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re: Hurricane Season - Watching WCAB & Gulf for Late Week Development

Posted on 8/20/21 at 6:45 am to
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
126070 posts
Posted on 8/20/21 at 6:45 am to
Spinning that monsoon thing into Texas then something up in 2 week fantasy land
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
90107 posts
Posted on 8/20/21 at 6:46 am to
quote:

Spinning that monsoon thing into Texas then something up in 2 week fantasy land


Yeah.
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
126070 posts
Posted on 8/20/21 at 6:49 am to
Grace looks to be trying to blow up

ETA might make a run at low end 3 with roughly 18 hours to landfall
This post was edited on 8/20/21 at 7:17 am
Posted by Zephyrius
Wharton, La.
Member since Dec 2004
8662 posts
Posted on 8/20/21 at 9:51 am to
GFS, Euro, and Canadian all have a significant storm in the Gulf 10 days out. GFS has been consistent with this the last few runs.
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
97184 posts
Posted on 8/20/21 at 10:04 am to
If Grace wraps that convection around the SW side and clears out the eye in the next 6 hours we might see RI going into landfall
Posted by Pelican fan99
Lafayette, Louisiana
Member since Jun 2013
37866 posts
Posted on 8/20/21 at 10:15 am to
Hurricanes heading towards New York always give me a good laugh. Keep sending them that way

Posted by Keys Open Doors
In hiding with Tupac & XXXTentacion
Member since Dec 2008
32569 posts
Posted on 8/20/21 at 11:17 am to
It’s in the direction of Mexico but more northern than Grace, no? I saw that a few days ago and the path is still the same
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
126070 posts
Posted on 8/20/21 at 11:20 am to
quote:

It’s in the direction of Mexico but more northern than Grace, no? I saw that a few days ago and the path is still the same


Thats the little weak monsoon gyre spinoff that goes into mexico or south TX

There is another thing 2 weeks out but thats fantasy land
This post was edited on 8/20/21 at 11:20 am
Posted by MrLSU
Yellowstone, Val d'isere
Member since Jan 2004
28313 posts
Posted on 8/20/21 at 11:25 am to
I'm very concerned about Obama's new Martha's Vineyard home. Can we set up a gofundme to help pay for protection for he and his neighbors?
Posted by elprez00
Hammond, LA
Member since Sep 2011
30691 posts
Posted on 8/20/21 at 11:57 am to
White House watching TS Henri moving towards New York be like
Posted by Tigah D
Baton Rouge
Member since Jul 2008
1449 posts
Posted on 8/20/21 at 1:21 pm to
quote:

GFS, Euro, and Canadian all have a significant storm in the Gulf 10 days out. GFS has been consistent with this the last few runs.



We're running different models apparently for ballpark of Aug 30. The GFS has a frog strangler going into mexico, the CMC is bullish on it, Euro has a lil storm.

For the GFS I'm just seeing this big one it's wishing for on Labor Day weekend around FL (for now).
Posted by Oates Mustache
Member since Oct 2011
24406 posts
Posted on 8/20/21 at 2:01 pm to
quote:

We're running different models apparently for ballpark of Aug 30. The GFS has a frog strangler going into mexico, the CMC is bullish on it, Euro has a lil storm.

For the GFS I'm just seeing this big one it's wishing for on Labor Day weekend around FL (for now).


As it's been here and other boards for a while, sometimes people see what they want to see. The timeline is definitely shortening for whatever the models are seeing, but there's no actual system yet. It's not like a wave that exits Africa and we track it, this one just starts up. So who knows if or when this system develops. I don't like the trend of more models showing something, but we still have a few days before I start to get worried.
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
97184 posts
Posted on 8/20/21 at 3:12 pm to
Models are all in agreement with Henri on a Cat 1 to a strong Cat 2 hitting Long Island
Posted by Jwho77
cyperspace
Member since Sep 2003
80940 posts
Posted on 8/20/21 at 3:54 pm to


Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36408 posts
Posted on 8/20/21 at 4:01 pm to
quote:

It’s in the direction of Mexico but more northern than Grace, no? I saw that a few days ago and the path is still the same




Get more general with your thinking than that. We're at the watch the western caribbean in general stage.
Posted by Klingler7
Houston
Member since Nov 2009
12436 posts
Posted on 8/20/21 at 4:11 pm to
I don’t see anything by the GFS or Euro the next 10 days. Euro shows a low in BoC heading into Tuxpan. Is that it ?
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36408 posts
Posted on 8/20/21 at 4:23 pm to
ive been hiking all day and havent checked on it either.
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
126070 posts
Posted on 8/20/21 at 4:24 pm to
Subtle brag
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
97184 posts
Posted on 8/20/21 at 5:21 pm to
Literally the entire state of Rhode Island and half of Connecticut could be hit by the eye wall
This post was edited on 8/20/21 at 7:02 pm
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
20622 posts
Posted on 8/20/21 at 7:15 pm to
Two recon missions in the air.

Grace bombing out.



Henri continues to be some what disorganized.

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