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re: Ian Observation Thread (Storm Track and Radar inside)

Posted on 9/22/22 at 10:54 am to
Posted by UpToPar
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2008
22966 posts
Posted on 9/22/22 at 10:54 am to
12Z GFS is currently running SLIGHTLY NE of previous run.
Posted by lsugolfredman
Member since Jun 2005
1941 posts
Posted on 9/22/22 at 10:55 am to
SLIGHTLY results in world of difference in this instance though.
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
50523 posts
Posted on 9/22/22 at 10:55 am to
This GFS is very close to the EURO in my opinion.
Posted by LaBR4
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2005
53868 posts
Posted on 9/22/22 at 10:55 am to








This post was edited on 9/22/22 at 2:38 pm
Posted by Ingeniero
Baton Rouge
Member since Dec 2013
22981 posts
Posted on 9/22/22 at 10:55 am to
Fold like a cheap suit you bitch arse GFS
Posted by Festus
With Skillet
Member since Nov 2009
86127 posts
Posted on 9/22/22 at 10:56 am to
quote:

seems more of a westerly track



Posted by UpToPar
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2008
22966 posts
Posted on 9/22/22 at 10:57 am to
quote:

Yeah, this is not great. It keeps shifting a little west it seems.


Stop.
Posted by Oates Mustache
Member since Oct 2011
26623 posts
Posted on 9/22/22 at 10:57 am to
Time for another pic of my favorite model run.

Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
50523 posts
Posted on 9/22/22 at 10:57 am to
It's 100% not a more westerly track. This so far is super close to the EURO and wayyy further north than the previous GFS. At this rate, both the GFS and EURO will have a Florida landfall by the end of this run in my opinion.

Only thing is it's weaker this time so maybe it doesn't get picked up as much and quicker by the end? Who knows? Definitely not me. Gonna have to wait and see but if I'm betting, I'd bet on this going into Florida by the end of this run.
This post was edited on 9/22/22 at 10:59 am
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
131381 posts
Posted on 9/22/22 at 10:58 am to
Shes like 45 now gross
Posted by Ingeniero
Baton Rouge
Member since Dec 2013
22981 posts
Posted on 9/22/22 at 10:58 am to
quote:

At this rate, both the GFS and EURO will have a Florida landfall by the end of this run in my opinion.

Posted by DVinBR
Member since Jan 2013
15719 posts
Posted on 9/22/22 at 11:00 am to
GFS is a fair bit weaker on this run in the caribbean
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
102486 posts
Posted on 9/22/22 at 11:00 am to
quote:

They have been running


Oh, well TT hasn’t been working on my phone for a couple days Last time I tried them it didn’t have 98L listed
Posted by Midtiger farm
Member since Nov 2014
6153 posts
Posted on 9/22/22 at 11:00 am to
Icon shifted way east
Barely clips the southern half of Florida
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
50523 posts
Posted on 9/22/22 at 11:01 am to
Way further north and east...
Posted by LSUTiger23
Madisonville, LA
Member since Jun 2010
1351 posts
Posted on 9/22/22 at 11:01 am to
I don't think GFS is Florida on this run. I am expecting more east, but not that much.
Posted by OysterPoBoy
City of St. George
Member since Jul 2013
44641 posts
Posted on 9/22/22 at 11:02 am to
Dry air from Santa. I told you.
Posted by lsugolfredman
Member since Jun 2005
1941 posts
Posted on 9/22/22 at 11:02 am to
GFS almost back to same spot from prior run, albeit weaker. WTF.

ETA: Shooting the gap. Much further NE
This post was edited on 9/22/22 at 11:04 am
Posted by Oates Mustache
Member since Oct 2011
26623 posts
Posted on 9/22/22 at 11:03 am to
quote:

Icon shifted way east


I posted it a page back. It likes Miami.
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
50523 posts
Posted on 9/22/22 at 11:03 am to
quote:

I don't think GFS is Florida on this run. I am expecting more east, but not that much.


Welp, maybe you're right. Now it's almost right on top of it's previous position.


EDIT: I think that's a glitch. Everything depicted on the past few frames is identical to before. That's not right.
This post was edited on 9/22/22 at 11:05 am
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