re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict

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I’m pretty skeptical Ukraine can really retake most land to the February 24 border

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Any updates on Kherson? Ukrainians claimed to have liberated 20 small village( Mykolaivka being one) in Kherson .

If Ukraine can seriously contest this city /region .......

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Any updates on Kherson?

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Ukrainian limited counterattacks in the southern Kherson-Mykolaiv sector appear to be gaining ground, and if the Kyiv advance keeps on rolling Russian military supply lines to Crimea could be endangered and Kherson liberated, military observers said on Thursday.

more details...

Kyiv Post

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You sound like my wife, claiming everyone is always attacking her.

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Thoughts and prayers, baw

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Vladimir Putin's health is a subject of intense conversation inside the Biden administration after the intelligence community produced its fourth comprehensive assessment at the end of May. The classified U.S. report says Putin seems to have re-emerged after undergoing treatment in April for advanced cancer, three U.S. intelligence leaders who have read the reports tell Newsweek.

The assessments also confirm that there was an assassination attempt on Putin's life in March, the officials say.

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LINK

:eyeballs:

Would like to see some more sourcing on this.

A map showing (In yellow) what will be in range of the HIMARS system.

https://twitter.com/ukraine_map/status/1532132685342285830

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Map of Area where HIMARS MLRS M30/M31 Rockets with a range of up to 70 km can strike inside Ukrainian Territory from the frontlines.

M30/M31 Rockets can also strike Snake Island which is 50 km from the closest Ukrainian town.

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We haven't heard much about Snake Island recently. This satellite picture shows current Russian deployments on the island.

Looks like they have really increased the amount of equipment deployed there.

https://twitter.com/OSINT88/status/1531704007093280768

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Snake Island (28/5/22) - Visible units Russian Navy have recently moved to the island. Also visible is the crane which left the next day and can be seen in Sevastopol.

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Someone asked for a Kherson update...this is from ISW yesterday.

https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-june-1

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The Ukrainian counteroffensive in Kherson Oblast has gotten the attention of Russian forces in the area, and the Russians are scrambling to secure the vital ground line of communication (GLOC) the Ukrainians have threatened. Ukrainian forces carried out a series of organized counterattacks targeting settlements on the eastern bank of the Ihulets River that are very close to a key highway supporting Russian forces further north. The Russians have responded by destroying the bridges the Ukrainians used in one of those counterattacks and other bridges across the river in an effort to hold their line against anticipated continued Ukrainian counter-offensive operations. Ukrainian forces are likely still close enough to the highway to disrupt its use as a main supply route, potentially undermining the Russians’ ability to hold against Ukrainian counter-offensives from the north.

Russian milbloggers are expressing growing alarm about the threat of Ukrainian counteroffensives in the areas Russian forces have deprioritized while concentrating on Severodonetsk. Russian milbloggers have increasingly focused on tracking the rate of Ukrainian counterattacks in late May.[1] Pro-Russian Telegram channel “Dmitriyev” (over 100,000 followers) reported that Ukrainian forces are fully capable of inflicting ”painful and cutting blows” on Russian GLOCs in Kherson, Kharkiv, and Zaporizhia Oblasts by July-August due to lack of adequate Russian defensive forces in the areas.[2] Former Russian Federal Security Service (FSB) officer and milblogger Igor Girkin claimed that Ukrainian forces “will grope for weakness” in Russian defenses in Kherson Oblast.[3] Russian milbloggers are effectively criticizing the Russian military command for endangering Russian territorial gains across other axes by prioritizing the Donbas offensive operation so heavily.

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Russian Navy have recently moved to the island.

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Probably going to get lit up around the 4th of July.

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This was reported by a number of pro Russian commentators yesterday.

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What are they trying to show?
What do the different colored lines mean?

The Russians occupied the two towns that are obscured by the arrow, Fedorovka and Shestakovo. That would trap any Ukrainian forces to the north east of their position.

It supports the idea that the retreat was a trap.


The white lines are supposed to show where the Ukrainians are. It’s not a very useful way of depicting it though. Displaying where units are deployed would be better.