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re: Imagine 50 inches of rain in New Orleans

Posted on 9/1/17 at 9:08 am to
Posted by OysterPoBoy
City of St. George
Member since Jul 2013
45551 posts
Posted on 9/1/17 at 9:08 am to
quote:

Imagine 50 inches of rain in New Orleans


*unzips pants*
Posted by SCLSUMuddogs
Baton Rouge
Member since Feb 2010
8592 posts
Posted on 9/1/17 at 9:08 am to
New Orleans might need a flood at this point
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91874 posts
Posted on 9/1/17 at 9:16 am to
quote:

I'm not saying The city wouldn't flood but with the pumps working in the levees sealed up The water wouldn't stay for as long as you're saying


Pumping non stop at maximum capacity, the city pumps would take 99 hours to pump out 50 inches of rain.

I know the flooding in Katrina was a different animal, but pumping water out is going tk take a long time, relatively speaking.
Posted by Crawdaddy
Slidell. The jewel of Louisiana
Member since Sep 2006
19375 posts
Posted on 9/1/17 at 9:17 am to
imagine the current Texas situation and next week Irma hitting NOLA. Then what if a EMP attack or a dirty bomb going off on the east coast or LA. Talk about a big mess. The US would be so tied up with problems
Posted by tgrbaitn08
Member since Dec 2007
148031 posts
Posted on 9/1/17 at 9:22 am to
I'm not disagreeing with you. 99 hours. So 4-5 days.
Posted by fr33manator
Baton Rouge
Member since Oct 2010
135036 posts
Posted on 9/1/17 at 9:30 am to
What cereal?
Posted by TheFonz
Somewhere in Louisiana
Member since Jul 2016
23557 posts
Posted on 9/1/17 at 9:32 am to
quote:

Mitch can and should kiss its lucky stars


FIFY

Now he has Irma to watch.
Posted by Kige Ramsey
1996,1998,2012.
Member since Jul 2007
44439 posts
Posted on 9/1/17 at 9:36 am to
That's hard to imagine. It has rained 8 inches here I can't imagine 50 inches
Posted by The Rodfather
I'm not really sure?
Member since Nov 2008
3941 posts
Posted on 9/1/17 at 10:01 am to
quote:

I'm not disagreeing with you. 99 hours. So 4-5 days.


That is at full pumping capacity. We already know that New Orleans does not currently have full pumping capacity. That is also assuming that the pumps that are working could maintain 99 hours of 100% operation. That is not realistic.

In this hypothetical you are looking out HUGE amounts of casualties and best case scenario probably 1.5 weeks of standing water. That water would probably do some serious damage to the back side of the levees which in turn could cause failures and more flooding / damages.

Wow, after thinking about this hypothetical, I vote to evacuate the city, pull out all things of value, turn off the 2-3 still working pumps, blow the levees, and create us a new world renown fishing destination!!!!
Posted by tgrbaitn08
Member since Dec 2007
148031 posts
Posted on 9/1/17 at 10:03 am to
Yep. The water stayed up in the city for 12 days after Katrina and we know how that turned out.
Posted by LSUFanHouston
NOLA
Member since Jul 2009
41684 posts
Posted on 9/1/17 at 10:07 am to
First off... only a couple of small isolated spots got 50 inches. Most of Houston got 30-35 inches. That's still a whole bunch of rain... but let's play with facts here.

The devastating flooding in Katrina occured because of storm surge which pressured levees. Storm surge would not be an issue in this event.

My guess is you would have widespread flooding in the 2 foot range. Relatively low spots would have more, relatively high spots would have less.

So more people would flood than did during Katrina, but the flooding would not be as deep.

Also... a whole lot of people here have flood insurance these days.
This post was edited on 9/1/17 at 10:08 am
Posted by SG_Geaux
Beautiful St George, LA
Member since Aug 2004
80831 posts
Posted on 9/1/17 at 10:08 am to
quote:

Yep. The water stayed up in the city for 12 days after Katrina and we know how that turned out.



The water would have stayed a lot longer if not for all the people that worked on dewatering the city.
Posted by OvertheDwayneBowe
Member since Sep 2016
3531 posts
Posted on 9/1/17 at 10:11 am to
Pumping doesn't work like this, but let's do some math anyway.

NOLA is 170 Sq miles of land.
50 inches of rain equates to 20 billion cubic feet of water.
Using the SWB pump capacity on their website, they are currently at 94%, 47,380 cfs.

If all that water just appeared on New Orleans, and that cfs acted like one pump in a bowl, it would take 116 hours to drain.

It gets a lot more complicated to actually model it using the canals, drains, and actual pumps. Then of course is the power issue....
Posted by LucasP
Member since Apr 2012
21618 posts
Posted on 9/1/17 at 10:14 am to
quote:

Why do we have to make horrible natural disasters a dick measuring contest?



Everytime we try to have a traditional dick measuring contest, the thread gets whacked.
Posted by Solo
Member since Aug 2008
8257 posts
Posted on 9/1/17 at 10:17 am to
Pumps working and levees hold? No flooding at all. If either one fails, we have seen what happens. Katrina 2.0.
Posted by LaBR4
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2005
53975 posts
Posted on 9/1/17 at 10:18 am to
Serious maybe stupid question. What would 50 in of rain in 2 days over the Mississippi River in in BR or north of BR do for flooding..would the MS in BR ever flood?
Posted by LSU
Houston
Member since Oct 2003
9151 posts
Posted on 9/1/17 at 10:19 am to
quote:

Imagine 50 inches of rain in New Orleans


Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 9/1/17 at 10:23 am to
quote:

What would 50 in of rain in 2 days over the Mississippi River in in BR or north of BR do for flooding..would the MS in BR ever flood?




The Mississippi gets to flood stage around here frequently. The big flood events are driven by rainfall and snowmelt way upstream. Rainfall this far south wouldn't do much to the Mississippi because nothing drains into the Mississippi. Like you saw last summer, our big rains flooded the Amite, Tangi, Comite, ect. The Mississippi barely saw a blip of water level rise.
Posted by Decisions
Member since Mar 2015
1661 posts
Posted on 9/1/17 at 10:26 am to
Posted by LaBR4
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2005
53975 posts
Posted on 9/1/17 at 10:26 am to
i gotcha..good point..Amite/ Comite...50 in from those in a few days would really be the threat to BR
This post was edited on 9/1/17 at 10:27 am
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