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Message
re: Ian Observation Thread (Storm Track and Radar inside)
Posted on 9/27/22 at 12:53 pm to LSUFanHouston
Posted on 9/27/22 at 12:53 pm to LSUFanHouston
quote:
So if this thing comes in further south... it will be stronger... but less surge into Tampa Bay becasue of how far south it will be?
If it is south of Tampa, even if it's not south of Tampa by very much, Tampa would be in more of an offshore flow (hurricanes rotate counter-clockwise). Meaning the winds would be blowing more offshore than onshore. So water would be pushed outward rather than being piled in.
A good example of how little distance it takes is how Panama City Beach was spared from the worst surge during Hurricane Michael. PCB was in the western eyewall and had an offshore flow, while Mexico Beach was in the eastern eyewall and had an onshore flow. PCB had terrible weather, but avoided the worst storm surge.
This post was edited on 9/27/22 at 12:56 pm
1
Posted on 9/27/22 at 12:53 pm to OysterPoBoy
quote:
Why is a nautical mile longer than a land mile?
Is it because you have to account for the waves?
Posted on 9/27/22 at 12:53 pm to The Boat
Posted on 9/27/22 at 12:53 pm to LegendInMyMind
quote:
For those who don’t know how to convert knots to mph, Google a knots to mph calculator.
That’s just being lazy though. 1 knot = 1.151 mph
Posted on 9/27/22 at 12:54 pm to LegendInMyMind
My son lives in St. Augustine and he text me a few minutes ago and said local news broke in and they increased all the warnings for St. John's County. They said the storm surge there will be historic.
Posted on 9/27/22 at 12:55 pm to deltaland
quote:
That’s just being lazy though. 1 knot = 1.151 mph
that's being lazy. 1 knot = 1.151 mph and then do a clapping push up.
Posted on 9/27/22 at 12:56 pm to Palmetto98
Posted on 9/27/22 at 12:57 pm to OysterPoBoy
quote:
Why is a nautical mile longer than a land mile? Is it because you have to account for the waves?
Posted on 9/27/22 at 12:58 pm to Tbonepatron
1pm CDT; 2pm EDT intermediate advisory (no new cone). Winds up to 120mph, pressure down to 955mb.
BULLETIN
Hurricane Ian Intermediate Advisory Number 18A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092022
200 PM EDT Tue Sep 27 2022
...HURRICANE IAN GROWING STRONGER IN THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF
MEXICO...
SUMMARY OF 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.5N 83.3W
ABOUT 265 MI...430 KM S OF SARASOTA FLORIDA
ABOUT 85 MI...140 KM SSW OF THE DRY TORTUGAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 10 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...955 MB...28.20 INCHES
BULLETIN
Hurricane Ian Intermediate Advisory Number 18A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092022
200 PM EDT Tue Sep 27 2022
...HURRICANE IAN GROWING STRONGER IN THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF
MEXICO...
SUMMARY OF 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.5N 83.3W
ABOUT 265 MI...430 KM S OF SARASOTA FLORIDA
ABOUT 85 MI...140 KM SSW OF THE DRY TORTUGAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 10 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...955 MB...28.20 INCHES
Posted on 9/27/22 at 12:58 pm to Tbonepatron
quote:
Why is a nautical mile longer than a land mile? Is it because you have to account for the waves?
Loogle for the win.
Nautical miles are used to measure the distance traveled through the water. A nautical mile is slightly longer than a mile on land, equaling 1.1508 land-measured (or statute) miles. The nautical mile is based on the Earth's longitude and latitude coordinates, with one nautical mile equaling one minute of latitude.
Posted on 9/27/22 at 1:00 pm to Iron Lion
For anyone still wondering if they should leave, while there is extremely heavy winds and rain & debris flying, tornadoes spit out of these things too. I'd GTFO
Posted on 9/27/22 at 1:00 pm to tgrbaitn08
quote:
Anheuser-Busch?
Yes. Augustus Busch IV.
Posted on 9/27/22 at 1:03 pm to gaetti15
quote:Well, we've made it to 4 decimal places. Anybody got 5?
1.1508
Okay, I'll go: 1.15078.
Posted on 9/27/22 at 1:03 pm to real turf fan
quote:
Or tangled python knots, drowned python eggs, and a few very wet cougars.
The wet cougars will be on the hunt for those pythons.
Posted on 9/27/22 at 1:05 pm to Iron Lion
quote:
They said the storm surge there will be historic.
Matthew went over 9 feet, maybe 10-15 miles south of the bridge of lions. Right at the Flagler/st johns county line A1a was entirely washed out and the intercoastal had a new flow out point into the Atlantic. Won't even be the worst this decade, for historical context
Posted on 9/27/22 at 1:05 pm to PsychTiger
Movement is North.
The Queen is rethinking making The Boat the official met for the UK.
The Queen is rethinking making The Boat the official met for the UK.
Posted on 9/27/22 at 1:05 pm to Slagathor
quote:
That’s just being lazy though. 1 knot = 1.151 mph that's being lazy. 1 knot = 1.151 mph and then do a clapping push up.
Hey people should learn conversions and formulas. What happens when a solar flare knocks out the grid and fries all the computers? No google to do it for you. It’ll be back to the Stone Age if people don’t retain the knowledge of doing scientific formulas and mathematical calculations manually
Posted on 9/27/22 at 1:06 pm to LSUFanHouston
quote:
So if this thing comes in further south... it will be stronger... but less surge into Tampa Bay becasue of how far south it will be?
So some areas will get a stronger hurricane but those are less densely populated areas?
Is this a good thing or a bad thing? Save Tampa but other areas get F'd even harder?
Here are populations by county in the area from South to North:
Collier County (Naples): 375k
Lee County (Fort Meyers): 750k
Charlotte County (Port Charlotte): 185k
Sarasota County (Sarasota): 450k
Manatee County (Bradenton): 400k
Hillsborough County (Tampa): 1.45M
Pinellas County (St. Petersburg): 1M
Posted on 9/27/22 at 1:07 pm to Hangit
quote:
Hangit
Thanks man, my Kentucky friend moved down to Florida. I gotta look out for him.
Posted on 9/27/22 at 1:09 pm to deltaland
quote:
Hey people should learn conversions and formulas. What happens when a solar flare knocks out the grid and fries all the computers? No google to do it for you. It’ll be back to the Stone Age if people don’t retain the knowledge of doing scientific formulas and mathematical calculations manually
the grid and computers seem fine from that last solar flare that knocked out your sense of humor
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