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Posted on 8/17/21 at 9:47 pm to BigHoss
Going to Cancun on Monday....watching closely.
Posted on 8/18/21 at 6:51 am to BigHoss
So let’s talk about the GFS having Henri make landfall on Long Island as a Cat 3
ETA Hmon in agreeance
Euro has it in same area but as an open wave but EUro has way underestimated intensity thus far this year


ETA Hmon in agreeance

Euro has it in same area but as an open wave but EUro has way underestimated intensity thus far this year
This post was edited on 8/18/21 at 6:56 am
Posted on 8/18/21 at 7:01 am to deltaland
quote:
Henri make landfall on Long Island as a Cat 3
This should be their new go-to for clicks and melts instead of using Nola every time

Posted on 8/18/21 at 7:34 am to PhillyTiger90
I like to think we’ll get a little bit of Grace.
Posted on 8/18/21 at 7:43 am to deltaland
quote:
So let’s talk about the GFS having Henri make landfall on Long Island as a Cat 3

We’d never hear the end of it.
This post was edited on 8/18/21 at 7:49 am
Posted on 8/18/21 at 7:46 am to deltaland
quote:
So let’s talk about the GFS having Henri make landfall on Long Island as a Cat 3
You misspelled SUPER STORM HENRI
Posted on 8/18/21 at 8:13 am to deltaland
Woof that would be brutal for the area.
Posted on 8/18/21 at 9:01 am to Bayou_Tiger_225
quote:
Any idea of how strong Grace gets?
NHC is forecasting winds max sustained winds of 85mph just before landfall, so Cat. 1 if that verifies.
Posted on 8/18/21 at 9:04 am to lynxcat
quote:I was just in Cozumel from 13th to 17th. Had great timing flying home yesterday.
Going to Cancun on Monday....watching closely.
Posted on 8/18/21 at 10:28 am to busbeepbeep
Boring season so far. Isn’t Grace our first Hurricane ? I can’t remember in my old age.
This post was edited on 8/18/21 at 10:29 am
Posted on 8/18/21 at 10:32 am to TheFonz
quote:
We’d never hear the end of it.
Man a stiff tropical storm and it'd be like COVID and Afghanistan never happened
Posted on 8/18/21 at 10:49 am to Pettifogger
“But the reason we deserve so much attention and money is because it never happens here! You idiots live where these things happen! These things don’t happen here!”
Posted on 8/18/21 at 11:02 am to Klingler7
quote:
Boring season so far. Isn’t Grace our first Hurricane ? I can’t remember in my old age.
From a CONUS landfalling perspective, yes.
But I suspect that opinion will change by this same time next month. To this point in the season, systems are delaying development until they reach the Caribbean or Gulf. In part due to shear and dust in the Atlantic. That recipe strongly favors a Gulf Coast landfall at some point this year. La Nina also supports an extended season into October, which minus last year, usually signals a shutdown for CONUS landfalls.
This post was edited on 8/18/21 at 11:03 am
Posted on 8/18/21 at 11:06 am to lsugolfredman
So GOM looks clear until Labor Day weekend?
I’m seeing GFS wanting to throw something up from the Caribbean around that time.
Those make me nervous as all of last year’s storms were born there.
I’m seeing GFS wanting to throw something up from the Caribbean around that time.
Those make me nervous as all of last year’s storms were born there.
Posted on 8/18/21 at 11:07 am to Klingler7
quote:
Isn’t Grace our first Hurricane ? I can’t remember in my old age.
Elsa got a hair over 73 for a short time.
quote:
Boring season so far.
STHU before you jinx it.
Posted on 8/18/21 at 11:11 am to jcaz
quote:
So GOM looks clear until Labor Day weekend?
I’m seeing GFS wanting to throw something up from the Caribbean around that time.
Those make me nervous as all of last year’s storms were born there.
Looks to be a bit before that(end of month)according to the GFS ensembles - but those sort of details aren't clear at the 8-10 day range. I'd focus on the fact that conditions look favorable for homegrown development near the end of the month.
Posted on 8/18/21 at 11:21 am to lsugolfredman
Grace is now a hurricane at 75mph moving WNW
Posted on 8/18/21 at 11:32 am to Klingler7
Won't be boring the next 2 months moving forward.
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