re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict

My wife grew up going to Saints games with her dad in the old Sugar Bowl, because her mom didn't want to go. He had 50 yard line season tickets. She has met Archie and Olivia at Uptown cocktail parties a number of times.

She cheers for Tom Brady.

As for this fiasco, she has always been anti-Putin. She is still pro-Trump. She disagrees with some of Trump's stances and statements. She is not a single issue voter.

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Apparently Putin's response to his armies being collapsing on the battlefield is to throw a temper tantrum and launch a lot of missiles at civilians.

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That's basically been their entire playbook since the beginning. No actual strategy. Just the mistaken assumption that Ukrainians would rollover in the face of depraved attacks against civilians, especially medical facilities and children.

Wee Wee,

It's a bit crazy to think that if Ukraine can take Kherson and the southern territory between Kherson and Crimea over to Melitopol, then the only gains Russia has made in this entire war will be limited to the two purple boxes. There is no way that it is worth what it cost Russia.

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Wee Wee,

It's a bit crazy to think that if Ukraine can take Kherson and the southern territory between Kherson and Crimea over to Melitopol, then the only gains Russia has made in this entire war will be limited to the two purple boxes

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Nothing is crazy when one side has at most 150,000 effectives and half or more of those are forced conscripts who really don't want to be there. While the other side has a million or more troops pissed off because they have been invaded, bombed, and had war crimes committed against them.

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There is no way that it is worth what it cost Russia.

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It was not worth the cost since the Ukrainian offensive will likely be rolling into the purple boxes within the next 24 - 48 hours.

When you have the advantage, it's never good to ease off and let your enemy regroup, so an uninterrupted offensive to the east would absolutely be the correct move; however, what we don't know is can the Ukrainians sustain their attack without having to pause? I guess we'll see soon.

A situational assessment from @konrad_muzyka

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Kharkiv Oblast is either fully liberated or will soon be liberated. I think that just as Russians could not recover from losses suffered north or Kyiv, which ultimately proved determinantal to their failures elsewhere in the second stage of this war, 1/

I think the loss of equipment in Kharkiv may decimate Russian offensive combat potential. Or in other words, combined with the UAF initiative, with what they currently have, the Russian ability to wage any type of offensive is probably non-existent over the medium term (+6m). 2/

It is now important to look beyond Kharkiv. UAF has the momentum to carry forward. The obvious choice is to move into the Luhansk Oblast. It's important to note that Moscow recognised LPR and DPR within their administrative borders. UAF could very soon enter this territory. 3/

But, Moscow's response will be key. If there is none or it is muted, UAF, assuming it is attacking from the north, could reach the Lysychansk-Luhansk line very quickly. 4/

LPR, apart from frontline areas, is probably empty of manpower. Mass round-ups that occurred over the past few months mean that there are no men to fight in Luhansk. Defences aren't echeloned either. A rout in LPR could be as fast as in Kharkiv. end

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Russia's entire force is paper thin and just waiting on a Ukrainian push to crumble.

An appropriate response would be to respond in kind to Crimea and Belgorod.

So you were always a loser?

In 2002, I was assessing chem weapon agent manufacturing for Saddam in the SF Bay Area for resale of equipment after it was discovered. I was there to liquidate cell phone screen manufacturing for a Dow Chemical subsidiary.

Meanwhile you were running from a falling sky and crying for mommy and daddy to save you