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re: Ian Observation Thread (Storm Track and Radar inside)
Posted on 9/27/22 at 6:22 pm to exiledhogfan
Posted on 9/27/22 at 6:22 pm to exiledhogfan
GFS again throwing out crazy rainfall totals. Tampa is no longer in that forecast if the GFS is right. But Disney World is going to be under water.
I wonder if their utilidors can handle this much?

I wonder if their utilidors can handle this much?

Posted on 9/27/22 at 6:23 pm to madamsquirrel
quote:
How bad will it be for people at Disney resorts? Just found out a family member is there and didn't get a flight out.
A lot fo rain, a little wind. It should weaken pretty good by the time it makes it up there. Biggest worry for up there is tornadoes out ahead of the center. But being inside a Disney resort is probably one of the safer places to be.
Posted on 9/27/22 at 6:24 pm to Indfanfromcol
quote:
It won’t be bad at all.
The way it's tracking now, this isn't true at all. The structures won't fail, but there will be widespread power outages as that area gets flooded, and hurricane gusts.
Posted on 9/27/22 at 6:26 pm to C-Bear
quote:
packing up now to leave early in the morning
Uh...that's a terrible idea. They need to leave right now.
My brother and family (from Ft. Myers) went over to Ft Lauderdale yesterday, though now they're getting tornado warnings over there from the outer bands.
Posted on 9/27/22 at 6:26 pm to The Boat
quote:
A lot fo rain, a little wind. It should weaken pretty good by the time it makes it up there. Biggest worry for up there is tornadoes out ahead of the center. But being inside a Disney resort is probably one of the safer places to be.
No doubt structure wise it is.
But this was the latest forecast I saw for that area.
quote:
Strong tropical storm force winds with gusts to hurricane strength, and widespread power outages. Very heavy rainfall will cause flooding-related travel delays.
Posted on 9/27/22 at 6:27 pm to Festus
I am right just north and a little west of St.Augustine. hurricanes Irma and Matthew about 5 years back scared me because they were both right off our coast and could have easily made landfall here but didn't. Lots of coastal erosion and flooding. I am not too concerned about Ian other than some gusty winds and lots of rain. Not too worried where I live in Nocatee we have a flood control system in this planned community if it floods they distribute the water throughout multiple ponds and drain offs. I know OT baller shite right 
Posted on 9/27/22 at 6:28 pm to Oates Mustache
quote:
GFS again throwing out crazy rainfall totals. Tampa is no longer in that forecast if the GFS is right. But Disney World is going to be under water.
I wonder if their utilidors can handle this much?
Da frick you say? That says 30+ for not just Disney.
Posted on 9/27/22 at 6:30 pm to ColoradoTiger1987
Tornado moving thru Broward County
Posted on 9/27/22 at 6:30 pm to rds dc
quote:
That's a recon bummer. Looks like Mission 24 is headed back to MS and Mission 25 is stuck over S. FL?
Things were going too well with recon flights this year. shite was bound to revert back to the norm.
Posted on 9/27/22 at 6:32 pm to ColoradoTiger1987
If anyone is trying to come across the alley still, the traffic is very backed up and I was just in a purple band of weather. Hit a puddle so deep my jeep started sputtering
Posted on 9/27/22 at 6:32 pm to ColoradoTiger1987
quote:
Da frick you say? That says 30+ for not just Disney.
Well yeah, but that's what we were talking about. Tampa proper would get flooded, but not nearly as bad as the earlier runs today.
Posted on 9/27/22 at 6:33 pm to bikerack
Lee County just sent out texts to shelter in place staring at 8:00 PM.
Posted on 9/27/22 at 6:33 pm to VABuckeye
It will be an experience you will never forget in you all lifetime. God bless.
Posted on 9/27/22 at 6:33 pm to bikerack
quote:
Tornado moving thru Broward County
Yeah, that one is on the ground.
For various reasons, we're going to have a better than normal chance to see significant tornadoes with Ian. Usually, they're quick spin-ups on the weaker side. There's a little higher ceiling with any warnings that are issued this time around.
Of course, the usual "little to no warning" tag applies, as is true with any tropical system.
This post was edited on 9/27/22 at 6:35 pm
Posted on 9/27/22 at 6:34 pm to UpToPar
quote:
Carolinas useless as usual.
They're in the potential path of the storm
Posted on 9/27/22 at 6:34 pm to VABuckeye
quote:
We are staying. It was a tough decision but with tornado warnings all over Alligator Alley in our path we stayed.
Yeah, don’t drive now. It’s chaos. There were tons of FPL trucks coming from your direction which are backing traffic up even more.
Posted on 9/27/22 at 6:35 pm to Old Money
Euro is very similar to the GFS for rain now.


Posted on 9/27/22 at 6:39 pm to Oates Mustache
Can definitely see the EWRC going on on radar:


Posted on 9/27/22 at 6:39 pm to Lasix
quote:
It will be an experience you will never forget in you all lifetime. God bless.
Thank you. I went through Camille as a kid.
Posted on 9/27/22 at 6:40 pm to Oates Mustache
In Mandeville Covington on I12 today with steady stream of utility trucks and FEMA trailers headed east.
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