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re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Posted on 7/22/22 at 5:36 pm to
Posted by OMLandshark
Member since Apr 2009
120445 posts
Posted on 7/22/22 at 5:36 pm to
(no message)
This post was edited on 6/14/26 at 9:30 am
Posted by cypher
Member since Sep 2014
5759 posts
Posted on 7/22/22 at 5:47 pm to
Israel Launches Missile Strike On Drone Production In Iran - Media


Israel launched a missile attack on a drone company in Iran, and also destroyed a warehouse with finished products. It is reported by SOHR on Friday, July 22.

The publication also confirms the attack of Israeli missiles on positions near a security checkpoint in the perimeter of Al-Mazzah airbase, Al-Mazzah highway and an Iranian warehouse in the vicinity of Sayeda Zeinab area, destroying it completely. The media suggest that these drones were intended for transfer to the Russian Federation after the visit of the President of the Russian Federation to Iran.

As Ukrainian News Agency earlier reported, according to media reports, on July 19, Putin visited Iran to negotiate the supply of Iranian drones.

Ukrainian News Agency
Posted by Chromdome35
Fast lane, behind a slow driver
Member since Nov 2010
8190 posts
Posted on 7/22/22 at 5:50 pm to
https://twitter.com/nickschifrin/status/1550475245227687937
quote:

NEW from Senior U.S. Defense Official on the war in #Ukraine:

Russia has committed nearly 85% of its military to the war in Ukraine… It has removed military coverage from other areas on their border and around the world.

Russia is presently launching tens of thousands artillery rounds per day. “They can’t keep it up forever,” the official said. “They have expended a lot of their smarter munitions... Their capabilities are getting dumber.”

Official adds fight for Donetsk will “likely last through the summer,” with Russia achieving slow gains at high cost.

Official says Russia is “using rolling barrages,” but Russia still has not figured out how to use combined arms effectively.

Official says with the help of HIMARS, Ukraine has taken out more than a hundred “high-value” targets, attacking Russian command posts, ammunition depots, air-defense sites, radar and communications nodes, and long-range artillery positions.

Russia is taking hundreds of casualties a day. Among Russia’s military fatalities have been “thousands” of lieutenants and captains, “hundreds” of colonels, and “many” generals. “The chain of command is still struggling," the official said.



Posted by Chromdome35
Fast lane, behind a slow driver
Member since Nov 2010
8190 posts
Posted on 7/22/22 at 5:53 pm to
Posted by Chromdome35
Fast lane, behind a slow driver
Member since Nov 2010
8190 posts
Posted on 7/22/22 at 5:56 pm to
Russia supplying Azov with tanks

https://twitter.com/UAWeapons/status/1550216378820562945

quote:

#Ukraine: Azov SSO (SOF) recently formed a new tank unit near Kharkiv, including captured tanks- most notably a quite rare T-90A.

Only eight of these are known to have been recovered by Ukrainian forces, and are among the most modern tanks used by Russian forces.
Posted by aTmTexas Dillo
East Texas Lake
Member since Sep 2018
24292 posts
Posted on 7/22/22 at 5:56 pm to
quote:

CitizenK

With all you know about pipelines and refineries and crude oil supply and grades and purchasing, I'm trying to figure out what your specialty is. You even dabble in the upstream side of the petroleum business.
Posted by aTmTexas Dillo
East Texas Lake
Member since Sep 2018
24292 posts
Posted on 7/22/22 at 5:58 pm to
quote:

New England might freeze this winter without Russian LNG imports.


Maybe New York will come around with the Marcellus.
Posted by Chromdome35
Fast lane, behind a slow driver
Member since Nov 2010
8190 posts
Posted on 7/22/22 at 5:58 pm to
I saw several reports today about the Ukrainians taking out a Russian artillery unit. Here is video of that.

https://twitter.com/Blue_Sauron/status/1550410700366962688
quote:

A very juicy Russian target (eight 152mm 2A65 Msta-B howitzers, an ammunition depot in addition to other equipment) were largely destroyed/damaged by Ukrainian artillery units.

Posted by Chromdome35
Fast lane, behind a slow driver
Member since Nov 2010
8190 posts
Posted on 7/22/22 at 6:01 pm to
Report casting doubt on ATACMS for Ukraine
https://twitter.com/NatashaBertrand/status/1550561577853665280
quote:

National Security Adviser Jake Sullivan reiterates that POTUS has said the US will not provide Ukraine with long range missile systems that can strike as far as 300km away.

Posted by Chromdome35
Fast lane, behind a slow driver
Member since Nov 2010
8190 posts
Posted on 7/22/22 at 6:08 pm to
Updated Maps, best way to view all the detail is to download to your computer and open so you can zoom in.

https://twitter.com/JominiW/status/1550308087155810305

Overall Map
quote:

1/ Ukrainian TVD, Day 124-148. Late June to mid-July has seen a host of developments throughout the Ukrainian Theater of Military Action. The Armed Forces of the Russian Federation (VSRF) have managed to secure the Luhansk Oblast but struggle to produce results on other fronts.

2/ Since it has been over three weeks since my last thread, I will be breaking up my normal update over the course of several days. There is a lot of data to analysis and discuss, therefore today’s thread will be a short one on the major events of the past three weeks.

9/ UAF & VSRF units remain at a level of relative parity along an extended front. If the VSRF is unable to rapidly adapt to the targeting of its command posts, supply depots, and key GLOCs it is likely the UAF will be able to cause a breakdown in the cohesion of Russian defenses.




Kharkiv Region
quote:

4/ Kharkiv OD. The VSRF still lacks the capacity for anything more than small-scale action to recapture ground lost in May 2022 to the UAF counteroffensive in this OD. The Russians will most likely invest time and resources to harden defenses of critical infrastructure.



Donetsk Region
quote:

5/ Donetsk Oblast OD. The capture of Luhansk Oblast is the first real tangible success Russia has experienced since 24 Feb 2022. The OGRFR is in an ideal position to punch through the weakest part of UAF defenses in north Donetsk Oblast if it can isolate the close fight.

6/ UAF long range artillery strikes are the main obstacle to the VSRF. If the UAF can continue to strike deep and destroy Russian ammo and fuel depots they can replicate the success they experienced in grinding the Russian offensive before Kyiv to a halt.




Zaporizhzhia Region
quote:

7/ Zaporizhzhia OD. Although action here remains localized attacks to improved tactical positioning the introduction of new UAF units in the Vuhledar may signal the UAF intent for a larger counteroffensive that can threaten Russian logistical infrastructure in this region.



Kherson Region
quote:

8/ Odesa-Kherson OD. The Ukrainian counteroffensive into northern Kherson Oblast and Kherson city has been the most profitable for the UAF over the past 24 days. UAF units have been able to push within 10-12km of Kherson, well into the interior of Russian fortified defenses.



Posted by LSUPilot07
Member since Feb 2022
8684 posts
Posted on 7/22/22 at 6:15 pm to
Another hijacked thread thanks to OML. I wish he would just not post here at all because then you have to sift through 7 pages of bullshite anytime he posts.
Posted by WestCoastAg
Member since Oct 2012
150496 posts
Posted on 7/22/22 at 6:18 pm to
Those 3/4 weeks when he just didnt post were pretty awesome
Posted by OMLandshark
Member since Apr 2009
120445 posts
Posted on 7/22/22 at 6:18 pm to

This post was edited on 6/14/26 at 9:29 am
Posted by DabosDynasty
Member since Apr 2017
5180 posts
Posted on 7/22/22 at 6:19 pm to
quote:

The problem with this argument is they’re a major nuclear power that control much of the world’s wheat and oil supply, and you basically refuse to acknowledge the potential downside of prodding this bear with a stick.


As are we, and I have numerous times pointed out the dangers of Russian control over that much of the worlds O&G, food exports, and assuming we just quit and their history over half the worlds uranium when they set their sights on Kazakhstan. It’s exactly the reason we SHOULDN’T just let them take Ukraine.

quote:

Yeah, Europe is already pretty fricking unstable:


So the exact wrong time to leave Putin unchecked? Got it.
Posted by OMLandshark
Member since Apr 2009
120445 posts
Posted on 7/22/22 at 6:20 pm to
(no message)
This post was edited on 6/14/26 at 9:28 am
Posted by WestCoastAg
Member since Oct 2012
150496 posts
Posted on 7/22/22 at 6:22 pm to
When you plan on taking another break?
Posted by cypher
Member since Sep 2014
5759 posts
Posted on 7/22/22 at 6:32 pm to
More than 1,000 Russian troops encircled by Ukrainian Forces in Kherson region
Friday, July 22, 2022 6:00:51 PM

During the counteroffensive in the Kherson region, the Ukrainian Armed Forces encircled three battalion tactical groups of the Russian Army, including a special forces (VDV) company and a tank company. Up to 2,000 Russian troops are in the operational encirclement near the village of Vysokopillya. They requested a "green corridor" from the Ukrainian military, reported The Insider, citing sources in the Ukrainian army.

Ukrainian Forces carried out an offensive in the directions of Olhyne - Kostyrka and Potomkyne - Novovoznesenske. Active hostilities are currently taking place along the Arkhanhelske - Zolota Balka axis in the north of the Kherson region.

Russian troops are also facing encirclement near the village of Arkhanhelske, where the Ukrainian military successfully crossed the Ingulets River threatening Russian positions on the left bank. According to the Ukrainian military, Russians threw in two battalion tactical groups to stop the advance of the Ukrainian Forces near Novovoznesenske – Zolota Balka.

Due to damage to the Antonovsky Bridge in Kherson and the dam at the hydroelectric power plant in Nova Kakhovka, Russian troops are not able to quickly move reserves to the right bank of the Dnieper River.

The head of the Ukrainian Presidential Office, Oleksiy Arestovich confirmed this information speaking on the air of Feygin LIVE.

UAWIRE

The Insider - has map of encirclement

Waiting for UAF General Staff confirmation....
This post was edited on 7/22/22 at 6:52 pm
Posted by CitizenK
BR
Member since Aug 2019
16197 posts
Posted on 7/22/22 at 6:47 pm to
I buy and sell process equipment and process units. I have been involved with sales of entire refineries for relocation. Most end up unsuccessful due after assessment from buyer, things change. Often its geopolitics like a few sales I had to Libya, The first was a small refinery from OK which went bankrupt after being to only obtain local ligh crude oil which caused it to lose capacity with the same cost to refine. Another was relocation of 3 refineries to make a 300,000 BPD refinery using a US contractor which had an Egpytian based subsidiary.

I pay lots of attention to what is actually happening in processing markets, for refining, chemicals and plastics. Including renewables, which for the most part have been an utter failure despite what press releases have said. That includes involvement with Russian companies and developed technology which didn't work mostly due Russian engineering.

As far as new technology, that has long been a hit and a miss even in the private sector when no government dollars are involved. 1 out of 10 working at commercial level is a good batting average. Things that work at the lab, pilot plant and market development plant level often don't work at all in commercial size. Take a chemical company's new process for a plastic discovered in the 1950's but was too catalyst hungry to be cost effective. Impervious to hydrocarbons, able to be used as two gears working together (presently two different plastics have to used against each other) the process actually worked perfect to spec but the plastic had some flaws never observed in the lab, like pellets blowing up. $890 million with R&D, process development and first commercial unit was down the drain.

Or there was Dow Chemical subsidiary in Silicon Valley to make screens and SIMM chips for cell phones because obtaining market share of the ingredients was the big money maker. They missed the market by a month thus lost market share and had to liquidate it. The business line manager for Dow was not really concerned, the $50 million lost was worth the huge gains if successful. This is also the time spent in the area where I was called in to look at basically pilot plant equipment for herbicides and pesticides with the pilot plant having been prepped to make chem weapons agents by an Iraqi born R&D chemist whose family was being held hostage. 9/11 made him come forward and confess. So the idiots who say Saddam didn't have WMD are just that idiots.
Posted by StormyMcMan
USA
Member since Oct 2016
4693 posts
Posted on 7/22/22 at 6:55 pm to
ISW update

quote:

The United States announced a new $270 million security package for Ukraine, and Ukrainian officials detailed their procedures for keeping track of Western weapons on July 22.


quote:

Key Takeaways

The United States announced an additional $270 million security package for Ukraine.

Ukrainian officials reiterated that they are employing monitoring mechanisms to track and account for the delivery of Western weapons to Ukrainian frontlines.

Russian forces conducted ground attacks east of Siversk and to the east and south of Bakhmut.

Russian forces unsuccessfully attempted to advance northwest of Donetsk City.

Ukrainian forces conducted limited positional battles north of Kharkiv City.

Russian forces conducted localized ground attacks near the Kherson-Mykolaiv Oblast border.

Head of the Chechen Republic Ramzan Kadyrov announced that the newly-formed Chechen “West-Akhmat” battalion will not be immediately deployed into Ukraine and will stay in Chechnya.

Head of the Donetsk People’s Republic (DNR) Denis Pushilin signed a cooperation agreement with the occupation head of Kharkiv Oblast, indicating that the Kremlin intends to integrate Kharkiv Oblast into the Russian Federation.
Posted by CitizenK
BR
Member since Aug 2019
16197 posts
Posted on 7/22/22 at 6:56 pm to
NY has why no pipelines from Marcellus and Utica to New England. New England has a pipeline network which was based on field offshore Canada. That field is depleted and the last well plugged and abandoned a few years ago. The enjoyed inexpensive natural gas for over 20 years before the serious decline began
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