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Started By
Message
re: Hurricane/Tropical Storm Idalia Discussion Thread
Posted on 8/31/23 at 7:14 am to Puffoluffagus
Posted on 8/31/23 at 7:14 am to Puffoluffagus
Is it happening again?
5
Posted on 8/31/23 at 7:23 am to Meauxjeaux
Covers eyes
Posted on 8/31/23 at 7:29 am to Meauxjeaux
quote:
Is it happening again?
Posted on 8/31/23 at 8:34 am to Meauxjeaux
quote:
Is it happening again?
Posted on 8/31/23 at 8:44 am to Meauxjeaux
quote:
Is it happening again?
This could be the big one
Posted on 8/31/23 at 9:00 am to Meauxjeaux
quote:
Is it happening again?
No. NHC doesn’t even have anything highlighted in that region for possible development.
Posted on 8/31/23 at 10:08 am to Roll Tide Ravens
quote:I'm a little surprised they haven't named it yet...
Is it happening again?
No. NHC doesn’t even have anything highlighted in that region for possible development.
Posted on 8/31/23 at 10:15 am to LSURussian
Well there's not a well defined circulation...
FWIW, my attention is firmly turned toward the Cabo Verdes for a potential long tracker.
FWIW, my attention is firmly turned toward the Cabo Verdes for a potential long tracker.
This post was edited on 8/31/23 at 10:16 am
Posted on 8/31/23 at 10:19 am to Duke
quote:Are you referring to the area just west of the Cape Verdi islands and forecast to move NW into the North Atlantic? Or, am I missing one?
FWIW, my attention is firmly turned toward the Cabo Verdes for a potential long tracker.
Posted on 8/31/23 at 10:32 am to LSURussian
Different thing, NHC aint highlighting it yet. Wave just about to/just has come off Africa.
Ensembles are starting to bite.
Ensembles are starting to bite.
Posted on 8/31/23 at 11:00 am to Duke
Idalia appears to be one of those storms that just won't die. The NHC has her as a tropical storm through at least Tuesday.
Posted on 8/31/23 at 11:13 am to Duke
lower level winds definitely look ripe for that wave to go due west through the MDR into the caribbean.
edit: LINK
The overall environment for this wave looks *very* favorable for development over the coming week or so & there's honestly not a whole lot more you could really ask for this far out:
Anomalously deep moisture NW of the wave axis (associated w/ Invest #94L) near the coast of Africa protects the wave from dry air CHECK
Favorable Convectively Coupled Kelvin Wave (CCKW) passage arrives within a few days CHECK
Favorable deep-layer wind shear CHECK
Anomalously warm Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies (+SSTa) CHECK
Near-peak seasonal climatology CHECK
Significant & generally consistent model support (esp from the ECMWF/EPS) CHECK
edit: LINK
The overall environment for this wave looks *very* favorable for development over the coming week or so & there's honestly not a whole lot more you could really ask for this far out:
Anomalously deep moisture NW of the wave axis (associated w/ Invest #94L) near the coast of Africa protects the wave from dry air CHECK
Favorable Convectively Coupled Kelvin Wave (CCKW) passage arrives within a few days CHECK
Favorable deep-layer wind shear CHECK
Anomalously warm Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies (+SSTa) CHECK
Near-peak seasonal climatology CHECK
Significant & generally consistent model support (esp from the ECMWF/EPS) CHECK
This post was edited on 8/31/23 at 11:22 am
Posted on 8/31/23 at 11:20 am to TH03
Has anyone heard from FLboo? He said they were going to hunker down for the storm but he doesn't appear to have posted since.
Posted on 8/31/23 at 11:26 am to TH03
Prognosticators desperate for a large storm.
Posted on 8/31/23 at 11:34 am to bayou2
quote:
Gert is still out there
It hasn't moved much in days
That's the one I'm watching
GERT = / = ALLIGATOR BLOOD
... hanging around, hanging around
kidz got alligator blood
can't get rid of 'im ...
(Rounders)
... this morning, guess what popped up on WGNO weather cast?
... remnants of Gert
showing up in yellow @ 20%
Posted on 8/31/23 at 11:37 am to TH03
From that tweet:
Posted on 8/31/23 at 11:45 am to boxcarbarney
yeah I hesitated to post that one because of what it shows coming from the yucatan to swla
Posted on 8/31/23 at 11:56 am to bayou2
I told yall Gert would rise from the ashes
Posted on 8/31/23 at 12:20 pm to Cosmo
the wishcasters can't wait to track the next storm
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