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Started By
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re: Ian Observation Thread (Storm Track and Radar inside)
Posted on 9/23/22 at 9:56 pm to Bobby OG Johnson
Posted on 9/23/22 at 9:56 pm to Bobby OG Johnson
0
Posted on 9/23/22 at 9:57 pm to notiger1997
all you need to know right now is the spread on the ensembles
Posted on 9/23/22 at 9:59 pm to slackster
I remember
Posted on 9/23/22 at 10:02 pm to GeauxLSUGRL
quote:
If you had a Florida beach trip next weekend would you cancel? Not sure what to do and tomorrow is my 3 day window
If it is in Panama City or to the west, then no, I would not. As of now it looks like this system will be east of there. If that holds true, the biggest issues for the central Gulf Coast (Florida Panhandle, Alabama coast, Mississippi coast) will be rough surf and rip currents.
Posted on 9/23/22 at 10:03 pm to TutHillTiger
11pm EDT; 10pm CDT advisory:
quote:
Key Messages:
1. Ian is expected to produce heavy rainfall and instances of
flash flooding and possible mudslides in areas of higher terrain,
particularly over Jamaica and Cuba.
2. Hurricane conditions are possible in the Cayman Islands by
early Monday, with tropical storm conditions possible by late
Sunday. Tropical storm conditions are possible in Jamaica on
Sunday.
3. Early next week, Ian is forecast to move near or over western
Cuba as a strengthening hurricane and then approach the Florida
peninsula at or near major hurricane strength, with the potential
for significant impacts from storm surge, hurricane-force winds,
and heavy rainfall. While it is too soon to determine the
exact magnitude and location of these impacts, residents in Cuba,
the Florida Keys, and the Florida peninsula should ensure they have
their hurricane plan in place and closely monitor forecast updates
through the weekend.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 24/0300Z 14.8N 72.0W 35 KT 40 MPH
12H 24/1200Z 14.7N 73.9W 40 KT 45 MPH
24H 25/0000Z 15.1N 76.3W 45 KT 50 MPH
36H 25/1200Z 16.1N 78.4W 50 KT 60 MPH
48H 26/0000Z 17.6N 80.1W 60 KT 70 MPH
60H 26/1200Z 19.3N 81.5W 75 KT 85 MPH...NEAR GRAND CAYMAN
72H 27/0000Z 21.2N 82.4W 90 KT 105 MPH
96H 28/0000Z 24.9N 83.0W 100 KT 115 MPH
120H 29/0000Z 28.0N 82.0W 95 KT 110 MPH...OVER FLORIDA
This post was edited on 9/23/22 at 10:07 pm
Posted on 9/23/22 at 10:05 pm to Roll Tide Ravens
quote:
If it is in Panama City or to the west, then no, I would not.
quote:
will be rough surf and rip currents.
and plenty of roll tide tents setting up in front of the rental chairs.
Posted on 9/23/22 at 10:06 pm to BZ504
quote:
Should I cancel my Disney trip next week? Lol
Honestly the best time to visit disney is after a hurricane. Park is a ghost town. I went the day after or second day after Irma, basically had the park to myself.
Posted on 9/23/22 at 10:21 pm to jbird7
Must be a fellow Floridian. This is facts.
Posted on 9/23/22 at 10:24 pm to LanierSpots
quote:
LanierSpots
How are you on trees in your yard. If this comes through Bradenton, or Tampa, as a cat 4-5, the tree population will be decimated. Irma was bad, but a direct hit from a beast will make Irma look like a schoolgirl.
From the current NHC site:
That M stands for Monstro. The H stands for harlot, and we finna get fooked.
This post was edited on 9/23/22 at 10:25 pm
Posted on 9/23/22 at 10:26 pm to rds dc
Hopefully it will go into the gulf and suck in a bunch of dry air and head inland as a TS or weak hurricane
Posted on 9/23/22 at 10:27 pm to DVinBR
quote:
Hopefully it will go into the gulf and suck in a bunch of dry air and head inland as a TS or weak hurricane
They’ve been calling it Santa air. It’s gonna save us.
Posted on 9/23/22 at 10:28 pm to JinFL
Most of the peeps in my hood already have a lot of Halloween stuff up looks like I am going to hold off til next weekend. The plot that has it going straight into the Tampa/St.Pete area sucks. Alot of shite will be wrecked if it is at Cat 3.
This post was edited on 9/23/22 at 10:30 pm
Posted on 9/23/22 at 10:44 pm to FLBooGoTigs1
quote:
The plot that has it going straight into the Tampa/St.Pete area sucks
West of Tampa and a good bit more west of St. Pete. This is a hit on Sarasota
Posted on 9/23/22 at 10:44 pm to FLBooGoTigs1
00z GFS is running
Posted on 9/23/22 at 10:46 pm to Hangit
quote:
How are you on trees in your yard. If this comes through Bradenton, or Tampa, as a cat 4-5, the tree population will be decimated. Irma was bad, but a direct hit from a beast will make Irma look like a schoolgirl.
I had a dozen in the yard around the house and lost all of them in 2018 when Michael came through. That really did a number on the timber folks
Posted on 9/23/22 at 10:49 pm to joshnorris14
quote:
West of Tampa and a good bit more west of St. Pete. This is a hit on Sarasota
Isn't west the Gulf of Mexico
Posted on 9/23/22 at 10:51 pm to FLBooGoTigs1
GFS is tad more west, about same intensity
This post was edited on 9/23/22 at 10:54 pm
Posted on 9/23/22 at 10:53 pm to joshnorris14
I’m sure Tampa area will be a shite show tomorrow at hardware/grocery stores
Posted on 9/23/22 at 10:56 pm to Byrdybyrd05
I am sure it will definitely be a shitshow.
Posted on 9/23/22 at 10:57 pm to Byrdybyrd05
Good day for Busch Gardens.
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