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re: Ian Observation Thread (Storm Track and Radar inside)
Posted on 9/26/22 at 10:39 am to dukke v
Posted on 9/26/22 at 10:39 am to dukke v
quote:
Where are you at?????
Between the Beach and the mouse. Do you want me to send my address to your secretary, and pull a few T-bones out of the freezer?
???????
Posted on 9/26/22 at 10:39 am to Hangit
quote:Yup.
Bonita Springs up the coast past Cedar Key
Posted on 9/26/22 at 10:40 am to Duke
I'm hoping the east side of the storm isn't too bad. I have family in Melbourne over by Cape Canaveral. And they just had a newborn. Pardon my ignorance, but if path holds true, which I know can change 100 more times, how does the east side of the coast look? The west obviously will get the worst, but any major flooding projected?
Posted on 9/26/22 at 10:40 am to flyAU
quote:
The little motel with a tiki bar I was looking at buying is on Low Key. Which is named that for a reason.:. Hope the best for the couple that bought it. Supposed to go after Christmas.
oh yes! I remember that place.
Got quiet drunk at that place after a training...almost forgot about it.
Drank soooo many dark n stormys
Posted on 9/26/22 at 10:44 am to LootieandtheBlowfish
quote:
Tampa’s storm water all running into the bay is going to make this even more problematic. South Tampa specifically. Hopefully rain totals aren’t massive because there won’t be anywhere for that water to go
This is definitely something to watch too. Right now the models have the heaviest totals just offshore, but it's awfully close. 12" of rain is bad enough on its own, but with the bay being pushed up 10'...
Posted on 9/26/22 at 10:44 am to rds dc
Hate to disrupt the flow of info with something as trivial as a vacation.
But anyone have an idea about how the Rosemary Beach area will be Thursday through Sunday? Is it almost certain to be a rain out? Any other issues besides just rain? We are just playing it by ear right now.
But anyone have an idea about how the Rosemary Beach area will be Thursday through Sunday? Is it almost certain to be a rain out? Any other issues besides just rain? We are just playing it by ear right now.
Posted on 9/26/22 at 10:46 am to au4you
quote:
But anyone have an idea about how the Rosemary Beach area will be Thursday through Sunday? Is it almost certain to be a rain out? Any other issues besides just rain? We are just playing it by ear right now.
This has been asked only 350 times. No, the rain (if any) will be gone by Friday night / Saturday morning....unless the track goes more west.
Posted on 9/26/22 at 10:49 am to au4you
Based on the current track, probably fine just rough seas. But of course if the track shifts west, the weather gets closer.
Posted on 9/26/22 at 10:50 am to TigerTatorTots
quote:Nothing direct. We were supposed to a couple years ago and everyone moved more inland and it went right over Lakeland, where everyone was
Hasn't the area not gotten a hurricane hit in 100 years? Hard to compare when you haven't seen what can happen from a near direct hurricane path
But the girlfriend and parents are starting to blow my phone up about leaving so I’ll probably lose this battle
Posted on 9/26/22 at 10:50 am to flyAU
quote:
The little motel with a tiki bar I was looking at buying is on Low Key.
Dude, that place is awesome... in it's own delightfully charming way. Other side of 24, maybe a 1/3, 1/2 mile back towards gville my buddy owns a 10 acre "island." It's gonna get fricked up, but they're rich, rich. I forsee them having to build a new bridge to get from 24 to on their property
Edit to add pic... bottom left tiki bar, top right my buddy's place

This post was edited on 9/26/22 at 10:57 am
Posted on 9/26/22 at 10:55 am to flyAU
quote:
The little motel with a tiki bar I was looking at buying is on Low Key
Low Key Hideaway? We love CK!
Posted on 9/26/22 at 10:57 am to ReauxlTide222
Tampa folks.
As the path stands, your reason for evac is you could flood. I would also assume the water will be higher than you think it will.
If you're in a good structure and know you're safe from flooding, it would probably be best to stay. Dont need people who are safe clogging the roads.
As the path stands, your reason for evac is you could flood. I would also assume the water will be higher than you think it will.
If you're in a good structure and know you're safe from flooding, it would probably be best to stay. Dont need people who are safe clogging the roads.
Posted on 9/26/22 at 11:00 am to Duke
Latest GFS slams Ian into Tampa, and matches up with the ICON.
This would be VERY bad for Tampa, as it kind of just sits on top of that area.

This would be VERY bad for Tampa, as it kind of just sits on top of that area.

This post was edited on 9/26/22 at 11:03 am
Posted on 9/26/22 at 11:06 am to Hangit
quote:
everything from Bonita Springs
Furk, I'm in Collier County just below the Lee County (Bonita Springs) line. 1/2 mile from the Gulf and close to canals.
Posted on 9/26/22 at 11:06 am to Oates Mustache
Good god that’s bad
Posted on 9/26/22 at 11:06 am to rds dc
Wedding to go to in Destin Saturday.
According to my booking confirmation I have until midnight tonight to cancel for free .
According to my booking confirmation I have until midnight tonight to cancel for free .
Posted on 9/26/22 at 11:07 am to CarolinaGamecock99
quote:
Good god that’s bad
And we're nearly within the 72 hour forecasting range where the models hone in. I really hope the GFS is wrong because that would be a catastrophic run for Tampa.
Posted on 9/26/22 at 11:08 am to au4you
quote:
au4you
What brings you to Rosemary?
Posted on 9/26/22 at 11:10 am to tdiez1995
quote:
Wedding to go to in Destin Saturday.
According to my booking confirmation I have until midnight tonight to cancel for free .
Wedding on football saturday and bad weather. Hard no for me.
Posted on 9/26/22 at 11:11 am to tdiez1995
quote:
Wedding to go to in Destin Saturday.
According to my booking confirmation I have until midnight tonight to cancel for free .
Destin will be fine. probably only light showers on Friday if any.
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