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Started By
Message
re: Hurricane Season - Watching WCAB & Gulf for Late Week Development
Posted on 8/15/21 at 9:25 am to htran90
Posted on 8/15/21 at 9:25 am to htran90
quote:
It shifted east by the latest trajectory too
Shear has displaced convection off to the east, so the area that was favorable for the new LLC to form shifted east. If Fred were to get stronger than expected, that would also adjust things eastward again.
2
Posted on 8/15/21 at 9:30 am to rds dc
Fred looks to be projected literally to head down my street.
Posted on 8/15/21 at 9:51 am to rds dc
quote:
However, HWRF doing dumb stuff again...
HWRF was pretty damn accurate last season. You all keep dismissing it like it’s the crazy uncle, but had Laura dead on balls accurate. Same for Delta.
Posted on 8/15/21 at 9:53 am to Prominentwon
Last year don’t count! They all had changes made for this season
Posted on 8/15/21 at 9:54 am to rds dc
New Grace track.
06z Ensembles
06z Ensembles
Posted on 8/15/21 at 9:56 am to SmackDaniels
We left Perdido Key 48 hours ago.
Looks like the eye is headed straight for it.
Looks like the eye is headed straight for it.
Posted on 8/15/21 at 9:57 am to Prominentwon
quote:
HWRF was pretty damn accurate last season. You all keep dismissing it like it’s the crazy uncle, but had Laura dead on balls accurate. Same for Delta.
It's been pretty awful this season. It has a high intensity bias and last year it seemed like every system went RI. So maybe last season was just playing into the HWRF bias?
Posted on 8/15/21 at 9:57 am to rds dc
One can only hope.
Posted on 8/15/21 at 9:59 am to rds dc
That’s a lot of land interaction.
Posted on 8/15/21 at 10:08 am to BallsEleven
Luckily she is going over all that land. If not, grace could have been a monster
Posted on 8/15/21 at 10:10 am to rds dc
Looks like Grace is going to take the hard way to get South of La.
As we all know, mid to late August and the GOM are prime for hurricanes. Grace shouldn’t be that well organized, but you never know. No reason to panic and every reason to take inventory and plan for what if.
As we all know, mid to late August and the GOM are prime for hurricanes. Grace shouldn’t be that well organized, but you never know. No reason to panic and every reason to take inventory and plan for what if.
Posted on 8/15/21 at 10:11 am to rds dc
Posted on 8/15/21 at 10:14 am to tiger91
Last couple of model runs for both GFS and Euro appear to show Grace doesn't survive her trip across the islands. Going to be interesting to watch, hope that turns out to be the case!
This post was edited on 8/15/21 at 10:15 am
Posted on 8/15/21 at 10:17 am to mightynine
The weather channel is gonna be pissed if grace doesn’t form into something major…
Posted on 8/15/21 at 10:20 am to mightynine
quote:
Last couple of model runs for both GFS and Euro appear to show Grace doesn't survive her trip across the islands. Going to be interesting to watch, hope that turns out to be the case!
The NHC mentions that there is a lot of uncertainty around future intensity but they have Grace as a strengthening system out in the Gulf on Friday.
Posted on 8/15/21 at 10:48 am to rds dc
I guess still too early to tell where Grace is headed but damn looks like Texas/Lake Charles.
Posted on 8/15/21 at 10:55 am to rds dc
quote:
Grace
Posted on 8/15/21 at 10:56 am to Double Oh
quote:
I guess still too early to tell where Grace is headed but damn looks like Texas/Lake Charles.
Posted on 8/15/21 at 10:57 am to Hulkklogan
I think Fred identifies as a female. It doesn't know where the hell it's going. When I went to bed last night it was headed straight up Mobile Bay
Posted on 8/15/21 at 11:03 am to NorthEndZone
latest GFS just out has Fred a little stronger at landfall than previous run - 995 mb and totally dissipates Grace.
This post was edited on 8/15/21 at 11:05 am
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