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re: Is this the greatest fold in Texas Hold’em history?

Posted on 2/16/19 at 10:26 am to
Posted by TigerDonk
BR
Member since Dec 2011
1248 posts
Posted on 2/16/19 at 10:26 am to
quote:

It’s a flawed strategy because you are devising a plan from just one hand. Why not just accept that she make a good read for this particular situation for what is is because live reads is part of the game and her instinct kicked in this spot.


Have you talked with her about her strategy?

Strategies in poker are a roadmap built to provide you a sound decision making system. You can and should deviate at times.
People who are in the "GTO only" camp are easily exploited because GTO assumes two perfect players. Humans are not capable of playing GTO. It requires a processing power we simply do not have.

Also, current GTO solvers are solving for two players in specific cash game scenarios. We do not have the technology to solve poker tournament dynamics like ICM and field size and strength variables.

Current solvers are a great tool, but the closest we have come to GTO solving was an AI that crushed humans, but even it needed a lot of time to process large datasets away from the table.

The bottom line is seeing one hand from someone and making assumptions of their overall strategy is a bad idea.


Posted by TigerDonk
BR
Member since Dec 2011
1248 posts
Posted on 2/16/19 at 10:28 am to
quote:

5 laps is 45 hands - should be able to pin his hole card tendencies pretty damn close - almost exactly.

quote:

Buckeye Jeaux


This is not how datasets work.
Posted by Buckeye Jeaux
Member since May 2018
17756 posts
Posted on 2/16/19 at 10:46 am to
quote:

This is not how datasets work.
I've made a nice living from data sets. I know how they work.

And if you can't get a substantial understanding of what hole cards a player tends to hold or fold after 45 hands, you are welcome at any poker game I host. (Bring 10K+ and we'll send a limo)
This post was edited on 2/16/19 at 10:49 am
Posted by EarlyCuyler3
Appalachia
Member since Nov 2017
27290 posts
Posted on 2/16/19 at 11:08 am to
In the 2 polarized examples you gave, sure. (Although the one where V folds every hand us not as significant.) Most players aren't on the poles though.
Posted by TigerDonk
BR
Member since Dec 2011
1248 posts
Posted on 2/16/19 at 11:09 am to
quote:

Buckeye Jeaux


Haven't had a good old fashioned HU4Rolls challenge in a while.

I don't play home games.
If you want to play HU let me know what stakes you are comfortable with and what game.

We can find a venue.
Posted by WicKed WayZ
Louisiana Forever
Member since Sep 2011
33363 posts
Posted on 2/16/19 at 11:10 am to
He must have a tell she knows about. Because that’s insane
Posted by Buckeye Jeaux
Member since May 2018
17756 posts
Posted on 2/16/19 at 11:22 am to
quote:

In the 2 polarized examples you gave, sure. (Although the one where V folds every hand us not as significant.) Most players aren't on the poles though.
Good. We're getting somewhere. So if a player folds 16 of 18 times that should also tell you he is likely playing top-20 ranked hole cards or better. And if a player only folds 2 of 18 times, then he is playing rags.

Now could those numbers be outliers? Sure. Possible. But not real likely. And I'll buy those odds until I can see another 18 hands. OBVIOUSLY, the more hands the better. But no way in hell will I ignore the results of 18 straight hands as being indicative of a players hole cards tendencies.

And the bigger problem for most players is that they don't bother to count their opponents folds vs holds AT ALL. They either have a vague notion or no clue at all.
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
100006 posts
Posted on 2/16/19 at 11:38 am to
quote:

was done on a read then we need to actively keep Asians out of poker




Asians are tremendous poker and blackjack players.

Never, ever go to a blackjack table with an Asian dealer. You won’t win. Ever.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
464874 posts
Posted on 2/16/19 at 11:50 am to
quote:

Asians are tremendous poker and blackjack players.

Never, ever go to a blackjack table with an Asian dealer. You won’t win. Ever.


Posted by LSUGent
Member since Jun 2011
3069 posts
Posted on 2/16/19 at 11:50 am to
quote:

Never, ever go to a blackjack table with an Asian dealer. You won’t win. Ever.


Uhhh...it’s not like a dealer is allowed to split or hit on soft 17 (depending on the venue)... don’t know how the race of the dealer would change the outcomes
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
464874 posts
Posted on 2/16/19 at 12:29 pm to
let me add this is my favorite hand and best fold, accordingly

Phil Ivey v. Antonio Esfandiari
Posted by TheCaterpillar
Member since Jan 2004
76774 posts
Posted on 2/16/19 at 1:07 pm to
quote:

She obviously put him on pocket aces and was very confident on that read otherwise she wouldn’t have shown the table. If she was just playing tight wouldn’t she have just mucked the hand?


Agree with this.
Posted by bmy
Nashville
Member since Oct 2007
48203 posts
Posted on 2/16/19 at 1:28 pm to
phil ivey
Posted by chowds4
baton rouge
Member since Jan 2005
8852 posts
Posted on 2/16/19 at 1:34 pm to
Slow, I don't feel like reading this entire thread, but I saw a part where you were arguing the ability of players b/c this footage is from a 25k buy in ept tourney. Just some extra info: this tourney gave players an option to buy in, but there was also a ton of players that received random free entries from poker stars

I can't remember the exact details, but it was comparable to opening your account, spinning s wheel, and bink- enjoy your 25k tourney

Also, the min-cash was for right around the 25k entry if I remember correctly, so I can imagine a ton of people who received the "golden ticket" to that donkanent were folding some ridiculous hands at the end.

Just Sayin

Eta: I apologize if my statements were previously discussed, but if not, the weird payout structure and massive amount of free-rolls given out to this particular tourney should have changed icm decisions and bubble play quite a bit
This post was edited on 2/16/19 at 1:41 pm
Posted by Jim Rockford
Member since May 2011
104149 posts
Posted on 2/16/19 at 1:35 pm to
Every gambler knows that the secret to survival is knowing what to throw away and knowing what to keep.
Posted by Wolfhound45
Member since Nov 2009
125523 posts
Posted on 2/16/19 at 1:47 pm to
I have not a damn clue what was said in this thread but I enjoyed reading it. And I will not play poker with any of you
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
464874 posts
Posted on 2/16/19 at 2:04 pm to
quote:

chowds4

OH SHT
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
464874 posts
Posted on 2/16/19 at 2:06 pm to
chowds just reminded me that we once had a TD multi tournament series to see who was the best poker player

that was around the same time we had a weekly TD pickup basketball game
Posted by EarlyCuyler3
Appalachia
Member since Nov 2017
27290 posts
Posted on 2/16/19 at 4:08 pm to
Private MTT on ACR; set it up.

1k buy-in.
Posted by OweO
Plaquemine, La
Member since Sep 2009
119955 posts
Posted on 2/16/19 at 4:45 pm to
She didn't have the nuts and him going all in, if she was familiar with playing against him. Maybe she knew there was a good chance he wasn't bluffing.

I honestly don't see the big deal.
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