re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict

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As a result of russia not being able to achieve quick success on the battlefield, he implemented a strategy of terrorizing the Ukrainian population with missiles to break their will. Kyiv was first struck in June 2022.

By the winter of 2022-2023 there were large missile strikes resulting in much of Ukraine losing power. He hoped the timing would result in maximum terror effect due to winter conditions. During this time one tactic for implementing this terrorism strategy was targeting substations and distribution nodes. The Ukrainians did not fold and this tactic had limited success due to 2 things. First, the arrival of Patriots and other air defense systems. Secondly, the Ukrainians were supplied with generators and were able to repair their grid.

Something else to consider related to Putin's initial miscalculation. He did not anticipate the need for a large number of long range missiles to conquer Ukraine.

I remember around mid 2022 when Putin first targeted civilians with missiles that it was reported that russia had certain numbers of missiles stockpiled and some speculation as to how long they would last. Some time after that we started seeing reports that russia was ramping up new missile production which would allow them to increase the attacks. Recently Ukrainians have retrieved evidence from shot down missiles that the missiles are newly manufactured. So I think they have successfully increased their production and it is a matter of increased supply on hand.

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