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Message
re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict
Posted on 4/30/24 at 6:51 am to StormyMcMan
Posted on 4/30/24 at 6:51 am to StormyMcMan
British Defence Intelligence
INTELLIGENCE UPDATE
UPDATE ON UKRAINE 30 April 2024
On 27 April 2024, Ukraine Interfax stated that the Security Service of Ukraine (SBU) used Uncrewed Aerial Vehicles (UAVs) to strike
Kushchevskaya airfield and the Ilsky and Slavyanskoil refineries in Krasnodar Krai. In total, the Russian MOD reportedly downed 66 UAVs, illustrating the scale of the attack.
Kushchevskaya airfield hosts a number of Russian fighter jets, including SU-34 FULLBACK and Su-35S FLANKER M. These are used daily in strike missions against Ukrainian frontline positions, including the heavy use of glide bombs. Open source videos show several glide bomb kits destroyed in a storage location at the airfield.
Russian fighters, from Kushchevskaya and a number of other airbases, typically conduct 100 to 150 sorties per day, a significant percentage of those launching munitions all along the frontlines as Russia attempts to force breakthroughs through sheer firepower.
Ukraine's ability to disrupt Russian tactical air, particularly glide bomb usage, is key to the wider defence of the frontlines. This successful strike is likely to force further Russian dispersals of fighters as well as reallocation of air defence assets to plug gaps.
INTELLIGENCE UPDATE
UPDATE ON UKRAINE 30 April 2024
On 27 April 2024, Ukraine Interfax stated that the Security Service of Ukraine (SBU) used Uncrewed Aerial Vehicles (UAVs) to strike
Kushchevskaya airfield and the Ilsky and Slavyanskoil refineries in Krasnodar Krai. In total, the Russian MOD reportedly downed 66 UAVs, illustrating the scale of the attack.
Kushchevskaya airfield hosts a number of Russian fighter jets, including SU-34 FULLBACK and Su-35S FLANKER M. These are used daily in strike missions against Ukrainian frontline positions, including the heavy use of glide bombs. Open source videos show several glide bomb kits destroyed in a storage location at the airfield.
Russian fighters, from Kushchevskaya and a number of other airbases, typically conduct 100 to 150 sorties per day, a significant percentage of those launching munitions all along the frontlines as Russia attempts to force breakthroughs through sheer firepower.
Ukraine's ability to disrupt Russian tactical air, particularly glide bomb usage, is key to the wider defence of the frontlines. This successful strike is likely to force further Russian dispersals of fighters as well as reallocation of air defence assets to plug gaps.
2
Posted on 4/30/24 at 7:03 am to StormyMcMan
Thanks for the info, both of you guys!
Posted on 4/30/24 at 7:10 am to cypher
WATCH: Shocking Footage Captures Russian Missile Strike Using Cluster Munitions on Odessa
The Prosecutor General of Ukraine reported that metal fragments and rocket debris were recovered within a 1.5 km radius from the site of the shelling.
by Kyiv Post | April 30, 2024, 1:27 pm
Yesterday, a Russian missile carrying a cluster munition struck a landmark building in Odessa, resulting in the deaths of five people. Another man died of a heart attack shortly afterward. A dog was also killed by shrapnel.
The prosecutor's office has launched an investigation into the ballistic missile attack on Odessa for violating laws and customs of war.
At least 32 people were injured in the attack, including two children and a pregnant woman. Twenty-five of them were taken to the hospital, as reported by the head of the regional administration, Oleg Kiper, who visited the site immediately. He stated, “The girl, who is not even five years old, is in an extremely serious condition. Six more adults are also in intensive care.”
Many of the injured were in the nearby green area.
The Kyiv Post
The Prosecutor General of Ukraine reported that metal fragments and rocket debris were recovered within a 1.5 km radius from the site of the shelling.
by Kyiv Post | April 30, 2024, 1:27 pm
Yesterday, a Russian missile carrying a cluster munition struck a landmark building in Odessa, resulting in the deaths of five people. Another man died of a heart attack shortly afterward. A dog was also killed by shrapnel.
The prosecutor's office has launched an investigation into the ballistic missile attack on Odessa for violating laws and customs of war.
At least 32 people were injured in the attack, including two children and a pregnant woman. Twenty-five of them were taken to the hospital, as reported by the head of the regional administration, Oleg Kiper, who visited the site immediately. He stated, “The girl, who is not even five years old, is in an extremely serious condition. Six more adults are also in intensive care.”
Many of the injured were in the nearby green area.
The Kyiv Post
Posted on 4/30/24 at 7:10 am to crookedicat
Per Bloomberg, the US has eased sanctions on at least 10 Russian banks, including the Central Bank, for energy-related operations.
Biden trying to reduce some pain @ the pump during the summer months and before November.
Biden trying to reduce some pain @ the pump during the summer months and before November.
Posted on 4/30/24 at 7:13 am to StormyMcMan
quote:
In Odessa, over the coast (health route), air defense shot down a Russian Iskander-class missile. Photos of the rocket's remains are published on social networks. Kivalov's house (a castle that belongs to the law academy) caught fire.
There was also an arrival somewhere outside the city (one of the two missiles was shot down). Ambulances and military vehicles rush around the city. Iskanders hit important, quickly identified targets.
2 civilians and a dog were killed when rocket fragments fell on them. Another 6 people were injured.
We have always written about the problem of air defense in urban agglomerations. Such cases will be constant. Don't ignore anxiety.
This is definitely a tragedy. The war will bring a lot of grief and destruction.
LINK
Posted on 4/30/24 at 7:13 am to Lee B
I remember early in the war when articles like this were being written, when the whole "The Russian army is going to revolt, desert, etc etc etc". Just checking in, did that actually happen? How is that going for Ukraine right now?
Posted on 4/30/24 at 7:15 am to VolSquatch
quote:
I remember early in the war when articles like this were being written, when the whole "The Russian army is going to revolt, desert, etc etc etc". Just checking in, did that actually happen? How is that going for Ukraine right now?
Well their mercs did revolt, but you probably forgot; since that was last year.
Posted on 4/30/24 at 7:18 am to doubleb
quote:
Well their mercs did revolt, but you probably forgot; since that was last year.
Yeah, I remember people thinking that was the end of the war, too. Ended up being a nothing burger that had 0 impact on the lines.
Posted on 4/30/24 at 7:28 am to cypher
quote:
attempts to force breakthroughs through sheer firepower.
That’s not quite how their doctrine works. The idea is to stress the length of the front line, and then exploit openings when and where they occur.
Posted on 4/30/24 at 7:31 am to Lima Whiskey
quote:
That’s not quite how their doctrine works. The idea is to stress the length of the front line, and then exploit openings when and where they occur.
This, its more like probing for weak points and then exploiting them.
Posted on 4/30/24 at 7:32 am to VolSquatch
Answered above
This post was edited on 4/30/24 at 7:33 am
Posted on 4/30/24 at 7:43 am to StormyMcMan
Posted on 4/30/24 at 8:06 am to Lima Whiskey
quote:
Service is very popular in the countryside, especially the poorer and more traditional areas. Fighting is seen as honorable and you can earn very good money in the army right now.
you mean they have no other work prospects and nothing to do but stay smashed on vodka and krokodil
Posted on 4/30/24 at 8:07 am to VolSquatch
quote:
Yeah, I remember people thinking that was the end of the war, too. Ended up being a nothing burger that had 0 impact on the lines.
You are exaggerating by a shitton. Other than maybe one or two comments, no one thought that Wagner could take Moscow unless the Russian army laid down its arms/stepped aside, which they had at Rostov on Don.
Posted on 4/30/24 at 8:10 am to ColtRange
quote:
You linked an article from 2 years ago talking about Kyiv. 95+% of these guys are in bombed out ruins of shitty villages, I doubt they're blown away by the luxuries of Ukraine.
In that case it probably just looks like home to them, now.
Posted on 4/30/24 at 8:11 am to CitizenK
quote:
You are exaggerating by a shitton
In what way? You have any proof to back up that it impacted the actual war?
I'm genuinely interested.
Posted on 4/30/24 at 8:11 am to CitizenK
At the same time, historically you never know when the ruler of Russia might be toppled and who might be ready to take his/her place. It doesn't matter if under the Tsars, Soviets or post Soviet era. Putin most definitely came to power in sort of a coup with a vulnerable Yeltsin.
Posted on 4/30/24 at 8:19 am to VolSquatch
quote:
Yeah, I remember people thinking that was the end of the war, too. Ended up being a nothing burger that had 0 impact on the lines.
It was a big news story, and as for the actual war it took a key Russian piece off the battlefield.
Posted on 4/30/24 at 8:46 am to doubleb
At that point in the war, Wagner was the only Russian unit that displayed sustained effectiveness on the battlefield.
It was a major loss for Russia; however, a year later Russia appears to have recovered.
It was a major loss for Russia; however, a year later Russia appears to have recovered.
Posted on 4/30/24 at 8:51 am to StormyMcMan
quote:
The US Treasury Department allowed transactions with russian banks for calculations in the energy sector.
According to the license issued by the US department, the ban on operations is lifted until November 1, 2024.
In the decree, the ministry explained that transactions related to the extraction, production, processing, liquefaction, transportation or purchase of oil and other energy resources, including liquefied natural gas, wood, coal and uranium, will be considered energy-related.
Interesting that of these listed banks and major investments of them
Vnesheconombank - Copper mining and Potash
Sovcombank - Leader for Sustainability and ESG in Russia
Sberbank - The largest in Russia and extensive ops in former Warsaw Pact nations. It's sold most of its holdings there but still sanctioned by Switzerland and even UAE. Not China.
VTB - government owned and teetered on insolvency more than once since 1990.
Alfa-Bank - part of the Russia Hoax against Trump Also strategic partner of Gazprom
Rosbank - primary stockholder is Interos heavily invested in mining and energy sectors among others. Formerly controlled by French Societe Generale which sold to Interos a under 30 cents on the dollar.
Bank Zenit - General services for retail and commercial with high value clients .
St. Petersburg Joint Public Stock Bank - a large reginal bank, general banking.
That's all I could see that was pertinent to these.
I'll have to ask my Russian friend, former finance director at Gazprom who will know more. Though I'm not sure if he is in the USA or helping Russian capital escape Putin still and somewhere not sanctioning Russian investors.
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