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Posted on 9/21/22 at 3:33 pm to rds dc
quote:
12z Euro EPS with a pretty big shift east
Posted on 9/21/22 at 3:46 pm to MorbidTheClown
frick him! He said we "dodged a bullet" with Laura 
Posted on 9/21/22 at 3:54 pm to Tornado Alley
quote:
And understanding the connection between systemic racism and climate change.
They are both made up. That is the connection.
Posted on 9/21/22 at 3:54 pm to LSUZombie
dumb bel said people shouldnt be worrying about their rights. fricking idiot
Posted on 9/21/22 at 3:54 pm to LC Baw
quote:
frick him! He said we "dodged a bullet" with Laura
Posted on 9/21/22 at 3:59 pm to Cosmo
So what are the most recent educated guesses where potential cyclone Hermine is going to go iff it makes it into the Gulf ?
This post was edited on 9/21/22 at 4:01 pm
Posted on 9/21/22 at 4:05 pm to Klingler7
In a northerly direction.
Posted on 9/21/22 at 4:06 pm to fightin tigers
Northeast.
Posted on 9/21/22 at 4:07 pm to Klingler7
quote:
So what are the most recent educated guesses where potential cyclone Hermine is going to go iff it makes it into the Gulf ?
An educated guess cant be made until a center is formed.
Posted on 9/21/22 at 4:15 pm to Cosmo
quote:
Though Zeta was still quite a little bitch with both of those elements in play
Did Zeta buck trends because it was hauling arse?
Posted on 9/21/22 at 4:16 pm to rds dc
That one coming up Mobile Bay can frick right off.
Posted on 9/21/22 at 4:17 pm to rds dc
Is it safe to say that none of these models mean shite until a center forms?
Posted on 9/21/22 at 4:17 pm to SippyCup
Could be looking at a Labor Day 1935 rehash up the west coast of Florida. Pretty much worst case scenario for Tampa. Right front quadrant and onshore flow pumping up the bay.
Posted on 9/21/22 at 4:19 pm to NolaTiger52
quote:
Is it safe to say that none of these models mean shite until a center forms?
They are generally useful for motion of tracks 5 days out, anything more than that is meh
Posted on 9/21/22 at 4:20 pm to NolaTiger52
quote:
Is it safe to say that none of these models mean shite until a center forms?
No, saying that simplifies things way too much.
You use models as a guide at this point, and look for trends. They aren't useless, but neither are they Gospel.
Posted on 9/21/22 at 4:21 pm to Klingler7
quote:
So what are the most recent educated guesses where potential cyclone Hermine is going to go iff it makes it into the Gulf ?
Find a link to the European or GPS ensembles.
These models look at various scenarios and plot what course the future storm would take in each scenario.
From what I remember a few tracks were in the west central GOM, but more were in the Eastern GOM. All of these tracks are educated guesses.
Now since there are more tracks in the East GOM than the Centrsl GOM Florida seems to be a more likely candidate fir this storm, but it’s just a guess I’m making based on the odds right now.
Disclaimer, these odds could change tomorrow.
Posted on 9/21/22 at 4:22 pm to LegendInMyMind
quote:
JBE
Posted on 9/21/22 at 4:33 pm to doubleb
Thanks dude ! I’m going to keep my medications filled and my car full of fuel just in case Louisiana gets put in the crosshairs.
This post was edited on 9/21/22 at 4:34 pm
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