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Italy: 4790 new cases, 601 new deaths.

Posted on 3/23/20 at 1:30 pm
Posted by HailHailtoMichigan!
Mission Viejo, CA
Member since Mar 2012
74728 posts
Posted on 3/23/20 at 1:30 pm
Awful news, but this is the 2nd day of a slowdown.

New cases down 27% in 2 days, lowest number of new cases since 3/17.

Posted by jdd48
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2012
24069 posts
Posted on 3/23/20 at 1:35 pm to
My parents know some folks in northern Italy that they befriended when my dad was in the Air Force and stationed there. They said they're fine right now but that shite is real bad there.
Posted by Pettifogger
I don't really care, Margaret
Member since Feb 2012
87748 posts
Posted on 3/23/20 at 1:35 pm to
winning streak
Posted by icegator337
Lafayette
Member since Jan 2013
3756 posts
Posted on 3/23/20 at 1:40 pm to
quote:

New cases down 27% in 2 days, lowest number of new cases since 3/17.

Hard to believe the quote above makes the quote below good news
quote:

Italy: 4790 new cases, 601 new deaths.
Posted by castorinho
13623 posts
Member since Nov 2010
88346 posts
Posted on 3/23/20 at 1:41 pm to
That's what we call a streak!
Posted by baldona
Florida
Member since Feb 2016
24485 posts
Posted on 3/23/20 at 1:42 pm to
I mean what the hell are you guys expecting? Its not going to just go away? Its going to peak and then hopefully slowly come down soon which should be any day. If the new cases go back up from today, that's not unexpected either.

Then in a few days or even a few weeks we could get some spikes in new cases again. Again normal.

Nothing is going to drastically change overnight.
Posted by Lakeboy7
New Orleans
Member since Jul 2011
28324 posts
Posted on 3/23/20 at 1:43 pm to
(no message)
This post was edited on 2/3/21 at 7:27 am
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
178358 posts
Posted on 3/23/20 at 1:44 pm to
If Italy is a model you see improvement 13 days into actions taken.
Posted by DrSteveBrule
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2009
12549 posts
Posted on 3/23/20 at 1:45 pm to
quote:

I mean what the hell are you guys expecting? Its not going to just go away? Its going to peak and then hopefully slowly come down soon which should be any day. If the new cases go back up from today, that's not unexpected either.


This is exactly what the news in this post is stating.
Posted by castorinho
13623 posts
Member since Nov 2010
88346 posts
Posted on 3/23/20 at 1:45 pm to
What are you blabbing out?
Not only were the numbers increasing, the rate of increase was also increasing so seeing this is discussion worthy and encouraging
Posted by fightin tigers
Downtown Prairieville
Member since Mar 2008
79876 posts
Posted on 3/23/20 at 1:45 pm to
quote:

If Italy is a model you see improvement 13 days into actions taken.


Italy just locked down over the weekend though.
Posted by SloaneRanger
Upper Hurstville
Member since Jan 2014
14341 posts
Posted on 3/23/20 at 1:45 pm to
quote:

I mean what the hell are you guys expecting?


Yep. The obsession with the raw number of confirmed cases has always baffled me. The more you test, the bigger the numbers will be. Expand the tests and you'll start catching the asymptomatic positives (of which there are a lot). The only numbers that really matter at this point are the number requiring hospital treatment and the number of deaths.
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
178358 posts
Posted on 3/23/20 at 1:50 pm to
quote:

Italy just locked down over the weekend though.


They took some pretty strong actions on 3/9 which probably caused this peak. 14 days ago. Covid can spread for 14 days. Peak hit 13 days after 3/9.
Posted by phunkatron
Member since Jun 2019
1444 posts
Posted on 3/23/20 at 1:51 pm to
Highly doubtful, tests are taking up to a week to result, so it wont even be possible to tell until days after peak.
This post was edited on 3/23/20 at 1:53 pm
Posted by baldona
Florida
Member since Feb 2016
24485 posts
Posted on 3/23/20 at 1:51 pm to
quote:

What are you blabbing out?
Not only were the numbers increasing, the rate of increase was also increasing so seeing this is discussion worthy and encouraging



I agree its encouraging, OP said "awful news". That's what I was commenting about. This is all going to need to run its course and take some time.

My worry is no one is expecting big numbers from the USA. We are going to get some big numbers most likely, so people just need to stay calm and expect that for a couple of days.
Posted by Antonio Moss
The South
Member since Mar 2006
49579 posts
Posted on 3/23/20 at 1:53 pm to
quote:

If Italy is a model you see improvement 13 days into actions taken.


Which makes sense given the incubation and spread statistics.

90-95% of infected will show symptoms in 7-8 days and will spread to 2.2 on average.
Posted by BowDownToLSU
Livingston louisiana
Member since Feb 2010
21870 posts
Posted on 3/23/20 at 1:58 pm to
Those poor people. Oh and frick China
Posted by el Gaucho
He/They
Member since Dec 2010
60182 posts
Posted on 3/23/20 at 1:59 pm to
Italy kept their population strong by not closing bars and gyms
Posted by The Torch
DFW The Dub
Member since Aug 2014
30513 posts
Posted on 3/23/20 at 1:59 pm to
They should surrender like they've always done
Posted by castorinho
13623 posts
Member since Nov 2010
88346 posts
Posted on 3/23/20 at 2:12 pm to
quote:

I agree its encouraging, OP said "awful news".
I think it's more of a "sucks these people died, but things are looking better."
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