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re: Hurricane/Tropical Storm Idalia Discussion Thread

Posted on 8/28/23 at 1:29 pm to
Posted by deuce985
Member since Feb 2008
27660 posts
Posted on 8/28/23 at 1:29 pm to
GFS didn't even initialize the storm correctly earlier on the run. Sometimes GFS turns into a meme model run.
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
44567 posts
Posted on 8/28/23 at 1:31 pm to
Tropical Storm Idalia is nearing hurricane strength. Max Sustained winds up to 70 MPH. Here is the 1:00 PM CDT advisory:

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL102023
100 PM CDT Mon Aug 28 2023

...IDALIA STRENGTHENING AS IT NEARS THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA...
...LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE AND DANGEROUS WINDS BECOMING
INCREASINGLY LIKELY FOR PORTIONS OF FLORIDA...


SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.2N 85.1W
ABOUT 50 MI...80 KM SSW OF THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA
ABOUT 280 MI...450 KM SSW OF THE DRY TORTUGAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...987 MB...29.15 INCHES
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
44567 posts
Posted on 8/28/23 at 1:32 pm to
Next full advisory is at 4:00 PM CDT.
This post was edited on 8/28/23 at 1:33 pm
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
42072 posts
Posted on 8/28/23 at 1:37 pm to
I mean the Euro has been teasing a loop also but it always gets picked up out into the Atlantic
Posted by LSUDUCKMAN67
DTB
Member since Sep 2020
1148 posts
Posted on 8/28/23 at 1:38 pm to
Man I feel for this people!! ESP after Florida being hit by Ian last year. I live in Houma and Ida was no joke we stayed. Isn’t fun looking down the barrel off of of these storms!
Posted by deuce985
Member since Feb 2008
27660 posts
Posted on 8/28/23 at 1:40 pm to
That's fantasy land projections right now especially something that's almost 10 days out. Wait until it hits Florida and heads out to sea before we start worrying about it.
Posted by jfan244888
Soda City, SC
Member since Jul 2021
861 posts
Posted on 8/28/23 at 1:40 pm to
You could see a little eye trying to form in that .gif a couple pages back.

Is there any more significant dry air that can slow intensification? Or is it all gone now.
This post was edited on 8/28/23 at 1:48 pm
Posted by trussthetruzz
Marquette, MI
Member since Sep 2020
9236 posts
Posted on 8/28/23 at 1:41 pm to
Yikes. It will be a hurricane at 4 before it enters gulf. not good
Posted by mightynine
Member since May 2006
1222 posts
Posted on 8/28/23 at 1:42 pm to
This is the "loop back to NOLA". Not exactly something to get excited over at the moment, since it's one model run quite a ways out.

Posted by Byrdybyrd05
Member since Nov 2014
25764 posts
Posted on 8/28/23 at 1:46 pm to


Posted by Tigris
Cloud Cuckoo Land
Member since Jul 2005
12592 posts
Posted on 8/28/23 at 1:46 pm to
quote:

Anyone know someone in Crawfordville or Perry? Those are the preliminary areas we are considering trying to setup in. (for Here to Serve, a charity that provides free meals to disaster victims)


Heh, I'm a little south of them. Crawfordville is where I buy food and see doctors, Perry is east a bit more. Very curious about where this thing is going, I got kicked out of a Tallahassee hospital for a scheduled procedure today because this is looking bad.
Posted by Funky Tide 8
Bayou Chico
Member since Feb 2009
53449 posts
Posted on 8/28/23 at 1:54 pm to
quote:

Heh, I'm a little south of them. Crawfordville is where I buy food and see doctors, Perry is east a bit more. Very curious about where this thing is going, I got kicked out of a Tallahassee hospital for a scheduled procedure today because this is looking bad.



Sopchoppy?
Posted by PsychTiger
Member since Jul 2004
101114 posts
Posted on 8/28/23 at 1:57 pm to
quote:

I got kicked out of a Tallahassee hospital for a scheduled procedure today because this is looking bad.


Luckily for you transition surgery isn’t an emergency procedure and can be done at a later time.
Posted by Jwho77
cyperspace
Member since Sep 2003
78623 posts
Posted on 8/28/23 at 1:58 pm to
quote:




Posted by DVinBR
Member since Jan 2013
13656 posts
Posted on 8/28/23 at 2:06 pm to
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
44567 posts
Posted on 8/28/23 at 2:13 pm to
Hurricane Franklin is looking impressive.

Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
122376 posts
Posted on 8/28/23 at 2:14 pm to
Nice to see monsters like that just spinning harmlessly OTS
Posted by TheFonz
Somewhere in Louisiana
Member since Jul 2016
21063 posts
Posted on 8/28/23 at 2:16 pm to
So what am I missing here? To me, if it does loop back around, it will come into Louisiana as a disorganized mess.
Posted by nicholastiger
Member since Jan 2004
45812 posts
Posted on 8/28/23 at 2:25 pm to
Where are the morons that say we need tropical rain?
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
92667 posts
Posted on 8/28/23 at 2:25 pm to
quote:

They have that thing hitting Florida.. entering the Atlantic... then circling back.. crossing Florida and re-entering the Gulf... Then heading straight to New Orleans for Sept. 6th....


GFS does, but it’s just remnants meaning nothing but rain and a breeze
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