re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Thanks Obtuse1

I always thought those Tom Clancy novels were a little over the top, but..

I’ve been following Twitter. 90% of the destroyed vehicles I’ve seen haven’t had a S clearly visible. I’m not saying I don’t believe that Russia is taking lots of casualties, just that we should step back actually analyze what’s going on. It’s clear that there’s a massive propaganda campaign by Ukraine and the west underway to make it look like Ukraine is wiping the floor with Russia. And I don’t even oppose such a propaganda campaign as it’s an important part of the war effort. But intelligent people should question and analyze what they see and hear to get the real picture.

All this allegory is interesting…until you get punched in the mouth.

At this point I’d kinda be surprised if their market opens.

Russia is also considering nationalizing foreign assets within their county. If done, no foreign company will invest in Russia for the foreseeable future

Generally, when you see certain people post pics or video of destroyed or deserted equipment it has come from an area of known fighting where Russians were known to be. When you see pics or video posted or retweeted by someone like Rob Lee and he says it is Russian, you can pretty much take that to the bank. He has been tracking troop and equipment movements for months on end now and is probably one of the most knowledgeable experts in the world outside of that area. He knows his shite, and he hasn't been one for narrative and spin.

It does seem like Russia made significant advances on their southern front today. I think Mariupol will fall tomorrow.

Hopefully Ukrainian generals are considering sending some of their kyiv and Kharkiv forces to the southern defensive lines to prevent a collapse there.

Here's Rob Lee's couple posts about what the Ukranians could have used to take out the columns. There's also the video at the link.

@RALee85

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This looks like a legitimate video of a Ukrainian TB2 UCAV strike on a Russian military column.
LINK LINK

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Russia has had plenty of direct or indirect experience with TB2 in Idlib, Libya, Karabakh in 2020. It was an obvious threat since Ukraine bought them, and should have been one of the top Ukrainian capabilities to destroy at the beginning of the conflict. A surprising failure.

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There has been a massive PR campaign about TB2 and whether or not Russian air defense systems could handle them. Russia had every incentive to prove that wrong here. Too soon to tell how significant they'll be in this war, but they appear to be having an effect so far. 2/

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And more video:

@RALee85

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Another video of a Ukrainian TB2 UCAV strike, presumably with a MAM munition, on a Russian Buk system. Looks like the strike is on a Buk-M2 9A316 TEL/transloader with a 9A317 TELAR next to it. Notably, Syrian Buk-M2E had success against TB2 in Idlib.
LINK LINK

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