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re: I think people need to accept that the housing window has closed

Posted on 7/31/26 at 2:17 pm to
Posted by HouseMom
Member since Jun 2020
1952 posts
Posted on 7/31/26 at 2:17 pm to
quote:

$650k for about 3000 square foot.


You do realize homes are largely priced per square foot? 3000 LA is a lot of space.

quote:

what most would consider a middle of the road home


That's hardly a middle of the road home size in most places.
Posted by baldona
Florida
Member since Feb 2016
24387 posts
Posted on 7/31/26 at 2:18 pm to
quote:

I’m born and bred in Louisiana. For most of us there is no such thing as a large metro.


Sure, but a lot of the thread was about Nashville and DFW. I would personally consider NOLA somewhat similar.

If you knowingly move to a major metro for a job or just to enjoy living there, most knowingly plan on living in a shitty apt for awhile, usually with roomates, to afford it. This concept is not new.

When I graduated a lot of men moved for a job or back home, then found a job. A lot of women moved to a big city especially if they didn't come from one. Those women had no initial plans on buying a home. They wanted to start a career, meet men, and enjoy the city life. Home buying wasn't even on their radar.
Posted by CPA Yung Boi
Member since Apr 2026
205 posts
Posted on 7/31/26 at 2:18 pm to
quote:

I'd say that most DON'T in the DFW area and would prefer to live in an apt downtown.


Ignoring all your idiotic conjecture, the reason this is true is because that’s what they can afford
Posted by Dire Wolf
bawcomville
Member since Sep 2008
40675 posts
Posted on 7/31/26 at 2:18 pm to
quote:

. Young folks should rent until they're really sure where they're going to be, long-term (or at least intermediate-term). Now, conventional wisdom of the elders does hurt here ("Renting is just throwing money away.") No. It isn't. It isn't a great long-term strategy, but renting works well for younger folks. No maintenance. No taxes. No transaction costs (other than deposits and moving expenses, which you would have a lot of even buying).

But, you're sharing walls with strangers. Lots of *ahem* "interesting" experiences in apartment complexes. It's how most folks should live through their 20s until they have a decent down payment saved up.

Literally no middle class white couple does this anymore, as far as I can see. They over leverage, 97% financed homes with their first real job and then they are truly stuck for decades. It will pay off in the end if they stick with it, but that is a big nut to absorb when interest rates are 6% or so on top of a 3% down, 30-year mortgage. On $350k that's over $400k in interest.


average of the first time home buyer is 40 now. What are you babbling about. Of course people are renting in their 20s.

Posted by armytiger96
Member since Sep 2007
2855 posts
Posted on 7/31/26 at 2:21 pm to
quote:

Living within their means includes not owning a home until they’re like 40


BS they are paying rent to someone. They can find a decent house in a decent neighborhood and have the same note.

Or they can believe the mountain of BS that you and others post here daily citing "medians" as a way to prove their point.

It's a shame y'all don't recognize that all of this rhetoric is by design to get young voters to support the socialist/communist wing of the Democrat party.

If interest rates stay elevated the price of housing will eventually come down. It won't be overnight but the market will reset.
Posted by CPA Yung Boi
Member since Apr 2026
205 posts
Posted on 7/31/26 at 2:21 pm to
quote:

Young folks should rent until they're really sure where they're going to be, long-term (or at least intermediate-term). Now, conventional wisdom of the elders does hurt here ("Renting is just throwing money away.") No. It isn't. It isn't a great long-term strategy, but renting works well for younger folks. No maintenance. No taxes. No transaction costs (other than deposits and moving expenses, which you would have a lot of even buying).


This I agree with. But we aren’t talking about 25 year olds. We’re talking about 35 year olds that would like to settle down and have a family.

First time home buyers average damn near 40 years old.

quote:

Literally no middle class white couple does this anymore, as far as I can see. They over leverage, 97% financed homes with their first real job and then they are truly stuck for decades.


More and more people are renting and as I said, first time home buyer age continues to rise so your anecdote doesn’t reconcile to reality
Posted by SaintsTiger
1,000,000 Posts
Member since Oct 2014
2179 posts
Posted on 7/31/26 at 2:22 pm to
quote:

Damn you are dumb. Just because that’s what something would sell for now doesn’t mean that’s what the people that live there paid for it.


Right. Many if not mostly all of the pre-COVID owners couldn’t afford to buy their their houses today.
Posted by CPA Yung Boi
Member since Apr 2026
205 posts
Posted on 7/31/26 at 2:25 pm to
quote:

BS they are paying rent to someone. They can find a decent house in a decent neighborhood and have the same note.


They’ll just have to find $50k somewhere in order to do it
Posted by baldona
Florida
Member since Feb 2016
24387 posts
Posted on 7/31/26 at 2:25 pm to
quote:


Ignoring all your idiotic conjecture, the reason this is true is because that’s what they can afford


Um no, they choose to live there due to the location, price, and many other factors. This may shock you, but a lot of people that come from small towns actually look forward to moving to a big city when they are young to enjoy that big city life. Walking to a bar on a tuesday at 6 for happy hour, seeing friends, close to shopping, concerts, etc.

Posted by Dire Wolf
bawcomville
Member since Sep 2008
40675 posts
Posted on 7/31/26 at 2:25 pm to
quote:

I would personally consider NOLA somewhat similar.


New Orleans, adjusted by income, is one of the worst places in America to be a buyer IMO.

Limited "safe" neighborhoods, shite public schools, high insurance, and relative to the job market high housing prices.

For instances

quote:

Houston and New Orleans offer distinct housing markets with different price points. Houston's median sale price per square foot is roughly \(\$179\), making it generally more affordable per square foot than New Orleans, where the citywide median is about \(\$222\) per square foot
Posted by fightin tigers
Downtown Prairieville
Member since Mar 2008
79502 posts
Posted on 7/31/26 at 2:26 pm to
quote:

but the point is you thought you were making a point that you really weren’t


My point is that there are affordable houses in decent areas. They just aren't what people have conditioned themselves to want.

You agreed there are likely those houses but like me also admit there are few. I also agree that there are shitty houses and shitty areas that drive home prices down.
Posted by fightin tigers
Downtown Prairieville
Member since Mar 2008
79502 posts
Posted on 7/31/26 at 2:28 pm to
quote:

New Orleans, adjusted by income, is one of the worst places in America to be a buyer IMO.


New Orleans income makes that metric worse than the actual market itself.

Insurance can be really high if you don't take steps to mitigate.
Posted by CPA Yung Boi
Member since Apr 2026
205 posts
Posted on 7/31/26 at 2:28 pm to
quote:

My point is that there are affordable houses in decent areas


As a whole, there really aren’t though

quote:

You agreed there are likely those houses but like me also admit there are few.


There MAY be like 2 or 3 out of the couple of hundred you posted. There are almost 9 million people in DFW
Posted by armytiger96
Member since Sep 2007
2855 posts
Posted on 7/31/26 at 2:28 pm to
quote:

Mine was 320k in 2024 Daycare is $1800 a month per child Student loans are another $1000 a month .... something something avacado toast and starbucks....


How about welcome to adulthood. You think you're the first to experience this? We've all been there . . .
Posted by CPA Yung Boi
Member since Apr 2026
205 posts
Posted on 7/31/26 at 2:29 pm to
quote:

How about welcome to adulthood. You think you're the first to experience this? We've all been there . . .


If you are over 50, you have statistically in fact, not been there
Posted by fightin tigers
Downtown Prairieville
Member since Mar 2008
79502 posts
Posted on 7/31/26 at 2:35 pm to
That's also sub 200k for someone making 140k.

And doesn't include the hundred of condos and townhouses.
Posted by Anonforthis
Member since Apr 2026
28 posts
Posted on 7/31/26 at 2:36 pm to
I’m older and doing well but do agree with the young folks.

1. Nobody builds smaller starter homes anymore. I’m sure that many people here grew up in a home smaller than 1,200 square feet. Nobody has build those homes for 30 years unless you include beach homes.

2. Half the homeowners in the country have a mortgage of 3.4% or less. Even if Charles Manson moves next door they ain’t going anywhere. Half of the alleged inventory is illusory.

3. Growing up there were many poor but safe neighborhoods. Our shameful immigration policies have ended that. Every realtor knows what the phrase “good schools” honestly means.

The Starbucks and avocado toast assholes suffer from a bad memory. In their day it was them buying 2 compact discs of music a week or VHS tapes.

Show the kids some love.
Posted by CPA Yung Boi
Member since Apr 2026
205 posts
Posted on 7/31/26 at 2:36 pm to
quote:

And doesn't include the hundred of condos and townhouses.


Multi family housing: the American dream personified
Posted by The Baker
This is fine.
Member since Dec 2011
20683 posts
Posted on 7/31/26 at 2:37 pm to
quote:

We've all been there . . .


Posted by jwalk38
Member since Nov 2021
195 posts
Posted on 7/31/26 at 2:38 pm to
quote:

Home values have to increase over time, the alternative would be much worse. Real estate ROI should be around 8% per year. That means every ten years the value should double. Your $28k to $98k in 25 years is about right. $98k over twenty years should be around $400k.


That is completely absurd and unsustainable. Housing prices should be increasing no more than the general rate of inflation, and treating single family homes as investments is why we are here.
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