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re: Ian Observation Thread (Storm Track and Radar inside)

Posted on 9/26/22 at 7:39 am to
Posted by IT_Dawg
Georgia
Member since Oct 2012
24365 posts
Posted on 9/26/22 at 7:39 am to
Forecast to make landfall around 2am Friday. Why the hell do these big ones always seem to hit in the middle of the night. Makes it much worse for reporting, evacuating, rescue, etc.

God Be with those in Florida in the path
Posted by TheFonz
Somewhere in Louisiana
Member since Jul 2016
21960 posts
Posted on 9/26/22 at 7:43 am to
I have a cousin who is a Captain with the Tampa FD. His station is right on the bay. I reckon he'll be busy for the next few days. My uncle and aunt moved to Land O' Lakes from SELA after Ida last year. I guess the big hurricanes are following them.
Posted by LSUKNUT
Naples, Florida
Member since Jun 2007
2340 posts
Posted on 9/26/22 at 7:45 am to
I’m in far north Cape Coral. None of my neighbors put up any shutters this weekend and everyone seems like they are all waiting til tomorrow to make any decisions on what to do next. All the stores are bone dry though.
Posted by BritLSUfan
Member since Jan 2012
681 posts
Posted on 9/26/22 at 7:46 am to
quote:

stall


We don't say that word here...

But yes, any slowing of the storm would not be good.
shite ton more rain, flooding, and the cumulative effects of wind for an extended period of time. Not sure how surge would be affected.

Both Euro and GFS models show this slow down unfortunately.

Posted by PTBob
Member since Nov 2010
7096 posts
Posted on 9/26/22 at 7:49 am to
Currently at Disney. Plan to leave Wednesday. Should we bounce a day early?
Posted by Athis
Member since Aug 2016
14572 posts
Posted on 9/26/22 at 7:50 am to
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
48659 posts
Posted on 9/26/22 at 7:53 am to
quote:

What struck me this morning was the agreement of the GFS and Euro models and the slow movement as Ian approaches the FL coast. Looks to be a Wed through Saturday event for the FL peninsula.

Yeah, one thing about it weakening before landfall is that it will also slow down and the wind fields will expand. So while the worst winds won’t be as high, hurricane conditions may last longer and cover a larger area with a weaker hurricane.
Posted by iron banks
Destrehan
Member since Jul 2014
4070 posts
Posted on 9/26/22 at 7:54 am to
For those of you in the path of this storm here is some hard learned advice. If you leave empty for freezer/fridge. Video everything on your property in detail. Take with you what is important if you evacuate. If you stay you best have a generator and enough fuel for at least a week or more. Once the storm passes video all the damage in detail. Do not throw out belongings or structure until the first adjuster walks your property. Get everything in writing and make a detailed list. The insurance companies look for the weak and ill prepared to mess with. If they get the picture that you are organized and strong will you will get a better outcome.
This post was edited on 9/26/22 at 7:56 am
Posted by Zephyrius
Wharton, La.
Member since Dec 2004
8617 posts
Posted on 9/26/22 at 8:00 am to
quote:

The insurance companies look for the weak and ill prepared to mess with.

Thats not how it works but if you can't document what you are claiming then yes it is a longer process.

quote:

If they get the picture that you are organized and strong will you will get a better outcome.

Yes if you are able to document what is being claimed and do the math for them it is a much smoother process.
Posted by maisweh
Member since Jan 2014
4222 posts
Posted on 9/26/22 at 8:04 am to
Floridians, remember, if it's not a note, let it float.
Posted by BPTiger
Atlanta
Member since Oct 2011
5765 posts
Posted on 9/26/22 at 8:10 am to
If you were in the port st joe area when would you leave?
Posted by tgrbaitn08
Member since Dec 2007
148031 posts
Posted on 9/26/22 at 8:11 am to
quote:

Do not throw out belongings or structure until the first adjuster walks your property. Get everything in writing and make a detailed list. The insurance companies look for the weak and ill prepared to mess with. If they get the picture that you are organized and strong will you will get a better outcome.


Terrible advice but you do you
Posted by Rhino5
Atlanta
Member since Nov 2014
30186 posts
Posted on 9/26/22 at 8:24 am to
Crazy. This thing is going right between Cuba and the Yucatán and will be at 140 mph in 48 hours. It’ll be a beast by the end of today.
Posted by longhorn22
Nicholls St. Fan
Member since Jan 2007
42527 posts
Posted on 9/26/22 at 8:26 am to
shift west?

Just read a post about it "sparing" tampa area....
Posted by SippyCup
Gulf Coast
Member since Sep 2008
6515 posts
Posted on 9/26/22 at 8:31 am to
quote:

If you were in the port st joe area when would you leave?



You don't have to. Not for this one. Well, let me clarify. As right now, you don't have to leave. If the models strat to shift west, that may change.
This post was edited on 9/26/22 at 8:35 am
Posted by White Roach
Member since Apr 2009
9666 posts
Posted on 9/26/22 at 8:36 am to
I have a friend who lives in Cape Coral south of Veterans, near Country Club Dr. I'm not sure where that is relative to you. Cape Coral is a big place. He's not an alarmist by a long shot, but yesterday he was getting patio furniture picked up and his boat squared away. He's concerned about this storm, particularly the potential storm surge.

His house was pretty much brand new when Charley came to town. It wasn't a pleasant experience for him.

Hope Ian passes without causing too much trouble for you. Good luck!
Posted by sicboy
Because Awesome
Member since Nov 2010
78656 posts
Posted on 9/26/22 at 8:38 am to
quote:

Just read a post


Where? WHERE????

Posted by loogaroo
Welsh
Member since Dec 2005
36377 posts
Posted on 9/26/22 at 8:42 am to
Posted by IT_Dawg
Georgia
Member since Oct 2012
24365 posts
Posted on 9/26/22 at 8:42 am to
quote:

If you were in the port st joe area when would you leave?


I don’t think I would have plans to leave yet. Ian would need to slow down and take a swing West to impact PSJ to the point of evacuations. Obviously keep an “eye” on it and have a contingency plan, but don’t use up resources or hotel rooms that people in the path will need
Posted by longhorn22
Nicholls St. Fan
Member since Jan 2007
42527 posts
Posted on 9/26/22 at 8:42 am to
deleted

interesting....

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