports of personnel losses gutting the unit and, based on unit records, ignored multiple subordinates telling him men quitting the brigade or failing to report, the DBR statement said.
The Kyiv Post
This post was edited on 1/21/25 at 8:23 am
Posted on 1/21/25 at 10:51 am to cypher
Lavrov said this recently
Whatever they’re thinking, it includes annexing more of Ukraine, with referendums to legitimize it
quote:
Meanwhile, Russia is ready to discuss security guarantees for "the country that is now called Ukraine, or that part of it that has not yet self-determined, unlike Crimea, Donbass and Novorossiya"
Whatever they’re thinking, it includes annexing more of Ukraine, with referendums to legitimize it
Posted on 1/21/25 at 10:54 am to Lima Whiskey
Zelenskyy WEF Davos speech - text....
Thread ReaderApp
"We need a united European security and defense policy. All European countries must spend what is truly needed on security—not just what they’ve gotten used to during years of neglect. If defense requires 5% of GDP, then 5% it is. "
"No European country should be dependent on a single energy supplier—especially not Russia. Right now, things are on our side – President Trump is going to export more energy. But Europe needs to step-up and do more long-term work to secure real energy independence. "
"It is impossible to keep buying gas from Moscow while expecting security guarantees, help and backup from the Americans. That’s just wrong. For example, the Prime Minister of Slovakia is not seeking access to the U.S. gas but does not lose hope to enjoy U.S. security umbrella. "
Thread ReaderApp
"We need a united European security and defense policy. All European countries must spend what is truly needed on security—not just what they’ve gotten used to during years of neglect. If defense requires 5% of GDP, then 5% it is. "
"No European country should be dependent on a single energy supplier—especially not Russia. Right now, things are on our side – President Trump is going to export more energy. But Europe needs to step-up and do more long-term work to secure real energy independence. "
"It is impossible to keep buying gas from Moscow while expecting security guarantees, help and backup from the Americans. That’s just wrong. For example, the Prime Minister of Slovakia is not seeking access to the U.S. gas but does not lose hope to enjoy U.S. security umbrella. "
This post was edited on 1/21/25 at 11:16 am
Posted on 1/21/25 at 11:14 am to cypher
Posted on 1/21/25 at 1:59 pm to John Barron
There you have it, Putin needs to make deal because he is destroying Russia. I have been saying this about the economy since the Summer of 2022. But those who get their news from bad sources said I was making it up.
LINK
LINK
Posted on 1/21/25 at 2:27 pm to John Barron
Posted on 1/21/25 at 2:33 pm to John Barron
Posted on 1/21/25 at 4:17 pm to CitizenK
quote:
There you have it, Putin needs to make deal because he is destroying Russia
I don't think so Comrade
Per Bloomberg....
Loading Twitter/X Embed...
If tweet fails to load, click here. "Russia's budget revenues rose to a record high last month even after the United States imposed a new round of sanctions on the banking sector. The restrictions were aimed at disrupting foreign trade payments and curbing export earnings - Bloomberg.
Total revenue in December was more than 4 trillion rubles ($40 billion), up 28% from the same month a year earlier, according to Bloomberg calculations based on Finance Ministry data.
This is the highest level recorded in the ministry's data since January 2011.
The US and its allies have sought to stymie the Kremlin’s war machine by restricting export revenues, and late last year imposed additional sanctions on Russia’s energy industry and the banks that serve it. Still, oil and gas revenues rose by a third in December from a year earlier and are on track to increase by 26% in 2024. Other revenue sources have shown similar gains for the full year, driven by taxes and dividends amid robust economic growth.
“The volume of non-oil and gas revenues in 2024 significantly exceeded the estimates set out in the budget law for 2025-2027, including from the largest tax sources,” the Finance Ministry said in a statement.
The increase in revenues allowed the government to spend more than ever before, with total expenditure for the month amounting to 7.15 trillion rubles, breaking the previous record set in December 2022."
Posted on 1/21/25 at 4:18 pm to Chromdome35
at the very end watch for the look that one guy gives solovyov...
Vladimir Solovyov says Russia will conquer Britain, Germany and France
Vladimir Solovyov says Russia will conquer Britain, Germany and France
Posted on 1/21/25 at 4:22 pm to notiger1997
quote:
If given a choice, which of the two would you give a blow job to first?
Posted on 1/21/25 at 4:42 pm to John Barron
quote:
I don't think so Comrade
Per Putin....
Fixed for you.
Bloomberg is quoting the press release of the Russian Finance Ministry.
Posted on 1/21/25 at 4:43 pm to John Barron
quote:
The increase in revenues allowed the government to spend more than ever before, with total expenditure for the month amounting to 7.15 trillion rubles, breaking the previous record set in December 2022."
The Bloomberg article continues with....
Russia last year posted its widest fiscal gap since the Covid pandemic in 2020 at 3.5 trillion rubles or 1.7% of gross domestic product. The government ran a budget deficit for a third year as President Vladimir Putin’s February 2022 invasion of Ukraine led to huge increases in state spending on the military and measures to support domestic business amid sweeping sanctions.
Total revenue in 2024 rose by 26% to 36.7 trillion rubles, while expenses increased by 24% to 40.2 trillion rubles. The Russian currency lost about 12% against the dollar in the period, according to central bank data.
The Kremlin continues to ramp up spending on the war as its forces slowly advance in Ukraine. About a third of its budget is expected to be spent on military needs in 2025, according to the budget law.
The budget’s execution in 2024 confirms doubts that a planned increase in spending this year of only 3.2% is realistic, according to Alfa-Bank.
“We expect that the growth in expenditures this year will be higher, leading to a larger budget deficit,” the bank’s analysts said in a note.
Posted on 1/21/25 at 4:57 pm to cypher
latest on russia oil exports
Russian Oil Flows From Key Baltic Port Plunge Unexpectedly
(Bloomberg) — Russian oil exports from the country’s second-largest export facility in the Baltic Sea have plunged unexpectedly in the past several weeks, a slump that adds to wider questions about the nation’s petroleum flows as Western sanctions ramp up.
Shipments from the port of Ust-Luga slumped sharply in the final two weeks of December, a period in which six out 14 scheduled cargoes failed to load. Russia then planned — and has so far exported — a much smaller amount this month than would be normal in January, port agent data and historical vessel tracking compiled by by Bloomberg show.
Financial Post / Bloomberg
Russian Oil Flows From Key Baltic Port Plunge Unexpectedly
(Bloomberg) — Russian oil exports from the country’s second-largest export facility in the Baltic Sea have plunged unexpectedly in the past several weeks, a slump that adds to wider questions about the nation’s petroleum flows as Western sanctions ramp up.
Shipments from the port of Ust-Luga slumped sharply in the final two weeks of December, a period in which six out 14 scheduled cargoes failed to load. Russia then planned — and has so far exported — a much smaller amount this month than would be normal in January, port agent data and historical vessel tracking compiled by by Bloomberg show.
Financial Post / Bloomberg
This post was edited on 1/21/25 at 5:08 pm
Posted on 1/21/25 at 5:35 pm to cypher
Loading Twitter/X Embed...
If tweet fails to load, click here. “Alarming: Pentagon Cleans House, Removes All Officials Responsible for Ukraine Aid. Complete Reset Underway at the U.S. Department of Defense.”
?? “There’s talk of a new approach to relations with Ukraine, and it’s all a bit unsettling,” said Ukrainian propagandist R. Bochkala after a meeting with Washington Post journalists.
?? Earlier today, U.S. Secretary of State Rubio also stated that ending the war in Ukraine will become a cornerstone of U.S. policy.
Posted on 1/21/25 at 6:22 pm to John Barron
Try harder and Putin might let you be his boy toy
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