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Posted on 3/27/24 at 9:37 pm to Turbeauxdog
quote:
that's like 20kb, so enough to fill up 1000 Camrys ....... once
Or it could fill up 500 Ladas for their expected life span.
Posted on 3/27/24 at 10:07 pm to RuLSU
quote:
That's good, right? That's a good thing? That means Russia is really strong and has strong trade across the world, right?
We'll see how close Lukashenko is with Putin. Meanwhile this could be a boon for Chinese refineries not operating at full capacity, but there is a catch, either a long voyage (especially with Houthis in the Red Sea) or every tank car Russia owns transporting via rail.
Posted on 3/28/24 at 3:13 am to Turbeauxdog
quote:
Russia bought 3,000 metric tons of Belarusian gasoline in the first half of March,
that's like 20kb, so enough to fill up 1000 Camrys ....... once
1 metric ton = 349.86 gallons
349.86 x 3000 = 1049580 gallons
Camry gas tank size = 15.8 gallons
1049580 / 15.8 = 66429 completely dry Camrys filled up
Posted on 3/28/24 at 7:00 am to cypher
8.35 barrels of gasoline per metric ton. So a little more than that at 1,052,100 gallons for 3,000 metric tons. The bigger problem is Russia's revenue lost and cost to purchase instead. This is way less than refined production lost per day.
Russia will need all of Belorus production to make up for lost production, easily over 100,000 BPD.
Russia will need all of Belorus production to make up for lost production, easily over 100,000 BPD.
Posted on 3/28/24 at 7:41 am to CitizenK
British Defence Intelligence
INTELLIGENCE UPDATE
UPDATE ON UKRAINE 28 March 2024
Governance initiatives instigated by the Russian authorities in the temporarily occupied territories of Ukraine continue. The Russian Academy of National Economy and Public Administration is launching a master's degree in 'State and municipal management' which, according to a representative of the university, will provide graduates with skills to work at all levels of government, including in the Donetsk and Luhansk People's Republics, as well as in the Kherson and Zaporizhzhia regions. The Russian Justice Minister, Konstantin Chuychenko, also announced that Russia has established 58 federal penitentiaries across the temporarily occupied territories in Ukraine.
It is likely the establishment of the master's programme is partly aimed at overcoming the shortage of willing and skilled personnel in Russian government roles in the temporarily occupied territories of Ukraine. It can be linked to Russian President Vladimir Putin's plans to create a new administrative elite as indicated in his state of the nation address last month and the issuing of a presidential decree in January 2024 on the establishment of a new personnel reserve.
This is further evidence of Russification measures to align the legal and political frameworks of the temporarily occupied territories of Ukraine to the Russian Federation. Other similar measures to date include extending the Russian justice system, imposing a Russian education curriculum, issuing Russian passports, and building Russian telecommunications infrastructure.
INTELLIGENCE UPDATE
UPDATE ON UKRAINE 28 March 2024
Governance initiatives instigated by the Russian authorities in the temporarily occupied territories of Ukraine continue. The Russian Academy of National Economy and Public Administration is launching a master's degree in 'State and municipal management' which, according to a representative of the university, will provide graduates with skills to work at all levels of government, including in the Donetsk and Luhansk People's Republics, as well as in the Kherson and Zaporizhzhia regions. The Russian Justice Minister, Konstantin Chuychenko, also announced that Russia has established 58 federal penitentiaries across the temporarily occupied territories in Ukraine.
It is likely the establishment of the master's programme is partly aimed at overcoming the shortage of willing and skilled personnel in Russian government roles in the temporarily occupied territories of Ukraine. It can be linked to Russian President Vladimir Putin's plans to create a new administrative elite as indicated in his state of the nation address last month and the issuing of a presidential decree in January 2024 on the establishment of a new personnel reserve.
This is further evidence of Russification measures to align the legal and political frameworks of the temporarily occupied territories of Ukraine to the Russian Federation. Other similar measures to date include extending the Russian justice system, imposing a Russian education curriculum, issuing Russian passports, and building Russian telecommunications infrastructure.
Posted on 3/28/24 at 7:57 am to cypher
I haven’t been in this thread for a couple of weeks. I know the spring campaigning season is approaching. Any word on offensive plans for either side?
Posted on 3/28/24 at 8:11 am to Darth_Vader
quote:.
Any word on offensive plans for either side?
Russia is saying they are finally taking the gloves off and Ukraine is saying they are going to be on the defensive so nothing new really
Posted on 3/28/24 at 8:22 am to StormyMcMan
quote:
Russia is saying they are finally taking the gloves off and Ukraine is saying they are going to be on the defensive so nothing new really
Kinda what I figured. If what I’ve been reading about Ukrainian logistics (especially artillery) and recruitment issues is true, I have a feeling 2024 may be the pivotal year in this war.
Posted on 3/28/24 at 8:53 am to cypher
quote:
Background: About 70% of russia's freight locomotives are electric, the rest being diesel. If Ukraine can strike these substations with drones it is likely that it would disrupt logistics and increase demand for diesel.
Ukrainian should by all means target as much of the Russian electrical grid and rail infrastructure as possible, but they should not stop targeting Russia’s oil infrastructure. Russia military would quickly commandeer all of Russia’s diesel locomotives and move to the area. Therefore Ukraine needs to significantly reduce Russia’s ability to produce diesel.
Posted on 3/28/24 at 8:54 am to Darth_Vader
Partisans: Russia constructing barriers to prevent further strikes on Black Sea fleet
by Chris York and The Kyiv Independent news desk March 27, 2024 1:00 PM
Russian forces in occupied Crimea are constructing barriers at the entrance to Sevastopol Bay to prevent further Ukrainian strikes on the Black Sea fleet, the partisan group Atesh reported on March 27.
In recent months, Ukraine has intensified its attacks on Black Sea fleet targets in occupied Crimea, successfully targeting several ships and forcing Russian forces to redeploy to safer waters.
While the most recent strikes used missiles to hit three ships and a military communication center, the measures reported by Atesh appear to be an attempt to prevent Ukrainian sea drone attacks.
“After the strikes of the Ukrainian Defense Forces with cruise missiles and naval drones on the Battleships ‘Yamal’ and ‘Azov,’ the command of the Russian Black Sea fleet blocks the passage of boats and puts up new barriers at the sea entrance to the bay,” the group said in a post on Telegram.
Ukraine struck two Russian Ropucha-class landing ships, "Yamal" and "Azov," in occupied Crimea in the late hours of March 23, Ukraine's Armed Forces confirmed on March 24.
On March 26, it reported the landing ship Konstantin Olshansky had been hit by a Neptune missile during the same attack.
Ukraine’s domestically-produced Magura V5 naval drones have scored several successes, most recently destroying a Black Sea fleet patrol ship, the Sergey Kotov.
The Strategic Communications Center of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (StratCom) recently reported that as of early February 2024, 33% of the fleet’s warships had been disabled, including 24 ships and one submarine.
Russia has taken a number of steps to address the continuing threat, including replacing the commander of the Russian Navy earlier this month.
by Chris York and The Kyiv Independent news desk March 27, 2024 1:00 PM
Russian forces in occupied Crimea are constructing barriers at the entrance to Sevastopol Bay to prevent further Ukrainian strikes on the Black Sea fleet, the partisan group Atesh reported on March 27.
In recent months, Ukraine has intensified its attacks on Black Sea fleet targets in occupied Crimea, successfully targeting several ships and forcing Russian forces to redeploy to safer waters.
While the most recent strikes used missiles to hit three ships and a military communication center, the measures reported by Atesh appear to be an attempt to prevent Ukrainian sea drone attacks.
“After the strikes of the Ukrainian Defense Forces with cruise missiles and naval drones on the Battleships ‘Yamal’ and ‘Azov,’ the command of the Russian Black Sea fleet blocks the passage of boats and puts up new barriers at the sea entrance to the bay,” the group said in a post on Telegram.
Ukraine struck two Russian Ropucha-class landing ships, "Yamal" and "Azov," in occupied Crimea in the late hours of March 23, Ukraine's Armed Forces confirmed on March 24.
On March 26, it reported the landing ship Konstantin Olshansky had been hit by a Neptune missile during the same attack.
Ukraine’s domestically-produced Magura V5 naval drones have scored several successes, most recently destroying a Black Sea fleet patrol ship, the Sergey Kotov.
The Strategic Communications Center of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (StratCom) recently reported that as of early February 2024, 33% of the fleet’s warships had been disabled, including 24 ships and one submarine.
Russia has taken a number of steps to address the continuing threat, including replacing the commander of the Russian Navy earlier this month.
Posted on 3/28/24 at 9:46 am to Darth_Vader
quote:
I haven’t been in this thread for a couple of weeks. I know the spring campaigning season is approaching. Any word on offensive plans for either side?
Internet rumors are Russia is planning on mobilizing 300,000-500,000 additional troops. They are saying that the gloves are coming off. Ukraine has been showing a lot of videos of fortifications in the Kharkiv oblast.
Posted on 3/28/24 at 9:52 am to WeeWee
Add a zero to those two numbers and they may be in business. I don't think that those figures will get it done
Posted on 3/28/24 at 9:52 am to Darth_Vader
quote:
Kinda what I figured. If what I’ve been reading about Ukrainian logistics (especially artillery) and recruitment issues is true, I have a feeling 2024 may be the pivotal year in this war.
Russia has to go all in while they have the advantage. Western and Ukrainian shell production will be significantly higher than what it is now. Ukraine’s air force will start receiving F16s in June and by this time next year it will be double the size it is now. Also if Russia sustains casualties and equipment losses in an offensive this year at the same rate they sustained in the Bakhmut and Avdiivka campaigns then it will be in trouble.
Posted on 3/28/24 at 10:23 am to WeeWee
I agree. This is Russia's best chance to make meaningful gains.
Once Ukraine gets those 155mm shells, they'll have a superior artillery platform and near parity in shell usage. That will make it very, very difficult for Russia to move forward in the future.
Once Ukraine gets those 155mm shells, they'll have a superior artillery platform and near parity in shell usage. That will make it very, very difficult for Russia to move forward in the future.
Posted on 3/28/24 at 10:30 am to cypher
You are absolutely correct I forgot my conversion to gallons. It's still an absolutely inconsequential amount of fuel.
Posted on 3/28/24 at 10:58 am to Turbeauxdog
quote:
You are absolutely correct I forgot my conversion to gallons. It's still an absolutely inconsequential amount of fuel.
Of course, it is inconsequential and basically a rounding error.
One day of production from a small isomerization unit. It also signifies that they had issues before any of the refineries were hit.
Posted on 3/28/24 at 11:04 am to WeeWee
Germany sending a new aid package headlined by 20 more Marder 1A3 IFVs and PAC-2 missiles for Patriot. Also included:
20 Marder 1A3 IFVs
PAC-2 missiles for Patriot
2 bridge laying tanks
180 RF-360 drone detection systems
1 BREM Bergepanzer 2 armored recovery vehicle
9 mine plows
9 Bronco ATTC command vehicles
5 Bronco ATTC ARVs
30 RQ-5 Heidrun UAVs
14 Vector UAVs
5 anti-drone jammers
6 Zetros fuel tankers
1 Pioneerpanzer 2A1 Dachs AEV
1 WISENT 1 MC armored engineer vehicle
2,056 MATADOR ATGM
70 GMG auto grenade launchers
Leopard 2 ammunition
4,000 155 mm artillery shells
24,000 40 mm grenade launcher ammunition
330 IR cameras
3,000 camouflage nets
2,000 camouflage rain ponchos
3 border protection vehicles
2 large emergency generators
1 SATCOM surveillance system
…….and a partridge and a pear tree.
20 Marder 1A3 IFVs
PAC-2 missiles for Patriot
2 bridge laying tanks
180 RF-360 drone detection systems
1 BREM Bergepanzer 2 armored recovery vehicle
9 mine plows
9 Bronco ATTC command vehicles
5 Bronco ATTC ARVs
30 RQ-5 Heidrun UAVs
14 Vector UAVs
5 anti-drone jammers
6 Zetros fuel tankers
1 Pioneerpanzer 2A1 Dachs AEV
1 WISENT 1 MC armored engineer vehicle
2,056 MATADOR ATGM
70 GMG auto grenade launchers
Leopard 2 ammunition
4,000 155 mm artillery shells
24,000 40 mm grenade launcher ammunition
330 IR cameras
3,000 camouflage nets
2,000 camouflage rain ponchos
3 border protection vehicles
2 large emergency generators
1 SATCOM surveillance system
…….and a partridge and a pear tree.
This post was edited on 3/28/24 at 11:06 am
Posted on 3/28/24 at 11:21 am to WeeWee
You got it correct big time about their need for mortar rounds, particularly heavy 120 mm mortars. Most Ukrainian combat units use the smaller but lighter 81 mm mortar but they need more heavy mortar tubes and rounds because they are accurate and can do some serious damage to an attacking enemy advancing into fortified positions covered by minefields. We still use the 60 mm mortar a lot in our military as a platoon size weapon but I haven’t seen many of those in Ukraine.
Posted on 3/28/24 at 11:28 am to LSUPilot07
Corpus Christi port/docks was filling up with military equipment yesterday for shipment.
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