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re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict
Posted on 7/7/22 at 3:19 am to OMLandshark
Posted on 7/7/22 at 3:19 am to OMLandshark
quote:
Just continue to celebrate it as we bleed the strategic reserve dry, pay record high gas prices, and experience major food shortages
We are selling down 1/3 of the SPR. That's not bleeding it dry. Also, we built a SPR when we were huge importers of crude oil. Now we're the second largest producer in the world. We don't actually need a SPR.
High gasoline prices do hurt small businesses and the working class. Definitely a short term negative effect of this war. But we didn't start it. This was Putin's idea. Not ours.
We are not experiencing major food shortages. We produce an enormous surplus of food, which we export. No one in the US is lacking food because of this war.
Also, to your point about currency: if we are spending too much money that we don't have, then why is the USD$ soaring to record highs? I thought printing money was going to destroy our currency?
1
Posted on 7/7/22 at 3:20 am to cypher
Thanks for the link cypher.
From ISW:
Existing artillery ammunition storage destroyed, lack of rail depots which are out of HIMARS range (100-150km), human (or actually, Russian) logistics officers rather that AI - controlled logistics for the Ukrainians, and finally, a growing shortage of quality trucks to navigate through this entire mess.
So... this 'operational pause' will continue under different names for the Russians for this entire conflict.
From ISW:
quote:
There were no claimed or assessed Russian territorial gains in Ukraine on July 6 for the first time in 133 days of war, supporting ISW’s assessment that Russian forces have largely initiated an operational pause.
Existing artillery ammunition storage destroyed, lack of rail depots which are out of HIMARS range (100-150km), human (or actually, Russian) logistics officers rather that AI - controlled logistics for the Ukrainians, and finally, a growing shortage of quality trucks to navigate through this entire mess.
So... this 'operational pause' will continue under different names for the Russians for this entire conflict.
Posted on 7/7/22 at 5:13 am to OMLandshark
For some reason the quote feature won’t let me quote you and SirWhinesalot but throughout this entire thread, I’ve gotten the impression some are intellectually honest and open to persuasion with facts, different voices-arguments they have never heard et al. Then there is Winston with his fake “mates” “chaps” nonsense, an almost cliché adoption or affectation of the verbal mannerisms of a person from England. It’s cloying and he seems to have dropped it entirely in this thread. I wonder if I made inquiries as to where his IP address was if it wouldn’t come back to a former Soviet Republic? In any case where he refers to the people in the thread as garbage posters seemingly oblivious to his own posting history I further wonder if this is an actual human being capable of self reflection or yet another “influencer” positing fake talking points. As for you OM I’m not accusing you of anything. All I’ll say is the west has its reasons and Putin has shown damn little in the way of reasoning from the beginning of this war to this moment. It’s going to be perceived as a colossal joke by historians.
This post was edited on 7/7/22 at 5:28 am
Posted on 7/7/22 at 6:34 am to OMLandshark
quote:
They’re our enemy.
The ChiComs and the Russians are the enemies of the western world.
Posted on 7/7/22 at 6:49 am to RLDSC FAN
British Defence Intelligence
UPDATE ON UKRAINE 7 July 2022
INTELLIGENCE UPDATE
On 06 July 2022, heavy shelling continued along the Donetsk front line, but with few advances being made by Russia, Russian units involved in last week's gains are now likely re-constituting.
On 05 July 2022, a law proposed by the Russian government on 'special economic measures passed its first reading in the Duma. The legislation is likely to be adopted and will give the authorities special powers over labour relations; the reactivation of mobilisation facilities, and to release assets from state reserves.
The legislation is likely an attempt by the Kremlin to put in place economic measures to support the 'special military operation' without a formal declaration of state mobilisation, which remains politically sensitive. It also allows Russia to avoid acknowledging it is engaged in a war or its failure to overcome Ukraine's military that was outnumbered and outgunned.
UPDATE ON UKRAINE 7 July 2022
INTELLIGENCE UPDATE
On 06 July 2022, heavy shelling continued along the Donetsk front line, but with few advances being made by Russia, Russian units involved in last week's gains are now likely re-constituting.
On 05 July 2022, a law proposed by the Russian government on 'special economic measures passed its first reading in the Duma. The legislation is likely to be adopted and will give the authorities special powers over labour relations; the reactivation of mobilisation facilities, and to release assets from state reserves.
The legislation is likely an attempt by the Kremlin to put in place economic measures to support the 'special military operation' without a formal declaration of state mobilisation, which remains politically sensitive. It also allows Russia to avoid acknowledging it is engaged in a war or its failure to overcome Ukraine's military that was outnumbered and outgunned.
Posted on 7/7/22 at 7:02 am to OMLandshark
Showing your acumen from your "International Business" degree again? Let's hear your Mandarin that you learned from Wang Chung and Wu Tan Clan. Was it from subtitles to karate movies from Hong Kong?
This post was edited on 7/7/22 at 7:05 am
Posted on 7/7/22 at 7:13 am to No Colors
The best function of the SPR is when production in the Gulf of Mexico is disrupted by hurricane. It is also used by private companies as leased storage. Maybe we should privatize of the 4 locations and just monetize all payments in kind from Fed waters offshore
Posted on 7/7/22 at 7:47 am to cypher
Cypher, Ukraine is losing. They lose territory everyday. British intelligence is an oxymoron. These reports are a comic book. I should have started an NGO a few years ago.
Posted on 7/7/22 at 7:48 am to OMLandshark
I'm not going to get into the weeds with y'all on this, but I do have to point this part out.
So we are not going to argue reality and just argue what OML thinks is true?
quote:
But there’s no difference between “so far” and “what they’re going to get total” in my mind.
So we are not going to argue reality and just argue what OML thinks is true?
Posted on 7/7/22 at 7:58 am to OMLandshark
quote:
But there’s no difference between “so far” and “what they’re going to get total” in my mind. Seriously, what’s the difference three years from now when they will have all that shite and additionally we’ve lost Ukraine?
I mean.. your exact words were “we spent more in 4 months than we did in the first two years in Afghanistan.” The entire point of my post was that you exaggerate fricking everything.
quote:
My math on total what we have/have guaranteed to expend for the Ukrainian effort is correct.
Except that it’s not, because you (and apparently many others) seem to think that the periodic military aid announcements are new funding.
quote:
So just give it to the Chinese then. Why not? Have you lost your fricking mind defending emptying our strategic oil preserves and giving it to the Chinese who are having no problem getting cheap oil from Russia? I’m sorry, it’s outright treason as far as I’m concerned. Biden doesn’t own that oil; you and I own that oil, and he’s handing it off to the enemy to make a cheap buck.
The US government issues a request for bids. They sell the oil to a buyer in America. That buyer takes delivery of the oil. After that, the US government does not control where the oil is shipped, stored, or refined.
quote:
Plus we’re in a gas crisis domestically right now. Comparing this now to 2018, are you fricking kidding me? 2018 when we were energy independent and not financing a war against the world’s largest nuclear arsenal is not remotely comparable to our situation in 2022.
I’m not “comparing” to 2018. I’m telling you that the 2018 budget passed by the legislature mandated sales from the SPR over a multi-year period from 2022 through 2025.
The Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017 also mandated SPR releases in 2026 and 2027. Congress does this quite often to fund various initiatives.
Posted on 7/7/22 at 7:59 am to Coeur du Tigre
quote:
Existing artillery ammunition storage destroyed, lack of rail depots which are out of HIMARS range (100-150km), human (or actually, Russian) logistics officers rather that AI - controlled logistics for the Ukrainians, and finally, a growing shortage of quality trucks to navigate through this entire mess.
So... this 'operational pause' will continue under different names for the Russians for this entire conflict.
I want to find it again, but doubt I will. I came across a tweet that did a deep dive on Russian logistics. Apparently one of the things that Western intelligence got way wrong about this aspect was the assumption that Russians would palletize and use all terrain forklifts.
The tweet thread went into detail about how the Russians are hand loading trucks and not palletizing anything, increasing loading time almost 3x, which adds tremendously to transport times in the war zone areas. If I find it again I'll make it a point to post as it was a good read.
Posted on 7/7/22 at 8:01 am to alpinetiger
Why didn't Germany take all of Russia up to the Urals? They were winning gobbling up ground in Russia like crazy. They even held the balance in KIA with Russia sustaining 6:1 more unlike in Ukraine. Russian citizens were welcoming Germans with bouquets of flowers unlike in Ukraine.
Then again, Russia was supplied with uniforms, boots, ammo, tanks, all of its trucks and jeeps even factories, food, refineries and even fuel by the USA, during those days of WWII, even early WWII
Then again, Russia was supplied with uniforms, boots, ammo, tanks, all of its trucks and jeeps even factories, food, refineries and even fuel by the USA, during those days of WWII, even early WWII
Posted on 7/7/22 at 8:02 am to WeeWee
quote:
The ChiComs and the Russians are the enemies of the western world.
Yes they are and I am amazed at how people don’t fully understand this.
I’m amazed how some don’t understand that when America makes promises abroad we need to keep them or risk losing all our credibility and the trust of other countries.
But Americans aren’t the only ones; look at the countries in Europe who tied their economies to Russian energy. It’s dumb, really dumb.
Posted on 7/7/22 at 8:07 am to alpinetiger
Loud anti Russia Boris Johnson has went down after succumbing to the financial troubles enhanced by the pointless sanctions. Will Biden follow the steps of his cousin across the ocean?
Posted on 7/7/22 at 8:10 am to StormyMcMan
HIMARS hit a rail storage depot in Donetsk. They have hit 12 separate storage depots in the South almost to Mariupol, in the last few days. HIMARS hit Snake Island, the puts Sebastapol almost within range.
Posted on 7/7/22 at 8:11 am to Palmetto98
quote:
Loud anti Russia Boris Johnson has went down after succumbing to the financial troubles enhanced by the pointless sanctions.
Or I don't know, or was it scandal after scandal and the bulk of his cabinet resigning because of the scandals that literally had nothing to do with Ukraine
....tough choice on what made him resign but clearly the right choice is sanctions because Palmetto thinks soPosted on 7/7/22 at 8:13 am to Palmetto98
Many of the sanctions are actually working. Hydrocarbon sanctions are not as damaging now that China's economy is not rebounding as expected and oil demand is not as high as thought to be, even the near future.
But the press is clueless as always, be it right, left, middle, alt or whatever. The press does sway public and political opinion, like it or not
But the press is clueless as always, be it right, left, middle, alt or whatever. The press does sway public and political opinion, like it or not
Posted on 7/7/22 at 8:25 am to StormyMcMan
quote:
Or I don't know, or was it scandal after scandal and the bulk of his cabinet resigning because of the scandals that literally had nothing to do with Ukraine ....tough choice on what made him resign but clearly the right choice is sanctions because Palmetto thinks so
Pre-existing scandals vs an economy that plummeted after Russian sanctions and going hard on big bad Putin. Let’s resign after it’s clear as day that Ukraine will lose the war now.
Classic cope and denial.
Posted on 7/7/22 at 8:26 am to CitizenK
quote:
Why didn't Germany take all of Russia up to the Urals? They were winning gobbling up ground in Russia like crazy. They even held the balance in KIA with Russia sustaining 6:1 more unlike in Ukraine. Russian citizens were welcoming Germans with bouquets of flowers unlike in Ukraine.
Did you still believe in Santa clause well in to your teens?
Posted on 7/7/22 at 8:38 am to Palmetto98
quote:
Loud anti Russia Boris Johnson has went down after succumbing to the financial troubles enhanced by the pointless sanctions. Will Biden follow the steps of his cousin across the ocean?
Quite sure this has absolutely nothing to do with it.
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